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So David Brat is the new Republican candidate for the House of Representatives in Virginia's 7th District. He ran specifically on blocking immigration reform. The Republican Party is screwed.

David Brat is the official candidate of the Republican Party. The state and national party now have two choices: Back his candidacy or let him flounder on his own. Except they really want to hold on to the House so they really need to support every Republican candidate. Every.Single.One. So they need to give Brat their full backing and support. Oh, but in the last election cycle the Republicans realized that they have a problem with Hispanic voters, mainly that Hispanic voters hate them. They have a whole plan laid out on how they are going to reach out to Hispanic voters because the Hispanic block is rapidly growing  while the old white guy block that is their traditional base is literally dying off. But they have a candidate in Virginia's 7th District whose entire campaign was about blocking immigration reform and how those evil brown people are stealing your jobs. And this isn't just some obscure candidate in some obscure district: This is the guy who knocked out the second most powerful man in the House, the man who would be King as soon as Boehner decided he wanted to spend more time with his family. So all eyes are going to be watching Dave Brat, and they are going to be hearing his non-stop bashing of undocumented workers and immigration reform. And this may well spook other Republicans into also turning against immigration reform, lest they suffer the same fate as Cantor.  But the Republican Party desperately needs to be seen as open to immigration reform so the Hispanics stop giving them the cold-shoulder. But but but but but........

Yes, Republicans are so screwed.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (18+ / 0-)

    "That being said, I do agree I am going to hell. But for other reasons. Mostly boring tax stuff ' Amy Pohler

    by Annie B on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 05:37:01 AM PDT

  •  HAHAHAHAHAHA818181818181!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Cedwyn, Woody, thomask


    If I ran this circus, things would be DIFFERENT!

    by CwV on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 05:59:45 AM PDT

  •  I agree (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    Every other Republican is will feel compelled to take a hard right turn, and that will not play well in many other districts.

    I am a warrior for peace. And not a gentle man... Steve Mason, 1940-2005

    by Wayward Wind on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 06:12:26 AM PDT

  •  Now or never (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    It's time for those Republicans who are planning to retire after their current term, or who have already become lame ducks after their primaries, but still have some loyalty to their party, to act now.
    Cantor's loss pretty much guarantees that the idea of letting immigration reform slide now so they can take it up just before 2016 won't happen.
    If the party is to have any chance in 2016 they need to pass something, and the only path to that now is for Republicans who have nothing to lose to join with Democrats and get it done.
    Are there enough retiring Repubs. to so this?

    •  There's Nothing to Join if a Bill Never Reaches th (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      alypsee1, fat old man

      floor. Now, I've heard talk of Boehner retiring, and if that's a prospect, maybe he would decide to get a bill up for a vote.

      We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

      by Gooserock on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 06:27:00 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  discharge pettition (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Catte Nappe

        Since I'm assuming only "doomed" Republicans would do this, that is; either official or unofficial lame ducks who have already been beaten in a primary or know already that they intend to retire before facing the next one, they may feel that signing a discharge petition and falling on their swords to get this through is worthwhile.
        Also, as you bring up, Boehner himself may decide to do this before he goes out as speaker.

        I grant that this is just wild speculation, but I think today's events showcase that conventional political thinking can't always be trusted.

  •  He Can't Really Flounder Can He? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    karmsy, Catte Nappe

    It's a gerrymandered safe Republican district; the Dem only decided to file very recently according to tv reporting last night, and he's not an experienced politician.

    Seems like Brat is the very likely Rep.

    We are called to speak for the weak, for the voiceless, for victims of our nation and for those it calls enemy.... --ML King "Beyond Vietnam"

    by Gooserock on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 06:18:38 AM PDT

    •  Cantor was the Republican's Golden Child (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      Now they have Brat. It will look very strange if he doesn't get their full backing. I know in the past that parties haven't given national support to local candidates, but this is so high-profile that it can't be ignored. Brat is definitely the Tea Party choice and the Tea Party is already none-too-pleased with the Republican Party, so if he doesn't get full backing the Tea Party is going to go totally bonkers. They are going to expect national and prominent party leaders to be at campaign events (cue in Ted Cruz). If those leaders are notably absent it will be noticed and commented on. But if they do appear with Brat the Democrats can claim that the Republican party backs his extreme positions on immigration.  This is a lose-lose situation for the Republicans.

      "That being said, I do agree I am going to hell. But for other reasons. Mostly boring tax stuff ' Amy Pohler

      by Annie B on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 07:19:56 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  It is an R+10 I think but (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MrsTarquinBiscuitbarrel, Zwenkau

      based on 2010 turnout, that is a about a 22000 vote margin for active voters.  So, how many Cantor voters will sit this one out? and will this energize the Dems GOTV ?

      I don't think it is impossible.  Not likely, but not impossible.

      Meanwhile, how many votes for Brat were to express displeasure with Cantor by people who believed that Cantor would win anyway?  How many of those votes were about his lack of attention to his district rather than the immigration issue?  

      When you factor in Dem crossover & repubs dissing Cantor for non-immigration issues, the assumption that this was an anti-immigration vote may be totally wrong.  As Annie B says: Now it gets interesting with Brat in the spotlight.  

    •  He's already "floundered" (0+ / 0-)

      His "celebratory" interview with Chuck Todd has gotten a lot of interest.  In fact he's big on celebrating rather than dealing with the media.

      Reached by phone before the Associated Press declared him the winner, Mr. Brat said only, “I’m going into the celebration party right now.”

      Anything he says is going to get a lot of interest, simply because he had this historic win over a GOP big gun. Whether that harms his electoral chances, is another thing entirely. It is a red district, there's division in the Dem ranks, and the recently anointed Dem candidate is even greener than Brat is

      “Texas is a so-called red state, but you’ve got 10 million Democrats here in Texas. And …, there are a whole lot of people here in Texas who need us, and who need us to fight for them.” President Obama

      by Catte Nappe on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 11:05:29 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  It's a hard one, all rightie. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    And it, um, couldn't be happening to nicer :) bunch of folks.

    Well, I'll say this. It isn't automatic good news for our side, unfortunately. Might drag the whole "scene" to the right, if you know what I mean.

    It's here they got the range/ and the machinery for change/ and it's here they got the spiritual thirst. --Leonard Cohen

    by karmsy on Wed Jun 11, 2014 at 06:48:00 AM PDT

  •  Kos frequently say, "If we vote, we win." (3+ / 0-)

    If Hispanic voters show up in relatively larger numbers in the 2014 midterms, I believe that a few purple districts will become democratic seats in the House.

    The need is to get the Hispanic community organized and turn some districts in Texas and out West into democratic seats.

    This can become all the more real if people like Julian Castro, Mayor of San Antonio who was recently nominated to be Secretary of Housing & Urban Development, come to the aide of democrats running for office.

    An aside - Julian Castro, assuming no scandals at Housing & Urban Development on his watch, makes a great VP for Hillary.  This would make Texas a blue state sooner, rather than later.  

  •  Well put, Annie B! I also love the fact that De... (0+ / 0-)

    Well put, Annie B!

    I also love the fact that Democratic candidate Trammell and Brat are both professors at Randolph-Macon College. Some young aspiring journalist could make her/his name by documenting the next few months on campus!

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