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U.S House Speaker John Boehner (L)(R-OH), House Majority leader Eric Cantor (R)(R-VA) and Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (C)(R-CA) walk appear before the press at the White House following their lunch meeting with U.S. President Barack Obama, February 9, 20
The top choice of tea partiers who hoped House Majority Leader Eric Cantor's primary defeat would topple the House GOP's leadership structure is bowing out of the race to succeed Cantor:
Rep. Jeb Hensarling will not run for House majority leader in next week's special election, according to sources familiar with his decision. [...] Hensarling's decision is a blow to House conservatives, as he was the last of their preferred candidates to be seriously considering a run against McCarthy.
That leaves House Rules Committee Chairman Pete Sessions as McCarthy's sole challenger:
Scoop: Sessions to Post outside big mtg of right flank: "Jeb is out, I'm running for majority leader"
And it also leaves McCarthy confident of a win—or at least pretending to be confident:
At a Wednesday night dinner with Washington donors, Kevin McCarthy all but declared victory in his race for majority leader.

The California Republican confidently predicted that he had enough votes to win the race for majority leader, according to sources present. His office declined to comment.

I don't have any spies or bugging devices inside the GOP conference, and at least on the surface Sessions does seem to be a dramatically smaller threat to McCarthy than did Hensarling, but this much seems clear: Member of the House GOP leadership who make predictions like McCarthy's don't have the best track record of late.

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