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LBJ, Reagan and Bush 43 didn't. Doubtful that Nixon would have. I can't really find anything one way or the other on Ike (links?). Prez. Clinton was definitely helped by an overreaching GOP. But he also used his megaphone to shout it from the rooftops. BHO refuses to do that.

I have thought all year that we would hold on to the Senate 52-48/51-49. I still believe deep down that we will hold, but BHO's numbers are starting to worry me.

Gallup    Approve 42, Disapprove 53    Disapprove +11

CBS News/NY Times    Approve 40, Disapprove 54    Disapprove +14

Congressional Approval  CBS News/NY Times    Approve 14, Disapprove 78    Disapprove +64

2014 Generic Congressional Vote    CBS News/NY Times    Democrats 42, Republicans 39    Democrats +3

I pretty much ignored Gallup until the Times poll came out. If you look at the Congressional approval rating, why not make bogeymen out of them? What do we have to lose at this point? What else can he do to get out of this doghouse? sigh.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (5+ / 0-)

    New Republic: So are the left-wing blogs as bad as the Tea Party ones in this case? -------------------------Chuck Schumer: Left-wing blogs are the mirror image. They just have less credibility and less clout.

    by AlexDrew on Tue Jun 24, 2014 at 01:56:19 PM PDT

  •  This part is key (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Stude Dude, sebastianguy99, hbk
    2014 Generic Congressional Vote    CBS News/NY Times    Democrats 42, Republicans 39    Democrats +3
    Despite Obama's approval being low, Democrats are still leading the generic ballot in nearly every survey released. That tells me that the Republicans are despised far more broadly. Don't worry - we're still on track to win this election.
  •  I disagree with your premise (7+ / 0-)

    Clinton's approval never dipped below 58% in his second term, and the reason wasn't that he waged unceasing warfare on Republicans - in fact he was even more bipartisany than Obama at this point in his presidency - it was because the economy was booming and wages were increasing, due in large measure to the tech bubble and the beginnings of the housing bubble; today that is not the case.

    Not to mention, Lewinsky-gate aside, Republicans were actually quite willing to deal with Clinton in his second term, due to the party just being saner than its current incarnation, and because the lesson they'd learned from the 1995-96 shutdown and their defeat in 1996 was that the American people wanted them to govern, not wage unceasing warfare.  Today's Republicans by contrast have only doubled-down since their defeats in 2012 and in last year's shutdown.  This refusal to moderate is due in part to Obama's political weakness, the result mostly of the mediocre economy, and in part to a sense that being sane during the 1990s only made Clinton more popular while producing no real political gain for Republicans.

    And today's Republicans are simply crazier as a result of a right wing radicalized by the economic bad times and especially the reality of a black president who has, however imperfectly, pushed for an activist federal government, from the Stimulus to Obamacare to Dodd-Frank, and who has openly supported same-sex marriage, and who won election and re-election on the strength of an increasingly non-white electorate.  Clinton, by contrast, was not seen as much of a threat.  Clinton declared the era of big government over, signed DOMA into law, implemented DADT, enacted welfare reform, and appealed to white voters in way no Democrat had for some time.

    So while Obama is not blameless here for the poor political position he finds himself in - the failure to politically exploit anti-Wall Street sentiment and to use TARP money to more aggressively bailout distressed homeowners damaged his best chance for preserving Dem control of the House in 2010, the loss of which effectively ended any chance at passing new measures to boost the economy - the cause of his woes lies not with his failure to call out Republicans more but in the insanity of the current Republican party, as well as the sluggish economy.

    "Those who have wrought great changes in the world never succeeded by gaining over chiefs; but always by exciting the multitude." - Martin Van Buren

    by puakev on Tue Jun 24, 2014 at 02:54:22 PM PDT

    •  Thanks for reminding me how great the Clinton 42 (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Chas 981

      years were. Reading DKos, sometimes you forget that we had a Dem in the WH for 8 years. Probably wasn't your intention though.

      New Republic: So are the left-wing blogs as bad as the Tea Party ones in this case? -------------------------Chuck Schumer: Left-wing blogs are the mirror image. They just have less credibility and less clout.

      by AlexDrew on Tue Jun 24, 2014 at 04:16:38 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Economy during the Clinton years was great (4+ / 0-)

        how much of that was due to Clinton's policies is not clear.  He wasn't responsible for the tech boom/bubble.  He was somewhat responsible for the housing boom that began under his watch. As we saw, of course, that wasn't sustainable.

        Clinton did good insofar as he kept the ship steady.  Also SCHIP, the Family Medical Leave Act, and raising taxes on the wealthy in 1993 were very good policies, although I'm not sure what role any of those played in bringing about the tech and housing booms that fueled the 1990s economy.

        But the failure of his health care reform plan, his passage of welfare reform, deregulation of the financial industry, NAFTA, DOMA, DADT, triangulation, reinforcing the conservative narrative about "big government"...can any liberal say these were things that advanced the progressive cause?

        In short, Clinton's presidency was a mixed bag.  Sure, he was popular, most presidents are when the economy is booming.  But his actual policies and their lasting impact are a different story.  

        "Those who have wrought great changes in the world never succeeded by gaining over chiefs; but always by exciting the multitude." - Martin Van Buren

        by puakev on Tue Jun 24, 2014 at 04:44:27 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Clinton's hounding by the Republicans in (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      puakev, Parthenia, sebastianguy99

      the lead up to his impeachment actually helped him, and the Democrats.  The GOP thought they were going to gain lots of seats in 1998 because the population would be so scandalized--it backfired and they actually lost some. African Americans in particular thought Clinton was wrongly pursued.

      the woman who is easily irritated

      by chicago minx on Tue Jun 24, 2014 at 04:28:39 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  GOP Approval 29%, Tea Party Approval 22%.... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    unfangus, wu ming

    so reported the NBC/WSJ June 11-15 2014 poll.  The Democratic party approval rate in the same poll was 38% while
    President Obama's approval was 41%.

    It's all in the context, my brother.  All in the context.

    History will show that President Obama is one of our greatest & most respected.

    Context.  His poll numbers today don't mean diddly.  

  •  His poll numbers seem to jump up when he (5+ / 0-)

    gets out on the road and talks to the American people.  Personally I think that's what he's best at and should do more often.

    The GOP will destroy anything they can't own.

    by AnnieR on Tue Jun 24, 2014 at 04:30:09 PM PDT

  •  what about President Carter? (0+ / 0-)

    He is active internationally,  involved in Habitat, etc.   Wonder what his present approval rating are.

  •  Historical error (0+ / 0-)
    LBJ, Reagan and Bush 43 didn't. Doubtful that Nixon would have.
    LBJ only had one term. That's why he had the option to run in 1968 (though of course he chose not to.) Why else would he say this:
    Accordingly, I shall not seek, and I will not accept, the nomination of my party for another term as your President.

    Their cause must be our cause too. Because it's not just Negroes, but really it's all of us, who must overcome the crippling legacy of bigotry and injustice. And we shall overcome. -- Lyndon B. Johnson

    by AllTheWayWithLBJ85 on Fri Jun 27, 2014 at 08:06:37 AM PDT

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