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Leading Off:

NY State Senate: For months, there've been rumors, leaks and half-heard reports of all sorts that the renegade Democrats who've handed control of New York's state Senate to the GOP were brokering a deal whereby they'd rejoin their mainstream counterparts—since, after all, Democrats control a majority of seats in the chamber. Now the wayward members of the so-called Independent Democratic Conference, in a joint statement with Gov. Andrew Cuomo, want the world to believe that they are in fact coming back:

[Bunch of b.s. about how great the IDC is.]

"Therefore all IDC members are united and agree to work together to form a new majority coalition between the Independent Democratic Conference and the Senate Democratic Conference after the November elections in order to deliver the results that working families across this state still need and deserve."

Note a few things of things here. For one, the IDC isn't saying they're definitely going to return to the Democrats—no, they're hedging, saying only they "agree to work together" to form a new coalition. That only means the IDC has agreed to work amongst itself on the concept of rapprochement. Hooray!

That leads us to the next thing: the timetable. The IDC isn't saying it's rejoining the Democrats now, which it easily could if it wanted to. They're just promising to possibly do something in the future, after the elections. The statement mentions November, but the real issue here is the September primaries, where so far two IDC members are being challenged by real Democrats: Sen. Jeff Klein (by Ollie Koppell) and Sen. Tony Avella (by John Liu). The IDC is just trying to undermine these challengers, to give voters less of a reason to fire their senators by making vague pledges that they'll be good. Some day.

That brings us to the final key point about this statement—specifically, what's not in it. The mainstream Senate Democrats didn't sign it—only Cuomo and Klein did. That means there's no actual deal here, nothing of substance. Again, it's just an airy-fairy promise about something that the IDC might do months and months from now.

And no one should ever trust any promise made by Cuomo, considering he started walking back his pledges to the Working Families Party scarcely a day after he earned their endorsement less than a month ago. No one should believe Klein, either, who's spent years trying to convince everyone that he's furthered the cause of progressivism by allying with Republicans.

So in the meantime, progressives need to keep their eyes on the ball. The IDC's promised nothing, and it still needs to go.

Senate:

MS-Sen: We have not one but two map-and-chart-filled retrospectives on Thad Cochran's surprising victory over Chris McDaniel in Tuesday's Republican Senate runoff. Dreaminonempty calculates just how many Democrats must have crossed over to help Cochran come from behind, while David Jarman looks at the similarities between where Cochran gained votes the second time around and where the state's African-American voters are. (David Jarman)

Gubernatorial:

CA-Gov: A new Field Research poll finds Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown handily defeating Republican Neel Kashkari by a 52-32 margin. That's very similar to the 53-35 lead Brown sported in a USC poll last month.

House:

CO-05: GOP Rep. Doug Lamborn barely survived his primary on Tuesday night, squeaking by underfunded challenger Bentley Rayburn with a slim 53-47 win. Then he went psycho:

Lamborn blamed the close race on President Barack Obama and said that voters are so frustrated with the Affordable Care Act that they are taking it out on Republicans who have been unable to stop the healthcare reform despite their best efforts.
Holy flonking sheep! Obama is now responsible for close shaves in Republican primaries? And this is coming from a guy who voted to keep the government shut down (and to repeal Obamacare a zillion times, of course). So he's saying he didn't oppose the president enough? The scary thing is that Lamborn almost certainly believes this—and a lot of other Republicans probably do, too. My word.

MA-06: The student-run Emerson College Polling Society finds Republican Richard Tisei taking a 45-40 lead on Democratic Rep. John Tierney, compared with a 44-all tie back in April, but note that the sample is a beyond-feeble 253 likely voters. If you can't scarf up a minimum of 300 respondents, you really shouldn't even bother releasing your polling.

Other Races:

CO State Senate: One of the legislative chambers Democrats will have to work very hard to defend is Colorado's state Senate, where two Democratic lawmakers were recalled last year, leaving the GOP just one seat shy of the majority. But Team Blue caught a big lucky break this week—or rather, two of them—and in a nice stroke of irony, the same gun fanatics who successfully pushed the recalls are responsible. That's because pro-gun extremists won Republican primaries in two competitive, Democratic-held Senate districts on Tuesday night, beating out more moderate (and more electable) candidates.

In the 19th District, court reporter Laura Woods beats out attorney Lang Sias, who came within a hair's breadth of picking up this seat from Democratic state Sen. Evie Hudak in 2012. Hudak resigned earlier this year rather than face another recall, so now Woods will run against appointed state Sen. Rachel Zenzinger. Meanwhile, in the 22nd, businessman Tony Sanchez crushed attorney Mario Nicolais; he'll square off against state Sen. Andy Kerr in November.

Both seats (located in the Denver-area Jefferson County) are only light blue at best, giving around 52-53 percent of their vote to Barack Obama. But both Woods and Sanchez are radicals supported by the equally radical Rocky Mountain Gun Owners, which (for instance) sent mailers accusing Sias of getting help from a "liberal millionaire homosexual." Even former state GOP chair Dick Wadhams declared that his party's nominees were the "wrong candidates" who "cannot win." If he's right, Republicans have once again proven they'll never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.

Providence Mayor: He's back! The one and only Buddy Cianci, who served two stints as mayor of Rhode Island's largest city, announced Wednesday that he will run for his old job once again as an independent. The colorful Cianci left office both times due to his troubles with the law, and he even served time in prison for racketeering.

A number of Democratic candidates are vying for this open seat (incumbent Mayor Angel Taveras is running for governor), and one of them will emerge from the Sept. 9 primary to face Cianci. Cianci is a controversial figure at home, but he retains enough support that it's far from impossible for him to win again in November. (Jeff Singer)

Grab Bag:

(Jeff Singer) Ads: Now 100 percent Chris McDaniel-free!

AK-Sen: Put Alaska First continues to hit Republican Dan Sullivan for leaving the public out of land-use decisions.

CO-Sen: Between them, Crossroads GPS and Generation Opportunity have four ads against Sen. Mark Udall. Crossroads goes after him on environmental regulation and the Keystone Pipeline, while Generation Opportunity reuses two ads they've run in other Senate contests.

HI-Sen: Colleen Hanabusa continues to stress her accomplishments. The spot's message is fine, but the ad is mostly an overwhelming amount of text with narration, and it feels like a PowerPoint presentation gone wrong.

NC-Sen: The Susan B. Anthony List attacks Sen. Kay Hagan on late term abortion.

NH-Sen: Scott Brown has a minute long version of a previously released ad with his sister.

AR-Gov: Democrat Mike Ross emphasizes education.

FL-Gov: Gov. Rick Scott goes after Charlie Crist for not releasing his wife's tax returns.

AL-06: Paul DeMarco hits Republican runoff rival Gary Palmer on taxes.

MN-08: Republican Stewart Mills' wife sings the candidate's praises.

TX-23: Concerned Vets ties Democratic Rep. Pete Gallego to the VA scandal.

(Jeff Singer)

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Unfortunately, the Working Families (6+ / 0-)

    Party seems to have fallen for this sham of an "agreement" hook, line and sinker:

    In a statement, the WFP praised the news as a chance to pass long-sought liberal measures.

    ‎”Today’s announcement that the IDC will be reuniting with Senate Democrats to form a new progressive majority in the State Senate is great news for working families throughout New York,” said State Director Bill Lipton. “From public financing and the full women’s equality agenda to the DREAM Act and raising the minimum wage, we now have a tidal wave of momentum to finally pass these critical pieces of legislation. We look forward to working with Senator Andrea Stewart-Cousins, Senator Jeff Klein and a new progressive majority next year, and to growing that majority this November.”

    NYSofpolitics
    •  They got played, (2+ / 0-)

      and I guess they feel like they have to put a good face on it. I hope all the NYC Kossacks will not forget that the WFP Cuomo endorsement was brokered by Hizzoner. I am waiting patiently to see what his reward will be.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 06:36:19 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  They didn't fall for anything (3+ / 0-)

      They were almost certainly involved. People idolize the WFP but they are often as cynical and corrupt as any political machine. Let's not forget that before the IDC existed, WFP deliberately helped the Repubs keep the state senate rather than helping Dems win it. Their motivation was the same as the IDC: elevating their importance by keeping the Dems from dominating Albany.

      WFP may be progressive but they remain a machine and no one should be surprised to see them act like a machine.

      FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes! Progressive Blogging New York: Write Now NY Find me on Linkedin.

      by mole333 on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 07:03:40 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Anyone (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      SCFrog, Darth Stateworker

      who falls for Cuomo's promises gets what they deserve.  PEF been there, done that, do not want to do that ever again!

      "The light which puts out our sight is darkness to us." Thoreau

      by NancyWH on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 08:04:46 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  You are missing the new SurveyUSA poll showing ... (5+ / 0-)

    You are missing the new SurveyUSA poll showing KS Gov Brownback down 47-41 to Demo challenger Paul Davis. There's hope in Brownbackistan.

  •  The IDC needs to go, and so does Cuomo (5+ / 0-)

    And quick, before he gets too many "presidential" aspirations.

    And God said, "Let there be light"; and with a Big Bang, there was light. And God said "Ow! Ow My eyes!" and in a flash God separated light from darkness. "Whew! Now that's better. Now where was I. Oh yea . . ."

    by Pale Jenova on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 06:13:35 AM PDT

  •  They'll want all the leadership positions, (5+ / 0-)

    naturally. And the key committees. And Democrats just get to vote for whatever they want.

    Hell no. Fuck these guys.

  •  Zephyr Teachout is primarying Cuomo. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sidnora, NancyWH

    She was the person that WFP was considering endorsing if Cuomo didn't promise to behave like a Democrat. She is petitioning to get on the Dem ballot. It will be my distinct pleasure to vote for her in September! She's pretty fabulous.

    •  I've already signed (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tb mare, NancyWH

      her nominating petition. With pleasure.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 06:37:39 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Did you see this? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        sidnora

        "The light which puts out our sight is darkness to us." Thoreau

        by NancyWH on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 08:10:01 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Nice! (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          NancyWH

          I signed at a street fair where I was carrying petitions for some local candidates, and the two kids who were carrying the Teachout petitions told me that people were practically mobbing them. One of them had quit WFP over the endorsement vote.
          Later a woman came up to me asking if I was carrying Teachout petitions and begging to be told where she could meet her (she was somewhere at the fair).

          "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

          by sidnora on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 02:50:22 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  I don't know who's more infuriating... (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    sidnora, NancyWH

    These NY IDC dinos or Andrew Cuomo?  Progressives always seem to be forced to choose the lesser of two weevils.  Sure, I'll hold my nose and vote for Cuomo and for Hilary when the general comes (hoping he may acquire some sense and she won't simply pander to the corporate war hawks) because Senators Warren and Sanders (or anyone with honest Progressive voting can't get the nomination).  All I tell myself is this: imagine the sheer catastrophe of a Republican Senate or Presidency.  At least Cuomo hasn't repealed the gun control legislation (aka The Safe Act) that ALL of my (ignorant redneck) neighbors have lawn signs protesting.  Out here in Dead Red western NY it's already McCarthy's The Road Meets Texas Open Carry.  We're not holding off the nightmare, we're just waiting for the climate to have the last word in human stupid.

    •  The problem for NY Dems is that they (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      NancyWH, quill

      brought this on themselves. I live in a heavily Democratic district, and the previous Senator here was so abysmally bad for the area and progressive causes. He was simply in the pocket of Albany and developers. He had a Republican attack him from both the left and right (the previous Senator was African-American with many supporters who were anti-gay marriage, so of course the Republican came out strongly for pro-gay marriage, and abortion rights, and the arts, etc. In general, his policies for the region were better as well. And he wasn't part of Sheldon Silver's cabal. The big negative is that he's a Republican.

      New York is a perfect example of what happens when a party takes voters for granted. I cannot tell you how many lefties and progressives tend to like the Republican up here.

      There are two kinds of people in this world. The kind who divide the world into two kinds of people, and the kind who don't.

      by upstate NY on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 06:31:34 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  He won't touch (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      NancyWH

      gun control, or any other progressive legislation that doesn't cost Wall Street anything.

      "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

      by sidnora on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 06:40:48 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  No real need to hold your nose (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Zack from the SFV

      if you don't want to.  You'll likely be able to vote for Teachout in the primary (I think she'll make it on the Dem primary ballot), and then, if you're really serious about not wanting to pull a lever for Cuomo someone like Hawkins in the general or even writing Teachout (or even Mickey Mouse) in.

      LT Gov race could be really interesting - Teachouts running mate (I forget the name) actually has a shot of beating out Hochul as of current polling, because neither really has statewide name recognition.  If Teachouts running mate wins, Cuomo has to run with an Lt Gov he didn't choose.  That'll really piss him off.

      There is no shot of Teachout a win in the primary, or a protest vote handing Astorino a victory in the general, but a significantly sized protest vote in the primary and/or in the general might just send him a message if it's large enough.  Additionally, if it's large enough, it will surely cause a lot of negative ink to be spilled in the press for him and cause him quite a bit of discomfort and embarrassment.  Especially since he feels he "needs" to win in a huge slam-dunk to reflect his "legitimacy" as a presidential contender in 2016.

      Because there's no shot in Astorino winning - at least based on current polling -  protest votes seem like they're a safe play.  I expect he'll do better than Paladino because he isn't as batshit insane, but I don't think his numbers are going to get much better than they are now unless Cuomo really screws something up and pisses people off who don't normally follow politics closely.

      "There was no such thing as a "wealthy" hunter-gatherer. It is the creation of human society that has allowed the wealthy to become wealthy. As such, they have an obligation to pay a bit more to sustain that society than the not-so-wealthy." - Me

      by Darth Stateworker on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 03:11:56 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I trust the IDC! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    NancyWH, starduster

    ...as far as I can throw them.

    I will not be tying any yellow ribbons on trees in breathless anticipation of their return to the fold. I will, instead, continue donating to the Koppell and Liu campaigns.

    I am also supporting the campaign of James Kemmerer, running against Republican Marty Golden in the 20th district in south Brooklyn. I have met this candidate, and he is the real deal, both progressive and extremely well-qualified. There's more than one way to build a real Democratic majority in the NY State Senate.

    "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself."........ "The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." (yeah, same guy.)

    by sidnora on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 06:48:36 AM PDT

  •  Winning the NY State Senate (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    NancyWH, AndersonDelValle, starduster

    In addition to Liu and Koppell's challenges to IDC members, there is also a credible challenge to a Repub, Marty Golden. You can contribute to all three progressives at my Reform Albany Act Blue site. All three races are winnable but since turn out is often low in off elections, all three challengers need our help to mount a good GOTV campaign.

    FREEDOM ISN'T FREE: That's why we pay taxes! Progressive Blogging New York: Write Now NY Find me on Linkedin.

    by mole333 on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 07:08:58 AM PDT

  •  There is a commercial that runs regularly (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV

    intending to promote Nevada as a vacation destination.

    I think they are trying to get everyone's mind off of wacko militias.

    The commercial features horse riding, hiking, camping, fishing, blah, blah, over the song "Don't Fence Me In". (They mention nothing about casinos or glitz)

    Now, as I watch this, I'm thinking that is the very anthem of the Brady clan.

    Give me land, lots of land under sunny skies above
    Don't fence me in
    As in "Gimme all your land, citizens, and I'm not going to pay you a nickel!".

    Now, I'm no advertising expert, but is that really the message they want to convey?

    I think they should go back to What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas.

    Yes, DailyKos DOES have puzzles! Visit us here Saturday nights @ 5:00 PDT (easier puzzles) and Sunday nights @ 5:00 PDT (more challenging) for a group solving. Even if you just pop in and comment while watching the fun, everybody is welcome. uid:21352

    by pucklady on Thu Jun 26, 2014 at 09:37:48 AM PDT

  •  Please Help!! (0+ / 0-)

    Please help us and tell Rep. Bradley Byrne (of Alabama) to support expanding Medicaid Please call Phone: (251) 690-2811 Phone: (251) 972-8545 phone: (202) 225-4931 fax: (202) 225-0562 (let him have it)   

    Please help us and tell Governor (of Alabama) Bentley to expand Medicaid.  Here’s his contact number 334-242-7100 or fax 334-353-0004. (let him have it)       

  •  Colorado (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    basket

    I hate it when I agree with Dick Wadhams (we were the two Republican Wunderkids in Colorado Republican politics in the 1980's).  But I do.  The dems chances of retaining the Colorado State Senate just went up exponentially with these kooky primaries.  The GOP has a real problem in Jefferson County which is the swing county in the swing state in the US.  They may lose more than  just these two seats.  All legislative seats in Jeffco are swing seats.  There are others that might be picked up in Jeffco as a result of these idiots.  When I was chair of the Republican Party (yes, that's not a typo) in  1990, there was one elected Democrat in the county.  Now there are a number and with the results of the primary at the county level, there will be more democrats since the GOP gave their nomination to more nuts at the local level.  It will certainly result in the possibility of a 1-1 tie on the county commission which will have to replace one of its members since one of the members is running for Clerk and Recorder and if elected will resign from the Commission.  If the Democrat were to win the County Commission seat up for grabs, it could be a 3-0 Democrat County Commission in the heart of what used to be the most Republican County in Colorado.  The State Senators could be 4-0 Democrat and the Representatives could be 6-2 Democratic.  What fun.  As Jefferson County goes, so goes the nation.

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