Skip to main content

Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest banner
Want the scoop on hot races around the country? Get the digest emailed to you each weekday morning. Sign up here.
Leading Off:

AR-Sen: If you've been wondering about Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor's surprising reversal of fortune in his difficult re-election campaign, this new piece from U.S. News probably does as decent a job as anyone can in trying to explain Pryor's return from the dead. There's no hard data here, so the thesis isn't falsifiable, but the authors argue that GOP Rep. Tom Cotton's "wooden and academic" style has made it hard for him to connect in a small state where parochial retail politics is still king.

Cotton's also been hurt, they say, by his lack of deep connections to Arkansas, and the fact that he's had to run ads trying to demonstrate his ties to his ostensible home state only underscores that this is an issue for him. Most interesting, though, is the argument that Pryor's remarks in early March, claiming Cotton has a "sense of entitlement" leading him to feel he should be elevated to the Senate because he served in the military, have actually undermined Cotton and not Pryor.

Originally many observers believed Pryor made an uncouth jab that would hurt him, but one unnamed Democrat suggests the comments actually "planted the necessary seed of doubt" about Cotton, and even thinks Pryor may have been playing a long game, accepting a "short-term hit" in exchange for a "long-term gain." And as he has with his Arkansas roots, Cotton has felt compelled to defend himself in TV advertisements against charges that he's overly ambitious, so perhaps the rebuke actually drew some blood. Again, this is all speculative and anecdotal, but Cotton certainly wouldn't be the first politician to run aground because of a relatability gap.

2Q Fundraising:

MT-Sen: John Walsh (D-inc): $1.25 million raised, $713,000 cash-on-hand

OR-Sen: Jeff Merkley (D-inc): $1.8 million raised, $3.5 million cash-on-hand

KY-Gov: Jack Conway (D): $750,000 raised (in seven weeks), $700,000 cash-on-hand

FL-18: Patrick Murphy (D-inc): $750,000 raised, $2.7 million cash-on-hand

NY-18: Sean Maloney (D-inc): $550,000 raised, $1.75 million cash-on-hand

Senate:

AK-Sen: A supposed spat between Democrats Mark Begich and Claire McCaskill may actually just be a particularly crafty bit of Br'er Rabbit-style trickery—and it's not like McCaskill is a stranger to political shenanigans. McCaskill has been pushing legislation that would eliminate the special treatment received by so-called Alaska Native Corporations, which are intended to help native communities reap benefits from the state's oil production efforts. McCaskill claims the ANC's profits are not actually reaching their intended beneficiaries, a charge that Begich has reacted angrily to, going so far as to say that McCaskill "has trouble understanding Alaska history, even with my repeated attempts to reason with her."

If that seems over-the-top by Senate standards, perhaps it was. As TPM's Dylan Scott points out, it certainly doesn't hurt Begich to pick a fight with his Democratic colleagues. And check out McCaskill's latest statement on the dispute:

"I've fought for six years to change the law in regard to Alaska Native Corporations. There has consistently been one problem—Mark Begich. He single-handedly protects Alaska and the ANCs."
It's almost as though Begich's own press shop wrote that! If McCaskill is really taking one for the team here by playing the heel, then my hat is well and truly doffed.

IA-Sen: Awesome!

Sarah Palin might have called for the impeachment of President Barack Obama Tuesday, but Iowa Republican Senate candidate Joni Ernst actually beat her to the punch by six months.

At a Montgomery County, Iowa, candidate forum in January, Ernst told a crowd that she believed Obama had "become a dictator" and that he needed to face the consequences for his executive actions, "whether that's removal from office, whether that's impeachment."

KS-Sen: Ha!
Kansas Republican Sen. Pat Roberts is struggling to combat criticism from opponents who say he shouldn't represent a state where he no longer lives permanently.

Roberts, who owns a property in Dodge City that he currently rents out, didn't help that perception with a verbal slip-up during an interview with KCMO radio. "Every time I get an opponent—I mean, every time I get a chance, I'm home," Roberts said in the interview. "I don't measure my record with regards as a senator as how many times I sleep wherever it is."

MS-Sen: Some men just want to watch the world burn, and others merely want to supply the gasoline. The Senate Conservatives Fund just gave legendary sore loser Chris McDaniel $70,000 to keep pursuing his allegations that voter fraud caused him to lose last month's GOP runoff to Sen. Thad Cochran. McDaniel may also use some of the funds to build a hideout deep in the Philippine jungle from which he can continue his fight for decades to come.

Gubernatorial:

ME-Gov: A PAC backed by the DGA and several labor unions, called Maine Forward, says it plans to spend $2 million this year on ads supporting Democratic Rep. Mike Michaud, who is hoping to unseat GOP Gov. Paul LePage. The group hasn't made any reservations yet, but given LePage's vulnerabilities and Democrats' eagerness to knock him off, the threat is real—and it's not like the DGA messes around.

House:

FL-18: LOL:

A Wednesday dinner and candidate forum featuring the six Republicans running for the Palm Beach-Treasure Coast seat of freshman Rep. Patrick Murphy, D-Jupiter, has been scrubbed after only 22 people signed up to attend.
The best part is that tickets were only $20 a person and included a meal!

KS-04: Koch Industries, which is headquartered locally in Wichita, has endorsed Rep. Mike Pompeo, who faces a challenge in the GOP primary from the man he succeeded, ex-Rep. Todd Tiahrt. Both Republicans have received backing from the Kochs in the past, but Pompeo's voting record aligns more closely with the dystopian outlook the Kochs favor. Note, though, that this endorsement comes from the petrochemical company that made the Kochs their fortune and not from the many-limbed Kochtopus that terrorizes the political scene (with arms like Freedom Partners, Americans for Prosperity, the 60 Plus Association, etc.), so it remains to be seen if real money will get spent on this race.

VA-07: Hrm. A Politico story says that soon-to-be-ex-Rep. Eric Cantor is busy trying to raise as much as $150,000 in order to wind down his campaign committee, and one reason the piece gives is that Cantor may have already spent money designated for the general election and would need to refund those contributors. However, it's strictly non-kosher to spend general election-only funds on a primary, as we saw with Marjorie Margolies in Pennsylvania. So either Politico got something wrong (there's a vague update at the bottom of the article suggesting as much), or Cantor did something seriously not okay.

Other Races:

NY State Senate: We're officially living in bizarro world: New York's Working Families Party endorsed Gov. Andrew Cuomo for re-election in May and has now withdrawn their endorsements from two Democrats challenging members of the Senate's IDC: Oliver Koppell and John Liu. The WFP is obviously buying into the bogus non-promise by renegade Democrats to return to the fold next year, but it's pretty messed up when a supposedly left-wing political party aimed at pushing the Democrats in a more liberal direction backs a reactionary like Cuomo yet spurns progressives like Koppell and Liu.

This is politics at its transactional worst, but the WFP has even endorsed Republicans in the past in exchange for action on their legislative priorities, so this really isn't too surprising. Still, what the WFP's done here should not be forgotten. They had a chance to help take out two renegade Democrats, Jeff Klein and Tony Avella, and they've simply opted to abandon the candidates who stuck their necks to try and make New York a better place.

Even grosser, supposed progressive champion Bill de Blasio, elected mayor of New York on a landslide of liberal support last year, has now endorsed Klein and Avella. De Blasio even had the chutzpah to claim that the pair has "worked tirelessly on behalf of the residents of New York City and helped make progress on issues that had been stalled for far too long." What barf.

Grab Bag:

Ads:

AR-Sen: Mark Pryor (D); Tom Cotton (R); Crossroads GPS (anti-Pryor)

CO-Sen: Crossroads GPS (anti-Mark Udall)

GA-Sen: Chamber of Commerce (pro-Jack Kingston)

KY-Sen: Alison Grimes (D); Kentucky Opportunity Coalition (anti-Grimes)

LA-Sen: Bill Cassidy (R)

MT-Sen: Steve Daines (R); John Walsh (D)

NH-Sen: League of Conservation Voters (anti-Scott Brown)

WI-Gov: Mary Burke (D)

FL-02: Gwen Graham (D)

Demographics: You're probably familiar with the theory that different generations have different voting patterns, based on what was happening in politics during their formative years. That theory has a lot more statistical oomph behind it now, thanks to Andrew Gelman's analysis of individual-level age and party preference data from Catalist. The underlying principle is that events at age 18 have a much stronger impact on forming one's political identity than events that take place at, say, age 40.

It sounds pretty abstract, but the New York Times writeup makes it tangible with a great interactive graphic, where you can manipulate a slider based on a person's birth year to see how each generation has evolved politically over the decades. You can see succeeding waves, with the Silent Generation (those born before or during WWII) and Gen X'ers showing up as more Republican than average, while Baby Boomers and especially Millennials are more Democratic than average.

It doesn't really delve into the causation, though, which poses a bunch of interesting questions. For instance, what's stronger, positive association with the party in charge when things are going well during one's formative years (e.g., the Silent Generation and Eisenhower), or negative association with who's in power when things are going poorly (e.g., Millennials and George W. Bush)? Or is parenting, not political events, what's really driving the ebb and flow? In other words, are Gen X'ers shaped by their Silent Generation parents, and Millennials shaped by their Boomer parents? No one can say for sure. (David Jarman)

NRCC: The NRCC has released a new round of Young Guns candidates, but mostly they're just playing catch-up with concluded primaries.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

  •  That FL-18 story... (23+ / 0-)
    Russell said the six GOP candidates — in alphabetical order, Carl Domino, Beverly Hires, Brian Lara, Alan Schlesinger, Calvin Turnquest and Nick Wukoson – have gotten plenty of exposure at other events in the Treasure Coast.
    Schlesinger... wait a second... could it be?  Yes!!  It IS the same guy who lost to Joe Lieberman and Ned Lamont in CT-Sen!!
  •  The NRCC "Young Guns" program (12+ / 0-)

    is a joke.  Nan Hayworth?  Really?   How does a 54-year old former 1-term Congresswoman (she was beaten by the current incumbent) constitute a "Young Gun".  She certainly is not a new face.   But, that's OK.  Let them throw away their money in a district which is rated  Safe Democrat.

    Anyone arguing that there's no difference between the parties is a fucking moron who can simply go to hell. -- kos

    by Its the Supreme Court Stupid on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 05:38:32 AM PDT

  •  That slider is interesting. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mopshell

    Of course, it must be pointed out, first of all, that it's only measuring white voters.  (Are there no generational differences among minorities, or do they not count?)

    One oddity is people born in 1955 taking a big jump toward Republicans.  Seems unusual since they'd have been 19 when Watergate came out.

    30, white male, TX-07 (current), TN-09 (born), TN-08 (where parents live now)

    by TDDVandy on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:00:09 AM PDT

    •  No differences, at least for black voters (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Odysseus

      They commented on this in the text - it's a short read, so if you have time I'd revisit the article and read it.

      Black voters are reliably Democratic for all generations starting with FDR's New Deal coalition, so that's why they just did the slider on white people.  The trend only exists with white people.

      "Give me a lever long enough... and I shall move the world." - Archimedes

      by mconvente on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:42:38 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  But also trying to establish their lives when (0+ / 0-)

      Jimmy Carter was President and both unemployment and inflation went through the roof.

      AND -- recipients of the Reagan economy.

      LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

      by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 07:07:12 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  more new jobs were added in Carter's one term (0+ / 0-)

        than in Obama's and Dubya's terms combined. About twice as many were in Reagan's two terms, but he had two terms to do it in and they mostly came in during the second term.

        We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

        by James Allen on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 07:38:35 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Unfortunately, (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          James Allen

          despite the employment to population ratio increasing from 57.0 in Jan 1977 when Carter took office to 60.1 at the end of 1979 (massive employment growth, albeit with concern about inflation), it dropped dramatically from then until the election 59.0 in Nov 1980, and continued to drop and be blamed on Carter, until March 1983 when it had dropped back to 57.1.  by Nov 1984 it was back to 59.8, and by Nov 1988 to 62.7!  It peaked at 63.2 in 1990 and then dropped to 61.4 by Nov 1992 (costing a President who had set approval records earlier in his term, the election, IMO).

          This was pretty much entirely due to the Fed (i.e. "Tall" Paul Volcker '79-'87).

          Carter got the blame for the job loss, Reagan for the job gain.  People remember the inflation, which was never below 5% p..a. in Carter's term, and got as high as 14.6% p.a. in early 1980.  They also blame Carter for that.  Except for economists and political wonks, they mostly don't know or understand or remember that the inflation is what convinced Volcker to throw Americans out of work to tame it.

          Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

          by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 08:40:11 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  And George HW Bush also got blame for the (0+ / 0-)

            recession during his term, not helped by an unfair perception that he was out of touch.

            Carter was not to blame for the inflation, but he sure was stuck with it.  The blame is fairly laid at LBJ's feet, waging war in VietNam while launching The Great Society and not raising taxes.  Put that onto an already hot economy, and you will get inflation. Let it go long enough, and it will get baked into labor contracts, loans, just about everybody.

            People forget that Reagan was not quite so popular in 1982 when the Democrats picked up 26 House seats.  To fight inflation, he was willing to tolerate a spike in unemployment.  Maybe it was necessary: things got much better after inflation cooled off. and the economy did more than all right.  It's fair to say he set the table for those who followed him, but that didn't help H.W who got blamed, as all Presidents do, for the inevitable cycles and swings.

            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

            by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 09:08:24 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  The Fed slashed rates (0+ / 0-)

              for almost all of Reagan's first term.  He doesn't deserve much credit for courage on this issue.

              Carter does.

              Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

              by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 09:34:00 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Carter? (0+ / 0-)

                That sounds like incredibly kind and hazy thinking.
                Carter was, for all intents and purposes, helpless when it came to the economy.

                He was also out of office.
                Reagan was the guy in the hot seat who sat there while unemployment spiked and inflation withered.

                LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 09:48:54 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Carter appointed Volcker (0+ / 0-)

                  and gave him the go-ahead to spike the Fed rate..

                  http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

                  Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                  by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 10:02:03 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  Lovely spin. (0+ / 0-)

                    But sounds like Carter does deserve credit for letting Volcker spike those rates even as it drove inflation even higher.

                    It was, however, Reagan who sat in that seat without dumping Volcker while unemployment climbed through the roof. Wonder if Carter would have had the courage to do that?

                    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                    by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 10:58:43 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  Volcker was SLASHING (0+ / 0-)

                      interest rates nearly the whole first term.  Doesn't take a lot of courage to put up with a 60% reduction in the Fed rate.  What was Reagan going to do, appoint somebody who'd slash them faster than what were already the biggest, fastest cuts ever?

                      Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                      by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 11:05:23 AM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                      •  Slashing, eh? VIOLENT VIOLENT!! (0+ / 0-)

                        Let's see -- July 8, 1981: 20.5%

                        Hmmm... Now there's a heck of a slash: up 3% from March of that year.

                        October 15, 1981: 17%

                        Now that's a nice drop: 1% per month.
                        Sweet.
                        17% was still near all-time highs, though.

                        December 3, 1981: 15.75%

                        Now we're talking some violence, but...

                        February 18, 1982: 17%!

                        That's not slashing! That's going the wrong way!

                        The truth is that the Prime Rate didn't drop below 10% until 5 months into Reagan's second term. There was a steady overall downward trend, but no slashing,except for dedicated partisans.

                        LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                        by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 11:20:25 AM PDT

                        [ Parent ]

                        •  Nice cherrypicking (0+ / 0-)

                          From 20 to 12 in 1981.
                          Down to 8.5 by end of 82
                          Basically sideways for 83 and 84 (8.25 at end of year).

                          No, it wasn't entirely unidirectional, they were watching the inflation rate, and then there's the little matter of the 3% of GDP tax cut in 1981 (HUGE fiscal stimulus).  

                          http://www.newyorkfed.org/...

                          I've probably tested David's patience enough with this thread, so I'll leave it at that.

                          Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                          by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 11:31:57 AM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                        •  For those more naive than you (0+ / 0-)

                          I should probably mention that the Fed doesn't set the rate you are quoting (prime).  They do set the one I am quoting.

                          Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                          by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 11:39:10 AM PDT

                          [ Parent ]

                          •  I know, but the prime is directly affected by the (0+ / 0-)

                            Fed funds rate and I was able to get the numbers quickly.

                            BTW -- Since we're talking courage, Volcker slashed rates under Carter in 1980 more than he did for Reagan in 1981, taking the fed funds rate down to 8.5 mid-year.  It rose a bit prior to the election, but the big whomping increase came AFTER THE ELECTION, when Carter was a lame duck.

                            Some stones, eh?

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 12:05:14 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  The first big whomping increase came in (0+ / 0-)

                            '79-80, and started the recession.  Volcker backed off for a few months, and then hit it again, before Reagan came in, causing the double-dip.

                            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                            by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 12:14:25 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  hit it again, after the election (0+ / 0-)

                            Wonder how much Carter leaned on him in the lead-up?

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 12:28:58 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Since Volcker backed off only (0+ / 0-)

                            after the recession started, he probably wasn't responding primarily to politics.

                            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                            by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 12:43:31 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Also, he started increasing it again in early Aug. (0+ / 0-)

                            He raised the fed funds rate 6.5 % points in the 3 months leading into the election.

                            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                            by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 12:51:00 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  No he didn't. More like 3.75 points. (0+ / 0-)

                            Which, I'll grant, is not trivial.

                            After the election, however, he jacked it up.  It hit 15 on November 7, and 20 by the Time  Reagan took office two months later.

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 01:06:12 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  My bad (0+ / 0-)

                            the last hike was announced at the Oct 21st meeting, effective 3 days after the election (11/7).  Banks, of course, took no interest in this until after the election.

                            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                            by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 01:16:13 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  Banks knew it was coming and I'm sure (0+ / 0-)

                            adjustments were made, but those Federal Funds remained available at the (somewhat) lower rate. Even if you include it, that's still only 5 points, not 6.5. The ratchet prior to Reagan taking office was just as big in 2/3 the time.  In terms of effective dates, it was twice the size in 2/3 the time.

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 01:30:40 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  15-8.5 is 6.5, actually. (0+ / 0-)

                            You did say 8.5 as of 12:05, did you not?

                            Ok, so that's the bottom of a 1 point range.  More accurately it was an increase of 5.5 to 6.5 points announced in the roughly 3 months leading up to the election.  

                            Nothing about any of this leads me to believe Carter was a wuss, or clueless, or that Volcker pandered to Democratic election hopes.

                            Your responses do make clear that Carter got the blame, and Reagan got the credit, for something Volcker did.

                            And, this is WAY too long a go offsides for what is ostensibly a discussion of how voting patterns were affected for the generation coming of age at the time.

                            I'm done.  Really.

                            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                            by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 01:40:35 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  8.5 as of June 5. That would give you 6.5, but it (0+ / 0-)

                            would be over 5 months, not 3.

                            If we're talking federal funds.

                            LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

                            by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 02:08:00 PM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

                          •  I am weak (0+ / 0-)

                            8.5 lasted until August, it only started in June, therefore the hike from 8.5 started in August.

                            Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

                            by benamery21 on Thu Jul 10, 2014 at 10:46:36 AM PDT

                            [ Parent ]

            •  inflation had more to do with Nixon (0+ / 0-)

              dropping Bretton Woods and the oil crises vastly inflating the cost of oil, and therefore everything.

              We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

              by James Allen on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 10:33:01 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

      •  So, it's all Tall Paul's fault? (0+ / 0-)

        Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

        by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 07:40:42 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  LBJ earned a fair share of the blame. (0+ / 0-)

          Interesting that Carter lost out on the economy, but it's not like Nixon and Ford did much to make it better. Price controls and Whip Inflation Now? Seriously?

          LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

          by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 09:09:40 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  I wish it went back another generation (0+ / 0-)

      I know that generation is dying off, but the folks that saw the New Deal created (Hoover is a cussword, and FDR a saint among most of those I know) were pretty reliable Democrats, I think.  To this day my grandmother calls Hoover Dam, Boulder Dam.

      Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

      by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 10:11:31 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Cotton sounds like our wunderkind here in Ohio (14+ / 0-)

    The idiot Josh Mandel who as soon as he was elected state treasurer, immediately began running for Sherrod Brown's senate seat. The ambitious little twerp kept harping on his service in the marines during the entire campaign.

    Just another day in Oceania.

    by drshatterhand on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:12:42 AM PDT

  •  Um... would someone please explain to me... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Amber6541

    the differences between "raised" and "cash-on-hand", particularly with respect to those who have raised more than they have cash-on-hand?

    For example, John Walsh (D-MT-Sen-inc) raised $1.25 million but only has $713,000 cash-on-hand - so what happened to the other $517, 000 he raised?  

    Please note that lamps in the Magic Lamp Emporium are on a genie time-share program so there may be a slight delay in wish fulfillment. (◕‿◕)

    by Mopshell on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:13:39 AM PDT

    •  The difference is spending (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Mopshell, Amber6541

      Also loans, but mostly spending.

      Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

      by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:25:20 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Thanks for that - (0+ / 0-)

        I've been wondering this for a while now! Does this suggest that money was spent before it was raised? Or is it calculated over a month during which time they are spending as funds are raised?

        Please note that lamps in the Magic Lamp Emporium are on a genie time-share program so there may be a slight delay in wish fulfillment. (◕‿◕)

        by Mopshell on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:28:16 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  There are different reporting periods (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Mopshell

          but the most common are on a quarterly basis, or a cycle to date basis (since the last election).  However, for cash-on-hand, any money remaining from the preceding period is still included.

          Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

          by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:37:56 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

    •  Already spent it. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Amber6541, Mopshell

      Raised is money raised and cash on hand is money left over after some was spent on campaign.  I don't know the particulars on Walsh but he probably reserved ad time in the fall.  

      This is your world These are your people You can live for yourself today Or help build tomorrow for everyone -8.75, -8.00

      by DisNoir36 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:26:32 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  easy (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen, Mopshell

      think about raised at what you take in - your income, salary whatever you call it.

      Cash-on-Hand is the balance of your bankaccount(s) .

      and what happened to the difference - thy spent it :)
       

      "How many years since you found yourself staring at an endless sky? " VNV Nation - Endless Skies

      by Kavalor on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:32:06 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Hmm! (6+ / 0-)

    Seems Arkansans may not cotton to Cotton. . . .

  •  I find it very interesting that (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Amber6541, mconvente, wmspringer

    "(t)he Senate Conservatives Fund just gave legendary sore loser Chris McDaniel $70,000 to keep pursuing his allegations that voter fraud caused him to lose last month's GOP runoff to Sen. Thad Cochran."

    The Senate Conservatives Fund are really getting involved with the feud between McDaniel and the establishment faction. They've called for conservatives to sign a pledge to defund the National Republican Senatorial Committee. I wrote a diary about this a couple of days ago:

    Internal GOP Split Widens with Cuccinelli's Call to Defund the NRSC

    Please note that lamps in the Magic Lamp Emporium are on a genie time-share program so there may be a slight delay in wish fulfillment. (◕‿◕)

    by Mopshell on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 06:24:47 AM PDT

  •  Cotton looks like a psycho. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mconvente, buffie
  •  Generational Politics (0+ / 0-)

    You could even take the parents influence your political views theory a step further:

    X-ers are parented by Silent, whose parents grew up in the roaring 20s (extravagant capitalist era).

    Boomers are parented by Greatest (depression / wwii), whose parents grew up during the progressive era.

    I don't know enough about 19th century politics to take it any further.  And even if I did, I probably shouldn't.

  •  OK -- Has DNC made a secret deal with Republicans (0+ / 0-)

    or are these (GOP) Bozos really that stupid?

    I smell an Eight Men Out remake, only it's Eighty Reps Out (and ha! Try and filibuster us now that the only Senate seats you still hold weren't up for election this year).

    Only my faith in the ability of all politicians to be stupid and venal makes me unwilling to bet on it.

    LG: You know what? You got spunk. MR: Well, Yes... LG: I hate spunk!

    by dinotrac on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 07:04:57 AM PDT

  •  The article this diary linked to (0+ / 0-)

    re the RSC giving McDaniel funds for a court challenge, concludes with this paragraph:

    Attorneys representing McDaniel’s campaign have expressed confidence in their effort to challenge the results in court and said their investigation should result in another runoff election. The court challenge will set McDaniel on another uphill battle against the Republican establishment in which he will be outmanned and outraised against the party, which officially certified the results of the election Monday.
    I don't see how they can have another run-off after the party has officially certified the results. Even if a candidate dies between certification and the election, their name still remains on the ballot! Are these lawyers stringing McDaniel along or what is going on?

    Please note that lamps in the Magic Lamp Emporium are on a genie time-share program so there may be a slight delay in wish fulfillment. (◕‿◕)

    by Mopshell on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 07:10:24 AM PDT

  •  Speaking as a third-generation veteran... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ellefarr

    ...I was happy to see Pryor speak out against the 'sense of entitlement' we've created around recent military veterans.

    My late father (a career soldier, WWII/Korea/Vietnam) was disgusted by the hero-worship that developed after 9/11. He had actually predicted it decades earlier (in the 1980s) as a natural consequence of the shift to an all-volunteer military, and he identified the embryonic stages of the trend in the public's reaction to our military actions in Grenada and Panama.

    The scary part of this was that, as a lifelong student of history, he anticipated the political aspects of the trend as well, suggesting that a generation of campaigns would arise in the tradition of William Henry Harrison ("Tippecanoe and Tyler Too"), Dwight Eisenhower (General of the Armies), and others throughout US history. Dad suggested that, in the absence of compulsory national service, military service and the sense of duty which should accompany such service would be corrupted into questions of ego, talking points and important items on the "political ambition" checklist.

    This has been a LONG time in coming...

    The word "parent" is supposed to be a VERB, people...

    by wesmorgan1 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 07:37:42 AM PDT

    •  Good points (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GayHillbilly

      I served in the Marine Corps in the 1980s (and I only mention this to make a point; I usually don't tell anybody because I don't feel it makes me any more or less admirable), so I saw first-hand the kind of people who make up our military: some good, some average, some dipsticks, a few scary psycho jerks. Just like the general population at large. So I've never jumped on the all-hail-American-hero bandwagon when it comes to military service, either.

  •  Pryor v. Cotton (0+ / 0-)

    I can't help but believe that Cotton has faded a bit because some of the attacks he and billionaire interest groups have flung at Senator Pryor have fallen flat with Arkansas voters.  Mark Pryor grew up in the public spotlight and Arkansas voters are extremely familiar with him.  His father David was well respected in the state and the son followed in his father's foot steps.  Thus when Echo Chamber attacks are hurled at Pryor that don't pass the sniff test with Arkansas voters, because they know Mark Pryor, Tom Cotton suffers in comparison as an opportunist, not a sincere Arkansan.  

    Cotton challenging Pryor and his religiosity is a prime example of my thinking.

    "The Attorney General will not cast aspersions on my asparagus" - Texas Rep. Louis Gohmert-R to Attorney General Eric Holder.

    by walja on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 07:42:26 AM PDT

  •  The year I turned 18 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GayHillbilly

    (which I've thought about often -- this 18 theory has been around a very long time, though I can't remember where I first heard/read it -- in the 1970s I think).

    Anyway, it was 1968, one of the most politically explosive and unstable years when we really thought the world was cracking open, either to revolution or to dictatorship -- both dangerous and exhilarating, and by fall, disheartening. (I come from a politically progressive family and was on a politically engaged college campus, so was well aware of these as they happened.)

    Tet Offensive (Jan. 30-Feb. 23)
    McCarthy polls 42% in NH primary (Mar. 12); LBJ decides not to run for reelection (Mar. 31).
    MLKing assassination (April 4)
    General strike/occupation of Paris by left-wing student/trade union coalition (May)
    Poor People's Campaign/Resurrection City (DC, June)
    RFK assassination (June 5)
    USSR/Warsaw Pact invades Czechoslovakia (500,000 troops, tanks, etc.) to suppress "Prague Spring" (Aug. 20-21)
    Democratic Convention in Chicago, with police beating the stuffing out of student/anti-war demonstrators on national TV (Aug. 26-29)
    Triumph of The Enemy (Nixon) over the milktoastish Not-the-Candidate-We-Wished-For (Humphrey), Nov.

    •  Yeah, my Dad was born in '51 (0+ / 0-)

      There are a LOT of reasons to expect him to be reliably conservative (white, very religious, male, with a WV accent, living in AZ, small business owner, construction trades, non-union, etc), and he's WAY left on everything except social mores (and only some of those).  He's farther left than my mother on a lot of issues (not all), and she was a hippie married to a Native American in the 60's, and a single working mother in the 70's.

      Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

      by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 09:54:50 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Youtube Faux-Pryor ad (0+ / 0-)

    by DK member.  This is an excellent hit piece on Cotton.  The Pryor campaign has no involvement, but this independent :30 vid was posted to Youtube, and to Pryor's facebook page.

    http://www.dailykos.com/...

    Iron sharpens Iron. Normal is a dryer setting. STOP illegal immigration NOW! -- Make it LEGAL. If Corporations are People--Let's draft them.

    by benamery21 on Wed Jul 09, 2014 at 12:01:14 PM PDT

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site