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Leading Off:

AR-Sen: Well, this is different: A vulnerable red state Democrat is running an ad in support of Obamacare! Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor's spot is running for a "six figure buy" and features his father, former Gov. and Sen. David Pryor. The elder Pryor describes how Mark almost died of cancer: While he pulled through, the family ran into problems after the insurance company didn't want to pay for the life-saving procedure. Sen. Pryor then declares, "No one should be fighting an insurance company while you're fighting for your life. That's why I helped pass a law that prevents insurance companies from canceling your policy if you get sick, or deny coverage for preexisting conditions." While the ad doesn't say that this law is Obamacare, Pryor is clearly taking the most popular parts of the bill and running on them.

Pryor's spot comes at an interesting time in the campaign season. A piece in Bloomberg describes something we've been seeing in our ad roundups: Republicans are using Obamacare far less in their campaign commercials than they were a few months ago. Jonathan Bernstein of Bloomberg View helps explain why. Healthcare as a campaign issue is becoming far less important to voters, likely as memories of the Obamacare launch fade.

Bernstein also describes how Republicans are in a more awkward position when it comes to the law than they used to be. In 2010 and 2012 before the major parts of the program kicked in, it was easy for Team Red to call for its full repeal. However, it's becoming clear to voters and to Republican politicians that Obamacare is here to stay. While the GOP may hit Democrats for voting for it in the first place and attack some of the more unpopular aspects of the bill, they can't convincingly argue that they'll just repeal the program and be done with it. Republicans in tough races are having to take more nuanced positions: As Bernstein puts it, "they still almost all say they support repeal, but they weasel around the idea that various ACA programs and benefits will be included in that supposed repeal."

By no means is Obamacare dead as an issue. In just the last few days Crossroads GPS ran ads against Sen. Mark Udall in Colorado and CA-07 Rep. Ami Bera completely focused on Obamacare. Pryor's Republican rival Rep. Tom Cotton has also been hitting him on the bill. Still, it's becoming apparent that this cycle will not be a straight up referendum on Obamacare that some people may have predicted just a few months ago. Ads like Pryor's are also a sign that while red state Democrats may still be unwilling to outright express support for the program, they are finding ways to turn it into a positive. (Jeff Singer)

Senate:

AK-Sen: Once again, the polls were really, really wrong in Alaska—and in a way that may have hurt Democratic Sen. Mark Begich's chances of keeping his crucial Senate seat. Pollsters did indeed correctly predict that Dan Sullivan, the former head of the state's Department of Natural Resources, would win the Republican nomination on Tuesday night, which he captured with 40 percent of the vote.

But in a huge shocker, tea partier Joe Miller, whose destructive 2010 Senate bid tore open a deep fissure in the GOP, finished in second with 32 percent of the vote. Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell, who'd long appeared to be the only serious threat to Sullivan, brought up the rear with 25. The polling data, however, had it exactly backwards. Miller never once so much as grazed second place all year, and a final poll from Sullivan's own pollster, Moore Information, put him 25 points ahead of Miller! So the question is, was private Democratic polling similarly awry?

Perhaps Miller never had any shot of stopping Sullivan, but no one ever tried to help him. Democrats ran a few ads that seemed aimed at boosting Treadwell's profile, but surely it would have been worth attempting a Claire McCaskill-style ratfuck painting Sullivan and Treadwell as insufficiently purist while portraying Miller as the one true believer. As an added benefit, this would have been true!

And it seems like a real missed opportunity, because Miller's performance against Begich in the polling averages was much worse than his two opponents'. But that's all "what if" territory now. Begich, at least, expected Sullivan all along, given that he was the choice of the Republican establishment. And Sullivan certainly has his own weaknesses, particularly his thin ties to Alaska, a state that takes citizenship very seriously. This was always going to be one of the most difficult holds for Democrats, though, and nothing about that changed on Tuesday night.

HI-Sen: After a very long primary campaign that required an incredibly unusual overtime period, Rep. Colleen Hanabusa has finally conceded the Democratic nomination to Sen. Brian Schatz. After an initial round of voting, Schatz managed a narrow 1,635-vote lead, but thanks to storm damage that shuttered two polling locations, officials conducted a special election in the affected region a week later. The outcome didn't change, though, and Schatz wound up 1,769 votes ahead of Hanabusa, out of more than 230,000 cast.

While it's too facile to say that the election came down to a question of race, a very cool set of interactive maps from community member Xenocrypt shows that race does indeed explain some of the results. There was a clear correlation between how non-white an area was and how well Hanabusa did, which you can see in the linked scatterplot. But it wasn't simply a matter of Japanese Americans voting for Hanabusa: Her best performances came in regions that were heavily Native.

All in all, it was a fascinating contest, not least because the polling was (as always) so wildly wrong. And perhaps we'll get to do it all again next cycle: The winner of this election will only fill out the final two years of the late Sen. Dan Inouye's term, so Schatz, who will be the overwhelming favorite in November, will have to run again in 2016. Of course, he'll be more entrenched by that time, but this is Hawaii, so you never know what might happen.

MT-Sen: Rasmussen: Steve Daines (R): 55, Amanda Curtis (D): 35.

NC-Sen: Don't paint it red just yet: Suffolk University's first North Carolina poll of the cycle finds Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan with a narrow 45-43 lead on Republican Thom Tillis, with Libertarian Sean Haugh at 5. That's right in line with other recent polls (including a new one from PPP), which have tended to show a tight race but Hagan ahead.

Gubernatorial:

AZ-Gov: A new poll from Remington Research finds state Treasurer Doug Ducey leading the way in next week's GOP primary for governor in Arizona. Ducey takes 33 percent while former Mesa Mayor Scott Smith is at 22 and attorney Christine Jones sits in third with 18. That's very similar to a new Magellan poll that had Ducey at 31, Smith at 23, and Jones at 16. (Remington says the their poll was conducted independently and paid for by themselves, though in terms of partisan affiliation, they did do some work for the conservative Now or Never PAC in Kansas earlier this cycle.)

IL-Gov: A new survey from Democratic pollster Garin-Hart-Yang finds that Illinois' race for governor has tightened a bit, with Republican Bruce Rauner now edging Gov. Pat Quinn 44-41. According to Greg Hinz of Crain's Chicago Business, GHY had Rauner up 46-40 in May and 49-39 in April, though there seems to be no record of those numbers being made public at the time.

And perhaps that's because of the source. This poll wasn't conducted for Quinn or an allied group. Rather, it was paid for by Sen. Dick Durbin, who presumably released the gubernatorial toplines as a bit of a favor to his ticket-mate. But Durbin didn't share any information on his own race with Republican Jim Oberweis, perhaps because he didn't like his own margins, or perhaps, as Hinz speculates, because he's winning in a blowout but doesn't want anyone to take him for granted.

Either way, it's an unusual data pipeline, and the results suggest that perhaps Democratic attacks on Rauner as a Romney-esque vulture capitalist have actually been working. But Quinn's numbers haven't improved at all, and his situation remains very precarious.

FL-Gov: SurveyUSA: Rick Scott (R-inc): 44, Charlie Crist (D): 41, Adrian Wylie (L): 4 (early Aug.: 45-43 Scott).

OK-Gov: Now this is kind of interesting. GOP Gov. Mary Fallin has recently seen some surprisingly weak poll numbers, and now her fundraising's looking soft, too: Between June 25 and Aug. 14, Fallin's unheralded Democratic challenger, state Rep. Joe Dorman, managed to outraise her, $267,000 to $240,000. Fallin still has far more cash-on-hand, $1.1 million to $142,000, but she's outspent Dorman more than 3-to-1 in a race that ought to be a dead lock for the GOP yet somehow isn't quite looking that way.

Dorman's also released his first ad of the campaign, and he goes right at one of Fallin's sorest spots: education. Dorman narrates the ad and bluntly says that Fallin has "flip-flopped and failed on education," while showing a still photo of a large demonstration at the state capital with the caption, "30,000 Oklahomans protest Fallin's policies." The "flip-flop" refers to Fallin's about-face on Common Core, which she strongly supported before signing a bill to repeal the standards earlier this year. Fallin's insufficient hostility to the program angered conservatives, and Dorman is no doubt trying to stir up those feelings—a smart move, because he'll need plenty of GOP votes to have a prayer.

RI-Gov: Those millions in self-funding seem to have finally paid off for attorney Clay Pell, who now finds himself in a close three-way fight in Rhode Island's Democratic primary for governor, according to a new Fleming & Associates poll. Pell's surge also seems to have benefited state Treasurer Gina Raimondo, who's edged into a 32-27 lead over Providence Mayor Angel Taveras, with Pell close behind at 25. Back in May, Taveras had a narrow 33-29 advantage over Raimondo, with Pell far behind at 12.

We don't have any confirmatory polling, but Taveras apparently saw this coming, since he recently started airing an ad attacking not just Raimondo (as a Wall Street tool) but also hitting Pell (as inexperienced). Pell's stayed positive so far, but Raimondo has gone after Taveras with a Republican-esque spot accusing him of hiking taxes.

The real problem for Taveras, who wants to be seen as the true progressive option, is that both of his opponents are badly outspending him. That makes it much harder for him to change perceptions of the race with the Sept. 9 primary now just a few weeks away.

House:

AZ-01: Andy Tobin was supposed to be one of the top Republican House recruits this cycle. As the speaker of Arizona's state House, he had a prominent position from which to launch a campaign against Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, one of the most vulnerable Democrats in Congress thanks to the fact that her district voted for Mitt Romney by a 50-48 margin.

But he's long struggled just to keep his head above water in the GOP primary, despite the fact that one of his opponents is a first-time candidate who claimed that Democrats perpetrated "99 percent" of mass shootings and the other is a freshman legislator who thought that a bus of YMCA campers that drove alongside an anti-immigration protest was actually full of undocumented child immigrants.

Yet both of those contenders—wealthy rancher Gary Kiehne and state Rep. Adam Kwasman—have been on the air for some time, while Tobin, whose fundraising has been lousy, amazingly didn't have any ads on TV until this week. Actually, Tobin still isn't running any ads of his own. Rather, he's relying on some very generic spots from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and a super PAC called Preserve America's Future (which is spending just $25,000). The primary is Tuesday!

Tobin may still somehow pull it off, though, if a new independent poll from Remington Research is on the mark. Tobin barely edges Kwasman, 30-29, with Kiehne at 21, so he's not out of it, but that's hardly the kind of place a one-time frontrunner wants to find himself in. We also don't have any other polling here, so it's very possible that the race has been breaking against Tobin for a while now. If so, then this may just be a high-water mark for him, something that would make Democrats quite happy indeed.

NE-02: A new DCCC robopoll finds Democratic state Sen. Brad Ashford edging GOP Rep. Lee Terry 46-45—very similar, margin-wise, to a June internal for Ashford from Global Strategy Group that pegged the race at a 41-all tie. More importantly, Terry's camp isn't disputing the numbers, saying:

"What this poll proves is what we have said all along, that it's a close, tough race."
That's a serious attitude adjustment from last fall, though, when an earlier DCCC poll also found Terry in bad shape, trailing a different Democrat 44-42. That survey was conducted during the federal government shutdown fomented by the GOP (when Terry infamously insisted he'd keep collecting his paycheck no matter what), so Terry's camp decided to call bullshit on the numbers:
"They polled at the lowest possible point for House Republicans and for Congressman Terry. Any pollster worth their weight in salt will tell you that is the worst possible time to get accurate data."
Well, the shutdown has long since faded as a campaign trail issue, but Lee Terry's numbers haven't recovered. Indeed, his team is now trying to retcon the whole race, claiming they "said all along" that it would be a "close, tough" contest. Nice try, folks. You guys said there was no way it was close, and you probably think Greedo shot first, too.

Other races:

Chicago Mayor: Mayor Rahm Emanuel may have caught a break when Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle decided not to challenge him, but Rahm is still very much in danger in next February's race.  An APC Research survey for the Chicago Tribune is also out. They find Chicago Teachers Union President Karen Lewis leading Rahm, a fellow Democrat, 43-39 in a one-on-one matchup. Other polls have shown Rahm in real danger against Lewis. In Chicago all candidates run on one ballot in a nonpartisan race: If no one takes a majority of the vote, the top-two contenders advance to a runoff.

And it looks like Lewis' hypothetical challenge may be getting a little less hypothetical: On Tuesday, she filed to set up a campaign committee. Lewis says she is seriously considering but hasn't made up her mind. However, with Rahm sitting on a massive warchest, she'll want to start raising money early.

We also have a second poll, albeit an odd one. Apparently not only does the Chicago Republican Party exist, they actually have enough money to pay for a poll. A new survey from Odgen & Fry (which we've never heard of, and have no record of in any of our pollster databases) has Rahm leading Lewis 34-21: The part the GOP is hyping is that "Qualified Republican" comes in third with 14 percent.

Chicago hasn't had a Republican mayor since William Hale Thompson lost re-election in 1931. At the moment the Chicago Republican bench is pretty much state Rep. Michael McAuliffe, who represents Norwood Park and some of the suburbs. Rahm Emanuel may have a lot to worry about as he gears up for re-election, but not from the Republicans. (Jeff Singer)

Special Elections: Johnny Longtorso recaps Tuesday night's elections in the Old Dominion:

Virginia SD-38: Yep, turns out the Dems wasted a lot of money on this one. Republicans picked up this dark red seat, solidifying their majority in the state Senate. Ben Chafin defeated Democrat Mike Hymes by a 59-32 margin, while independent Rick Mullins pulled in 9 percent of the vote and carried his home county of Dickenson.

Virginia HD-48: This was an easy hold for Democrats; Rip Sullivan defeated Republican David Foster by a 62-38 margin.

Virginia HD-90: No surprises here as Democrat Joe Lindsey trounced Republican Marcus Calabrese by a 81-19 margin.

Grab Bag:

Swing voters: A new poli sci academic study (by four authors, the most familiar name being Andrew Gelman) that came out Wednesday is a big deal, in two separate ways. One, it's one of the most potent nails in the coffin of the already-dwindling idea of elections being decided by conflicted swing voters who change their minds in response to Game Change!(tm) events. The fluctuations in topline numbers in public polls instead is largely an artifact of fluctuations in whose willing to respond to a poll at a particular moment:

We find that reported swings in public opinion polls are generally not due to actual shifts in vote intention, but rather are the result of temporary periods of relatively low response rates by supporters of the reportedly slumping candidate. After correcting for this bias, we show there were nearly constant levels of support for the candidates during what appeared, based on traditional polling, to be the most volatile stretches of the campaign.
Now, this isn't entirely a bolt out of the blue; truly good pollsters—like the internal polling team for the 2012 Obama campaign, which saw through the bump in public polls that Mitt Romney got after the first debate—already seem to know this. Hopefully, though, this knowledge will trickle down to the class of reporters who are always looking to get a jump on breathlessly reporting the next Game Change!(tm)

The other interesting aspect is that this is the first major study that I've seen that draws on data drawn from polling data collected via Xbox Live, an idea that first surfaced in 2012. This study suggests that the Xbox method can, in fact, produce vast amounts of useful data. Aaron Blake offers some thoughtful critiques of the method, though, not just in terms of the young male-skewing sample that it produces (though that can be adjusted using demographic weighting), but also the sense that there might be more swinging in downballot races where the candidates aren't as well-defined, rather than a presidential race between two utterly ubiquitous candidates. (David Jarman)

Ads & Independent Expenditures (Jeff Singer):

AK-Sen: That didn't take long. Put Alaska First hits newly minted Republican nominee Dan Sullivan, describing him as someone who supports a mine that would hurt fishermen. The group is spending $490,000 here.

AR-Sen: The NRSC is up with a new negative spot against Democratic Rep. Mark Pryor. Republican Rep. Tom Cotton also has two new ads (here and here) hitting Pryor on the retirement age and immigration.

IA-Sen: The DSCC spends another $561,000 against Republican Joni Ernst.

KY-Sen: The Kentucky Opportunity Coalition shells out $644,000 against Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, likely as part of these two recent ads.

LA-Sen: Americans for Prosperity goes after Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu.

NC-Sen: The NRSC has reserved $1.2 million for Sept 2 through the 22nd in support of Republican Thom Tillis.

AR-Gov: Jobs and Opportunity, a DGA backed group, accuses Republican Asa Hutchinson of claiming illegal tax credits on multiple homes and lying about it.

CO-Gov: The RGA goes after Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper, featuring clips of Hickenlooper's recent pool game with President Obama as a way to portray Hickenlooper as a nice guy who can't lead.

FL-Gov: We've always wondered: Has a major American political campaign ever run a campaign ad in a language other than English or Spanish? We're not sure if anyone's run a TV ad like this yet, but Republican Gov. Rick Scott has a minute-long radio ad in Creole. As the Miami Herald points out, there aren't too many Creole speaking voters in the state: The largest community is around Miami and is heavily Democratic. However, Scott certainly has the money to target this small group of persuadable voters in what is expected to be a tight race.

IL-Gov: Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn hits Republican Bruce Rauner on outsourcing and for his shell accounts in the Cayman Islands.

ME-Gov: Independent Elliot Cutler is out with his first spot, emphasizing his background on job creation.

MI-Gov: Michigan Nurses has a week-old spot in support of Democrat Mark Schauer, contrasting him with Republican Gov. Rick Snyder.

RI-Gov: Say what you will about Democratic Treasurer Gina Raimondo, but her ads remain very good. Raimondo has a spot full of nostalgic snippets of Narragansett Beer commercials, before describing how she helped bring the local company back to Rhode Island and created over 1,000 jobs. She then uses it to pivot to her broader jobs plan.

On the Republican side, Ken Block calls for ending wasteful practices and spending in state government. At the end it features Block throwing state time sheets on the ground in slow motion, which doesn't look strange at all.

WI-Gov: Greater Wisconsin PAC hits Republican Gov. Scott Walker on the state's weak job growth.

AZ-01: Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has a radio ad that is largely in Navajo. Unlike the Rick Scott Creole language radio ad (see above), Kirkpatrick herself is doing the talking here. The district has a large Navajo voting block.

GA-12: The DCCC hits Republican Rick Allen's business career, spending at least $139,000 here. Allen himself goes completely after Obama, not mentioning Democratic Rep. John Barrow.

IA-03: Democrat Staci Appel has a positive spot.

IN-02: Democrat Joe Bock is up with his first spot in what looks like a very uphill climb against Republican Rep. Jackie Walorski. Bock describes his work in crisis zones all around the world, before declaring "the crisis is here at home," and that he's ready to get to work.

MA-06: Vote Vets recently ran a spot for Democrat Seth Moulton, and we now have the size of the buy: a cool $399,000 (because $400,000 would just be excessive).

MI-01: Democrat Jerry Cannon is out with his first ad, describing his career in the military and as a sheriff before declaring he's ready to serve again.

NH-01: American Unity PAC, a group funded by hedge-fund manager Paul Singer (no relation to me) to help Republican supporters of same-sex marriage, goes up for Republican Dan Innis. The spot hits both Innis' primary rival, former Rep. Frank Guinta, and Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter, before portraying Innis as a better choice.

NJ-03: Republican Tom MacArthur portrays Democratic rival Aimee Belgard as dishonest, while the DCCC spends $111,000 hitting MacArthur.

NY-11: Democrat Domenic Recchia emphasizes his ties to both parts of the district, Brooklyn and Staten Island. Recchia represents a city council seat in Brooklyn, which is a much smaller presence in the district, and it makes sense that he's trying to establish his Staten Island bona fides. The DCCC is also out with another $106,000 against Republican Rep. Michael Grimm. One group you won't see coming to Grimm's aid anytime soon is his PAC, Grimm PAC: The committee reported raising a monster $0.01 in July.

VA-02: Democrat Suzanne Patrick is out with her first spot, touting her family's long military service and her desire to bring people together to get the country back on track.

WV-03: Democratic Rep. Nick Rahall goes positive on coal, while hitting Republican Evan Jenkins on mine safety.

Center Forward: Center Forward spends a combined $738,000 in five races, and their choices are a bit unusual. They have TV spots for Arkansas Sen. Mark Pryor, North Carolina Sen. Kay Hagan, FL-18 Rep. Patrick Murphy, IL-10 Rep. Brad Schneider, and WV-03 Rep. Nick Rahall, all Democrats in targeted races. However, they also go on the air for Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer of North Dakota, who is expected to coast to re-election. They also are running an ad for Indiana Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly, who isn't up until 2018.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Thu Aug 21, 2014 at 05:00 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (13+ / 0-)

    Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

    by David Nir on Thu Aug 21, 2014 at 05:00:03 AM PDT

  •  Referendum on Obamacare? (10+ / 0-)
    a straight up referendum on Obamacare that some people may have predicted just a few months ago
    The main people who were predicting that were the idiot beltway pundits. Most of us could already see by as late as a year ago that when it went into effect, Obamacare would become toxic for Republicans, because people would like what they saw and want to keep it.
  •  Alison Grimes Are You Listening? (8+ / 0-)

    This is what she needs to seperate herself from the vile McConnell.....if she would only realize it.

  •  Medicare for All issue in MA (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Amber6541, cocinero
    'Health care is a human right': Medical students, doctors plan Boston rally for single-payer system ahead of gubernatorial forum

    By Brian Steele
    Masslive.com, August 19, 2014

    More PNHP Articles of Interes:t
    Medicare for all would be great solution
    Posted on Thursday, August 14, 2014
    By Sandra F. Penn, M.D. | Albuquerque Journal
    Remember when Sen. Domenici became an advocate for mental health parity? It came as no surprise to some of us that he had a “close relative” with mental health challenges.
    Would that more candidates could make use of this:
    More than 7,100 deaths likely from states' rejection of Medicaid expansion: Health Affairs Blog
    Harvard and CUNY researchers say death toll from 25-state ‘opt-out’ may be as high as 17,100 annually; hundreds of thousands more will be harmed by depression, untreated diabetes, and skipping mammograms and pap smears

    FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE, January 30, 2014
    Contact: Mark Almberg, communications director, PNHP, (312) 782-6006,  mark@pnhp.org

    Who will make an issue of underinsurance in ACA?

    Posted on: Wednesday, August 20, 2014

    Avalere study of proposed copper plans
    Study Shows “Copper Plan” Would Lower Premiums by 18 Percent

    Bill by Sen. Mark Begich (D-AK) would expand employer health coverage
    Council for Affordable Health Coverage, August 18, 2014

    Comment:

    By Don McCanne, MD

    One of the major problems with the Affordable Care Act is that it has established underinsurance as a new standard. It was bad enough when the decision was made to allow insurers to offer products that covered an average of only 60 percent of estimated health care costs, but now there is a serious proposal to reduce that to 50 percent. What does this do?

    From the insured’s perspective, it would fulfill the requirement to purchase insurance, while keeping premiums as low as possible, with a tradeoff that you must accept the risk of paying on average the other half of health care costs that the insurer does not pay for (plus all costs for services not covered and for the balance of charges for out-of-network services). For the majority, such costs would create a financial hardship should significant medical problems develop - the reason this is labeled underinsurance.

    From the insurers’ perspective, while discounting the premium by only 18 percent below that of a 60 percent actuarial value bronze plan, they can attract healthier individuals who are more likely to be willing to gamble that they may not need much health care. This would be a great deal for the insurers.

    A 50 percent actuarial value copper plan would be appealing to libertarian conservatives for a few reasons. It uses a consumer-directed approach to health care purchasing by exposing the patient to significant out-of-pocket costs, requiring the patient to became an informed price shopper (even though the out-of-pocket expenses may not be affordable). It also allows consumers to exercise choice over market originated insurance products, rather than defaulting to a more comprehensive single payer program administered by the government that would actually work. Furthermore, the Avalere study shows that adding a copper level choice would reduce the federal deficit by about 30 million dollars a year. Little does it matter that 30 million dollars would not even qualify as a footnote in our federal budget, it is fulfilling an ideological goal of reducing federal spending that is compelling to conservatives.

    What about fulfilling the goal of advocates of health care justice? Obviously this proposal was not written for them. Creating a plan that exposes the sick to financial hardship is the opposite of what insurance should be doing.

    Rather than talking about insurance, we should be talking about prepaid health care - removing the financial barriers to the health care that you need, when you need it. This is precisely what a single payer national health program would do.

    I can’t wait to see their proposal for a health plan with a 10 percent actuarial value. You doubt it? If AHIP can get clearance for private insurers to produce such a plan and have it count as fulfilling the insurance requirement thereby avoiding the penalties for being uninsured, I guarantee you that they will find a market for it. It would be ideal for insurers since it would eliminate 90 percent of their risk while allowing them to continue to sell us a profusion of wasteful administrative services. And our bureaucrats? “If that’s a product that the people want…”

    Move Single Payer Forward? Join 18,000 Doctors of PNHP and 185,000 member National Nurses United

    by divineorder on Thu Aug 21, 2014 at 06:11:09 AM PDT

  •  Is there a blackout at DKos on coverage of Mayday (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    mrsgoo, Stude Dude

    PAC campaign spending? I'm publishing multiple (and, I hope, highly fact-filled and informative) diaries every week on races endorsed and invested in by Mayday PAC, which only rarely seem to make it into this Elections Digest. As a current example, readers of today's Digest might have found it helpful to be pointed to the developing story of Mayday backing Ruben Gallego (D; AZ-07) in the Arizona Democratic primary against latina Mary Rose Wilcox -- a very interesting story in part because in 2011 Gallego supported a state constitution amendment to outlaw public financing of campaigns for state office (Mayday purports to be all about rewarding candidates who support campaign finance reform).

    Apologies for sounding pouty here, but it is mighty unrewarding to work hard at researching and writing these diaries only to have them mostly given the cold shoulder by Management.

  •  The Crossroads ad against Ami Beri is straight (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Stude Dude, cocinero

    out of 2010. It is everything but death panels. And it plays at least 3 times during the evening news. meh. I just do not see it helping their side.

    if a habitat is flooded, the improvement for target fishes increases by an infinite percentage...because a habitat suitability index that is even a tiny fraction of 1 is still infinitely higher than zero, which is the suitability of dry land to fishes.

    by mrsgoo on Thu Aug 21, 2014 at 08:16:28 AM PDT

    •  Crossroads GPS (Karl Rove) thinks Obamacare (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      mrsgoo

      is a winning issue for them? Isn't Rove the same guy who thought Mitt Romney was a sure winner?

      •  Don't make me drag out that footage from 2012! (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        cocinero

        LOL!!

        if a habitat is flooded, the improvement for target fishes increases by an infinite percentage...because a habitat suitability index that is even a tiny fraction of 1 is still infinitely higher than zero, which is the suitability of dry land to fishes.

        by mrsgoo on Thu Aug 21, 2014 at 09:52:13 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  People support keeping Obamacare and working (0+ / 0-)

    to improve the law. They do not support repeal and replace with something different. Joni Ernst wants to completely repeal the ACA and replace it with "free-market alternatives." We've seen how the free market works for health care. That's what we had before the ACA was passed. I think Ernst and other "repeal and replace" candidates are vulnerable on health care.

  •  Considering that Arkansas leads (0+ / 0-)

    In the percentage of people that were uninsured that are now insured, it's a winning thing to be for Obamacare for a huge number of people.

    I bet there are plenty that have never had insurance that didn't know how nice it is to have it. Now they do! It's a total shift in consciousness. You pretty much know how much it's going to cost you, and you can go in if there is a problem without totally freaking out about it.



    Women create the entire labor force.
    ---------------------------------------------
    Sympathy is the strongest instinct in human nature. - Charles Darwin

    by splashy on Thu Aug 21, 2014 at 02:12:57 PM PDT

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