PPP also looked at the Governor race and found Gov. Terry Branstad (R. IA) leading Jack Hatch (D. IA) 48/35. But there are some other competitive state races where Democrats could win. In the Attorney General race, Tom Miller (D. IA) leads 55/31 for re-election and in the Treasurer race, Michael Fitzgerald leads 47/33 for re-election. Bill Northey (R. IA) leads 46/28 for reelection as Agriculture Secretary. In Secretary of State race, Paul Pate (R. IA) leads Brad Anderson (D. IA) 35/34. In State Auditor race, Mary Mosiman (R. IA) leads Jonathan Neiderbach (D. IA) 39/35.PPP's newest Iowa Senate poll finds a toss up race- Bruce Braley is at 42% to 41% for Joni Ernst with third party candidates splitting 5%. In a straight head to head the two are tied at 42%. This represents a significant tightening from PPP's last poll in May when Braley led 45/39, but is consistent with most public polling since the primary
This has become yet another key Senate race this year where the onslaught of negative advertising has left both candidates unpopular. Both Braley (from 58% to 78%) and Ernst (from 59% to 82%) have seen large increases in their name recognition since May. But in both cases their negatives are rising a lot faster than their positives. Braley's net favorability has gone from an even split at 29/29 to negative at 37/41. Ernst has gone from a -5 spread at 27/32 to a -10 spread at 36/46.
The good news for Braley in spite of his vanished lead is that the undecideds play well for him- they report having voted for Barack Obama by 13 points in 2012, and 35% are Democrats to 26% who are Republicans. They are also disproportionately female and young voters, groups that tend to play to Democrats' advantage. But clearly Braley has work to do.
One thing presenting a challenge for Braley is that Barack Obama- as he is in most of the states with key Senate races this year- is quite unpopular. Only 40% of voters approve of the job he's doing to 53% who disapprove, and with independents it's a 26/64 spread. - PPP, 8/26/14
While the race maybe tied, Braley has the advantage with the undecided voters but he has to work to win them over, which he can. So click here to donate and get involved with Braley's campaign so he can defeat Ernst come November: