Quinnipac paints a different picture than PPP did in Connecticut:
http://ctmirror.org/...
Connecticut’s race for governor remained tight Wednesday as Gov. Dannel P. Malloy opened a one-point lead over Republican Tom Foley in a new Quinnipiac University poll, 43 percent to 42 percent. Petitioning candidate Joe Visconti remained at nine percent.
The tiny lead is Malloy's first in more than a year of polling by Quinnipiac. With the exception of a September poll showing Foley with a 6-point lead, the university has consistently pegged the replay of the close 2010 race as a dead heat in 2014.
“The race for Connecticut governor looks very much like it will go down to the wire – again,” said Douglas Schwartz, director of the Quinnipiac poll. “Republican Tom Foley has to be concerned that this is the first likely voter poll in which Gov. Dannel Malloy has a numerical edge, even though it’s razor-thin.”
In its previous poll of likely voters Oct. 8, the first-term Democratic governor and his Republican challenger each had 43 percent.
Malloy for the first time showed gains in key demographics: His support among Democrats crept upward by four points, from 77 percent to 81 percent, and he narrowed a 10-point deficit among unaffiliated voters to two points, trailing 38 percent to 36 percent.
The governor also continued to widen his lead over Foley among women, 51 percent to 32 percent percent, a 19-point lead that grew from 11 points two weeks ago. Foley leads by 19 points among men, 53 percent to 34 percent, up from 11 points on Oct. 8.
Women tend to turn out to vote in larger percentages than men, and Democrats have been waiting to see the gender gap grow in Malloy's favor. - The CT Mirror, 10/22/14
PPP gave Malloy an 8 point lead in their poll. Now Malloy seems to building his base support whereas Foley's image has taken a hit:
http://www.ctpost.com/...
Foley's refusal to attend the debate comes at a time when his favorability ratings in the poll are declining. While Malloy's negative 42-50 percent favorability rating is the same as earlier in the month, voters show Foley with a negative 40 -- 46 percent favorability, down from his earlier 41 -- 39 percent.
"For the first time, more voters have a negative view of him than a positive view," said Douglas Schwartz, director of the poll, said of Foley. "The more voters get to know him, the less they like him. The good news for Foley is that Malloy's favorability is actually slightly worse."
The new poll shows that it's a flat-footed 45-percent tie between Malloy and Foley if the conservative Visconti were to drop out, but he has promised to stay in the race until the end.
Malloy leads among women with 51 -- 32 percent and Foley has a 53 -- 34 percent edge among men. Unaffiliated voters are nearly split, with 38 percent for Foley, 36 percent for Malloy and 16 percent for Visconti.
Schwartz said hat with less than two weeks until the election, 81 percent of likely voters who support a candidate say their mind is made up, but 18 percent say they might change their mind.
"The race for Connecticut governor looks very much like it will go down to the wire -- again," Schwartz said. - CT Post, 10/22/14
The poll of 1,010 likely voters was conducted from October 14 through 20 and has a margin of error of 3.1 percent. I feel good about this race but it could come down to the wire again. Click here to donate and get involved with Malloy's campaign:
http://www.danmalloy2014.com/