Apologize: I originally printed Nate Silver when I menat Nate Cohn: We all agree that Nate Cohn dots his "I" and crosses his "t" He is not perfect but, he is usually quite accrate This appears in the NY Times today 10/31/14:
http://www.nytimes.com/...
From the article:
Democratic efforts to turn out the young and nonwhite voters who sat out the 2010 midterm elections appear to be paying off in several Senate battleground states.
More than 20 percent of the nearly three million votes already tabulated in Georgia, North Carolina, Colorado and Iowa have come from people who did not vote in the last midterm election, according to an analysis of early-voting data by The Upshot.
However he cautions:
But so far, there have not been enough new Democratic votes to erase the Republicans’ expected turnout advantage. It remains to be seen whether turnout among new voters will continue at these rates. The Upshot’s model, Leo, still gives the Republicans a 68 percent chance of taking the Senate
T
o the best of my knowledge, the Republicans do not have any "New Voters" These are the same folks who show up everyelection rain or shine.
I suppose if we can replicate this turnout Election Day, we might have a chance. Put on your walking shoes. folks get busy. Personally, we could still lose, but at least we lost fighting and maybe put a damper in their expectations .Again Get Busy!!