This is an at home politico's predictions, while stoned, from the state of Colorado.
This is my final report on the election coming tomorrow, but keep this in mind, even if the Republicans take the Senate- they WILL LOSE it in 2016, when all of those 2010 Republicans who won in blue state will have to run for reelection, and therefor I predict they will not hold the Senate for more than two years.
Democrats now control 55 seats, including two indies. I consider 7 seats to be up for grabs, and Republicans need to pick up a net total of six in order to gain control. Montana, SD and WV are formerly Democrat and absolutely going to go Republican, this means that Republicans will only need 4 more seats in order to gain control. In Alaska, Louisiana, and Arkansas, the Republicans lead on average of 3-5% points. Having that information, it would seem nearly impossible for the Democrats to maintain a majority. However, with the possibility that the Republicans lose Kansas, which I predict they will, and that they lose Georgia, which I predict they will not, that would mean Republicans need to pick up 1 more seats. This is my final prediction of the TIGHT races, of which Republicans need to win only two.
Colorado- Dem Mark Udall is going to lose this seat. He's running against a popular well known Congressman, who turned the tables by supporting over the counter birth control. Mark Udall has run a surprisingly terrible campaign. He was too shy to campaign with Obama, and he tends to trend -2 in polls. Hickenlooper, the Gov, did meet with Obama, and trends ahead. Udall +3, final.
Kentucky- I'm only saying this because I want it so bad, not because I think it'll actually happen. It's like being a kid and wanting the new game system, but knowing you can't afford it. I predict Kentucky goes to Grimes in a squeaker, and that Republicans will game a leaderless majority. Grimes +1, final prediction.
North Carolina- Hagan seems to have run a great campaign, seems well liked. This should be a great win in the South. Hagan +2.
Kansas- Orman wins in the Great Brownback slaughter of 2014. Brownback drags the statewide ticket down so far, that I suspect it'll be the last we've seen of him. Orman is a douchebag, and he probably will caucus with whoever wins the Senate, anyway. Orman +.000001, or 125 votes, final.
Iowa- Since Michelle went to Iowa and blew the pronounce of Braley's name, it's been a downward spiral. Recent polls show the wind at the back of crazy, and I suspect that's how it'll all wrap up. Crazy +3, final, and with this win in Iowa, I predict that the Republican party will control the Senate.