Tue Nov 04, 2014 at 11:10 PM PT (David Jarman): ME-02: Here's one more GOP gain in the House: the open seat in northern Maine vacated by Mike Michaud. The former state treasurer (an appointed position), Bruce Poliquin, leads state Sen. Emily Cain 47-42, and is projected by the Bangor Daily News to win. It's a 53 percent Obama district, so it'll be a top target to take back in 2016.
Tue Nov 04, 2014 at 11:15 PM PT (David Jarman): MD-06: I can't believe we were actually talking about Maryland's 6th district as being in trouble, but freshman Rep. John Delaney seems to be pulling it out at the end. He's 49-49 against GOP challenger Dan Bongino, but with a 2,000 vote lead now and favorable turf left for the rest.
Tue Nov 04, 2014 at 11:26 PM PT (David Jarman): CT-Gov, CO-Gov, AK-Gov: Dan Malloy seems to have a knack for winning tough races; he's gotten up to the 50 percent mark though the race hasn't been called yet. He leads Tom Foley by about 15,000 votes with mostly urban votes left to count. Meanwhile, there are two gubernatorial races where we probably won't know anything tonight: Colorado, where Bob Beauprez leads John Hickenlooper by only about 5,000 votes, and Alaska, where things have tightened, with Bill Walker leading by only about 2,500 votes (though that's good for a 1 point lead in this small state).
Tue Nov 04, 2014 at 11:31 PM PT (David Jarman): NE-02: No call yet in Nebraska's 2nd, but GOP incumbent Lee Terry is still on track to lose here; he trails Dem Brad Ashford 48-46 with 78 percent in, behind by 2,700 votes. If he loses, he can join Tom Corbett and Steve Southerland in the "how can you lose in this kind of year?" caucus.
Tue Nov 04, 2014 at 11:39 PM PT (David Jarman): AK-AL: Don Young's ill-advised suicide comments seemed to hurt him late in the game, but his race has been called in his favor. He wins 51-41, and the 81-year-old Young is on to his 21st term.
Tue Nov 04, 2014 at 11:53 PM PT (David Jarman): We're about to wrap it up for the night, but before we sign off, here's the list of outstanding races:
Senate:
• Alaska (which looks like a pretty clear GOP victory, with Sullivan still leading 50-44)
• Virginia (Warner leads 49-48 and should be fine unless something weird happens with absentees or in a recount)
Gubernatorial:
• Alaska (which may take days or weeks to sort out, with Walker leading Parnell 48-47, which would be a Dem pickup if that holds)
• Colorado (a 48-48 tie with about a 5,000 vote edge for Beauprez but some Dem-friendly turf left to count
• Connecticut (Malloy's in good shape here for a hold, leading 50-49)
• Vermont (only to the extent that the Dem-controlled state legislature has to select Shumlin, owing to a weird state law turning the matter over to the legislature if nobody tops 50 percent)
Tue Nov 04, 2014 at 11:59 PM PT (David Jarman): We also have a buttload of uncalled House seats, which we'll keep an eye on over the coming days. Some of the most highly-touted ones include AZ-01, AZ-02, CA-07, CA-26, CA-31, CA-52, NE-02 (the lone offensive race here), and NY-18. (Of those, we're down by narrow margins in CA-07 and CA-52.) Also keep an eye on CA-16, another race that nobody thought much about but where Jim Costa always manages to underwhelm, and he's currently trailing narrowly too. You can see the full House list here.
12:01 AM PT (David Jarman): Finally:
Big lesson from today is that Republicans win big when seniors dominate the electorate. I’m sure that’s a winning long-term strategy
— @markos