and I do not view results as promising.
CO:
We find in Colorado that Mark Udall is pulling 71% of the Latino vote to a mere 23 for Cory Gardner. We project this is a margin of 6.2% for Udall in his ultimate total. Should Udall win, the role of Latinos will be decisive. Should he lose, we'd have to look at his performance relative to Senator Bennett, who did far better in 2010, and President Obama just two years ago, who got 81% and 87% of the Latino vote, respectively, in the 2010 and 2012 Latino Decisions Election Eve Polls. In the gubernatorial contest, incumbent Gov. Hickenlooper received 70% to Beauprez's 28. Hickenlooper is underperforming his own 2010 vote share in this contest.
Kansas:
In Kansas, there has been a 575% growth of Latino registered voters between 2000 and 2012. The population, while still small, is exploding. Democratic challenger Paul Davis is getting 66% of the Latino vote, compared to just 31% for Incumbent Sam Brownback. In the Senate contest between incumbent Pat Roberts and independent challenger Greg Orman, Orman is polling 64% of Latino voters to 36% for Senator Roberts, strong but behind Davis' performance. This may be an indication that the absence of a partisan label on a candidate with low familiarity among Latinos cost him modestly.
Assuming the figures are correct, it makes it hard to see a path to victory for Udall, although I am not going to rule it out yet. This combined with exit polls is not encouraging for maintaining control of Senate.
Especially if Roberts gets reelected. We Would have lost 5 seats before getting to IA or AL and without knowing the results of either possible runoff. The odds get longer.
Not impossible, not yet.