Remember back in August, those dramatic fountains of lava?
The eruptions are less dramatic now, but the earth is still on the move.
The gas pollution is still a problem (check out the maps)
Gas Dispersion Forecast
Today (Sunday) gas pollution might be felt in many places in the northeast.
Tomorrow (Monday) gas pollution will affect areas south and southeast of the eruption site.
It's bad, but not as bad as Laki. Yet.
Historical comparisons - but it's still going… (note that the scale is logarithmic!)
This model lets you see the predictions for several days - just slide the slider.
The lava field keeps growing thicker
6 January 2015 - thickness and volume
Radar measurements for height, made by IES during a TF-FMS surveillance flight 30 December 2014, give indications of the thickness and hence the volume of the lava. Preliminary results are presented below, although uncertainties are considerable and full processing of the data will take quite some time:
Significant thickening of the lava has taken place since the beginning of December, mainly in the eastern part where new lava spread over older tongues of lava.
The maximum extent since September has been beaten by a small tongue which is progressing slowly along its northern part, the excess is at least 200 m.
The lava is on average 10 m thick in the eastern part, about 12 m in the center, and about 14 m or more in the western part.
Maximum thickness of the lava, near the craters, was about 40 m at the eastern margin of the magma lake. Preliminary estimate for the volume of the lava is now 1.1 km³.
Activity is tapering, but slowly. Still, anything could happen.
30 January 2015 19:00 - from the Scientific Advisory Board
A forecast based on extrapolating the current developments of the Bárðarbunga subsidence shows that if the caldera keeps subsiding along a similar trajectory, then the subsidence will go on for another 5 to 16 months.
With the same method, the volcanic eruption in Holuhraun could evolve with similar pace and the eruption might last another 4 to 15 months. Information on the volume of the lava field in Holuhraun is, however, not as accurate as the information on the subsidence of Bárðarbunga.
These assumptions must be viewed with caution. It is entirely possible that the eruption will end sooner than predicted above. It is also possible that the eruption could become stable and go on for years, but with a greatly reduced magma flow rate.
An eruption in Bárðarbunga is still possible, even though the development described above will continue. Even though the volcanic eruption in Holuhraun stops in the coming months it is not certain that the current rifting episode is at an end. It is still possible that an eruption may start on another part of the fissure swarm within the Bárðarbunga volcanic system.
Striking current video from The Guardian
Current photos and data on Twitter
Daily updates!
The whole report.