Was scrolling through the comments of the Daily Kos Election section today and someone posted these poll results from Chicago polling firm, Ogden & Fry:
http://files.ctctcdn.com/...
Ogden & Fry, conducted a 2-question poll for The Illinois Observer on Tuesday, June 23, for job approval rating of U.S. Senator Mark Kirk with 708 respondents and poll against Tammy Duckworth as an opponent with 598 respondents. Respondents were selected by random sampling of likely 2016 voters.
ANALYSIS
Senator Mark Kirk has an approval rating of 16%, but over half of the respondents were undecided about his job performance. Congressman Tammy Duckworth has a 16-point lead over Kirk head-to-head. Almost a third of respondents are undecided between Kirk and Duckworth. - Ogden & Fry, 6/23/15
This same poll also has bad numbers for Governor Bruce "0.01%" Rauner (R. IL):
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...
Now a new poll of 711 likely 2016 voters commissioned by The Illinois Observer reveals that Rauner's statewide job approval has fallen to a new low. Moreover, his approval ratings are now upside down.
The June 20 survey conducted by Chicago-based Ogden & Fry, the only polling firm which correctly predicted Rauner's five-point victory margin over Quinn, shows that just 35.7% of voters approve of the way the governor is handling his job while 46.7% disapprove or net approval of minus 11 points.
"Nearly half of respondents disapproved of the Governor's job performance," Ogden & Fry pollster Tom Swiss wrote in his polling memo.
Oof.
The poll, which had a +/- 3.75% margin of error, identified 17.6% were undecided. - Huffington Post, 6/26/15
You'll have to take this poll with a grain of salt but the fact that Ogden & Fry accurately predicted Rauner's win shows it shouldn't be disqualified. I believe that Duckworth can and will defeat Kirk but not sure if it's going to be that big of a margin. Kirk is of course a top target and his stupid remarks like calling Sen. Lindsey Graham (R. SC) a "bro with no ho" makes him an easier target. If you would like to donate and get involved with Duckworth's campaign, you can do so here:
http://tammyduckworth.com/