Adding my thoughts at the bottom in italics
Adding some info from Benchmark Politics tweets:
<30 PA 10%, CT 14%, MD 12%
they say ARG poll for MD bonkers, and that results will match the Benchmark projection
45+ 67% in CT, 65% in MD
6:16 - a tweet from Benchmark, they think their targets will be pretty accurate
MD 66-34
PA 57-43
CT 55-45
RI 50.25-49.75
DE 60-40
at those breaks, Clinton would net about 64 delegates on the night.
PA 71% say primary energized party, 24% say divided
for Clinton 82-12, for Sanders 58-37
Benchmark Politics tweeting that 18-29 only 10-13% (2 different reports)
CT age 33%<45 67%>45
76%W, 14%B, 10% Other
88% decided before last few days
Most impt issues economy 42% , income inequal 26% , health care 21%
Obama policies: Continue 48%; more liberal 35%, more conserv 12%
Benchmark says Fairfield COunty reporting 36%. Strong Clinton Territory. Includes Newtown. Early exits only had Clinton up 4 in CT. That will be too low
looking like a solid win for Clinton
MD 84% decided before last few days, age 35%<45, 65%>45
Most impt: 31% experience, 30% Cares about me, 21% Trustworthy
43%W; 46%B; 10% other
in 2008 B only 37%
Wall Street Helps economy 32%, hurts economy 57%
Obama policies continue 48, more liberal 35, more conservative 12
HOPE I GOT THIS RIGHT:
<50K 27%; 50-100K 32%, >100K 41%
College Grad 58%Y 42%N
only question is size of margin — guessing over 30%
MY Thoughts from what I am seeing, Clinton will win PA by more than 15 points, and CT probably by double digits. Still think MD over 30% margin. If we try to project out delegates, she should net something over 60.
Not sure how much more I can
Tuesday, Apr 26, 2016 · 11:40:18 PM +00:00
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teacherken
Because a judge has ordered certain Baltimore polling places to stay open for an extra hour, State Board in MD will not release any results until 9 PM. Wonder it that means networks won’t make a call, even though both Presidential races are done deals….