It should come as no shock that many Trump supporters, particularly in Texas, would not want to live under a Clinton Presidency. A Public Policy Polling poll shows that while secession isn’t favored either among the state at large or specifically his Texan supporters, when Clinton wins, that number goes to 61%.
Finally we polled on Texas secession. Overall 26% of voters would support leaving the United States to 59% who want to stay, and 15% who aren't sure either way. Among Trump voters support for secession goes up to 37%, with only 49% opposed to exiting. If you look at the Presidential race in Texas only among voters who are opposed to seceding from the United State, Clinton leads Trump 54/41. But that's offset by Trump's 72/20 advantage with the secession crowd. If Clinton is elected President this fall, the Trump voters really want out- in that case 61% say they'd support seceding from the United States, to only 29% who would stick around.
As to Trumps claims that the election is rigged or Barack Obama founded ISIS, the voting-rigging claim is gaining traction with his supporters, but the ISIS claim is rejected.
We continue to find that Trump voters overwhelmingly buy into his preemptive claims about the election being rigged. Just 19% of Trump voters grant that if Clinton wins the election it will be because she got more votes, while 71% say that it will just be because the election was rigged. More specifically 40% of Trump voters think that ACORN, which hasn't existed in years, will steal the election for Clinton to only 20% who don't think it will, and only 20% who are unsure. Some things Trump says are a step too far even for his support base though. We find that 'just' 35% of Trump supporters think Barack Obama founded ISIS, to 48% who don't think he's responsible for that.
While Trump is leading by 6 points, Clinton has a slight lead in those under 65 and an overwhelming lead in those under 45.
A Democratic victory in Texas this year remains a stretch but within the numbers there are signs of Democrats being positioned to become seriously competitive there in the years ahead. Trump's lead is based entirely on his holding a 63-33 advantage among seniors. With voters under 65, Clinton leads him 49-45. And when you look just specifically at voters under 45, Clinton leads Trump 60-35. Older voters are overwhelmingly responsible for the Republican advantage in Texas, and generational change is likely to help Democrats become more competitive.
Trump has been butchering the Constitution, so it makes sense his followers do to do the same. When Texas previously seceded, the U.S. Supreme Court in Texas v. White, the ordinance of session and all acts in support of it were “absolutely null”.
SMU political science professor Matthew Wilson told The Fort Worth Star-Telegram, “Even if Texas somehow were to secede, [Trump voters might not like the results in 20 years]. They would essentially be living in a Latin American country.”
UT Arlington political science professor Rebecca Deen wrote the reults “really don’t surprise me”.
When you look at other studies, she wrote, “that Mr. Trump’s supporters are more likely to live in places where the average person feels left behind economically and culturally, that the broader system is rigged against them, that they have lost power and feel powerless — the trends make sense.”