Latest news out of New Hampshire, Missouri and Pennsylvania courtesy of Emerson College’s last poll:
Four new polls by Emerson College show Hillary Clinton increasing her favorability and her support in New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Missouri while, in Utah, Evan McMullin leads Donald Trump by 4 points, 31% to 27%, with Clinton taking 24%.
Utah, which has voted for Republican presidential candidates in every cycle since 1964, is a cause of concern for the Trump campaign. It appears that the divisive GOP primary, which was won by conservative Senator Ted Cruz with 69%, has left voters looking for an alternative to the GOP nominee. For example, 51% of Cruz primary voters are backing McMullin while 29% are voting for Trump. Among Utah’s Republican primary voters who supported the second-place finisher, Ohio Governor John Kasich, only 4% say they plan to vote for Trump in November. McMullin draws his strongest support from young people, ages 18-34. He is winning 36% of their vote while Trump and Clinton each get 22%. Trump leads McMullin 35% to 24% among those who are 55 and over.
In U.S. Senate races, Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte is tied with New Hampshire Governor Maggie Hassan at 45% apiece after leading 48% to 46% in September. Ayotte has struggled to distance herself from Trump. GOP Senator Roy Blunt of Missouri is now tied with Democrat Jason Kander at 44% after trailing Kander 42% to 40% in a prior Emerson poll. The Senate race in Pennsylvania has also tightened with the GOP’s junior senator, Pat Toomey, holding a 46% to 43% lead over Katie McGinty after leading McGinty by 7 points (46% to 39%) in August.
The polls were conducted mainly with landlines which is never the best way to poll but at least this poll shows improvement for McGinty than from their poll back in August. Nevertheless, these are still three races we can win. Click below to donate and get involved with Hassan, Kander and McGinty’s campaigns:
Maggie Hassan (D. NH)
Jason Kander (D. MO)
Katie McGinty (D. PA)