Can you feel the wave, folks?
The last NYT Upshot/Siena poll had it exactly tied. Today’s poll release shows a major surge that gives Hillary a 7% lead in the state of North Carolina, enough to bring Ross into a slight lead and have Cooper comfortably ahead.
NYT:
Clinton Leads by 7 Points in North Carolina Poll
No state that voted for Mitt Romney in 2012 has posed a bigger challenge for Donald J. Trump than North Carolina. He has trailed in every survey there since the first presidential debate, and he does not have a credible path to the presidency without its 15 electoral votes.
A New York Times Upshot/Siena College survey released on Tuesday confirms that Mr. Trump’s standing has deteriorated considerably. Hillary Clinton has a seven-point lead over Mr. Trump in North Carolina, 46 percent to 39 percent, among likely voters in a three-way race including the Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson.
Here the PDF with all crosstabs:
The New York Time Upshot - Siena College Poll October 20-23, 2016 792 North Carolina Likely Voter