at least as presented in this Talking Points Memo story. If you want the complete poll pdf you can get it here
The poll was taken October 20-24, among 1,777 Americans, among whom 1,506 were registered voters and 1,170 were likely voters. The results are weighted to US current population by gender, age, education and ethnicity. It was NOT weighted to party identification, which is reported as 773 Democrats, 650 Republicans, and 212 Independents.
The results represent a slight increase in Clinton’s lead since the last debate, in the 2-way matchup, from +4 last week to +6 this week. In the 4-way, her lead was +4 both weeks, and thus unchanged.
To be a bit more precise:
in 2- way
among likely voters Clinton leads 43-37
among registered voters Clinton leads 43-34
In 4-way
among likely voters Clinton leads 42-38
among registered voters Clinton leads 42-34 which would indicate more drawing from Trump than Clinton
The poll now has Obama with a 48-47 approval rating.
Trump is 39-61 on approval, -22 points.
Clinton is 47-53 on approval, -6 points.
For the generic ballot, the Dems lead 44-39 among likely voters, 45-37 among registered voters.
NOTE I took the time to post this because I am aware that the ABC daily tracking poll shows a narrowing of Clinton’s margin from +12 to +9, as a result of her dropping 1 point and Trump rising 2. If one looked at the positions between the two candidates over time, that represented a change largely caused by dropping the data from one day in which Trump did very poorly and Clinton very well. In looking at a daily tracking poll, one needs to be careful to look at a general trend line over several days rather than specific movement from day to day.
In general, I do not think the polling data out today and last night represents any meaningful closing of the overall margin Clinton has nationally, or any significant closing in key battle ground states.
I offered this because it is out there, as one additional piece of information.
Make of it what you will.
I still like where we are, and remain very confident about Clinton getting elected in 13 days.