I’ve been reading a lot of stories like this one: www.washingtonpost.com/…
It made me want to start creating a list of who is challenging whom in 2018, but that are realistic shots based on PVI (My Opinion).
So, here is my inaugural list of challengers in races. I got most of my information from Ballotpedia
Currently, there are candidates in 22/84 of the races listed. Not bad for April 2017.
Now, if the election becomes more favorable to Democrats, this list might expand.
PS — If I have missed anyone, please mention them in the comments. Thanks!
GOP vs. DEM 2018 PVI
State |
CD |
LN |
FN |
PVI |
Democratic Challenger |
Democratic Challenger |
Democratic Challenger |
Democratic Challenger |
IA |
1 |
BLUM, |
ROD |
D+1 |
NA |
|
|
|
MN |
3 |
PAULSEN, |
ERIK |
D+1 |
NA |
|
|
|
VA |
10 |
COMSTOCK, |
BARBARA |
D+1 |
Kimberly Adams |
Daniel Helmer |
Lindsey Davis Stover |
Jennifer Wexton |
CO |
6 |
COFFMAN, |
MIKE |
D+2 |
David Aarestad |
Jason Crow |
|
|
NY |
24 |
KATKO, |
JOHN |
D+3 |
NA |
|
|
|
CA |
21 |
VALADAO, |
DAVID |
D+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
FL |
27 |
ROS-LEHTINEN, |
ILEANA |
D+5 |
Scott Fuhrman |
|
|
|
FL |
26 |
CURBELO, |
CARLOS |
D+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
CA |
25 |
KNIGHT, |
STEVE |
EVEN |
Katie Hill |
Jess Phoenix |
|
|
CA |
39 |
ROYCE, |
ED |
EVEN |
NA |
|
|
|
CA |
10 |
DENHAM, |
JEFF |
EVEN |
NA |
|
|
|
WA |
8 |
REICHERT, |
DAVE |
EVEN |
NA |
|
|
|
AZ |
2 |
MCSALLY, |
MARTHA |
R+1 |
Billy Kovacs |
|
|
|
CA |
49 |
ISSA, |
DARRELL |
R+1 |
Doug Applegate |
|
|
|
IA |
3 |
YOUNG, |
DAVID |
R+1 |
Anna Ryon |
|
|
|
NJ |
2 |
LOBIONDO, |
FRANK |
R+1 |
NA |
|
|
|
PA |
7 |
MEEHAN, |
PATRICK |
R+1 |
Dan Muroff |
Molly Sheehan |
|
|
TX |
23 |
HURD, |
WILL |
R+1 |
NA |
|
|
|
IL |
6 |
ROSKAM, |
PETER |
R+2 |
Austin Songer |
|
|
|
ME |
2 |
POLIQUIN, |
BRUCE |
R+2 |
NA |
|
|
|
MN |
2 |
LEWIS, |
JASON |
R+2 |
NA |
|
|
|
NJ |
3 |
MACARTHUR, |
TOM |
R+2 |
NA |
|
|
|
NY |
19 |
FASO, |
JOHN |
R+2 |
Steven Brisee |
Brian Flynn |
|
|
PA |
6 |
COSTELLO, |
RYAN |
R+2 |
Bob Dettore |
Chrissy Houlahan |
|
|
PA |
8 |
FITZPATRICK, |
BRIAN |
R+2 |
NA |
|
|
|
CA |
45 |
WALTERS, |
MIMI |
R+3 |
Kia Hamadanchy |
Dave Min |
Katie Porter |
|
IL |
13 |
DAVIS, |
RODNEY |
R+3 |
David Gill |
|
|
|
NJ |
11 |
FRELINGHUYSEN, |
RODNEY |
R+3 |
NA |
|
|
|
NJ |
7 |
LANCE, |
LEONARD |
R+3 |
NA |
|
|
|
NY |
11 |
DONOVAN, |
DAN |
R+3 |
NA |
|
|
|
NY |
2 |
KING, |
PETER |
R+3 |
NA |
|
|
|
VA |
2 |
TAYLOR, |
SCOTT |
R+3 |
NA |
|
|
|
CA |
48 |
ROHRABACHER, |
DANA |
R+4 |
Boyd Roberts |
Harley Rouda |
|
|
FL |
25 |
DIAZ-BALART, |
MARIO |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
KS |
3 |
YODER, |
KEVIN |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
MI |
6 |
UPTON, |
FRED |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
MI |
8 |
BISHOP, |
MIKE |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
MI |
11 |
TROTT, |
DAVE |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
NE |
2 |
BACON, |
DON |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
NY |
21 |
STEFANIK, |
ELISE |
R+4 |
Patrick Nelson |
|
|
|
OH |
10 |
TURNER, |
MIKE |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
PA |
15 |
DENT, |
CHARLES |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
WA |
3 |
HERRERA Beutler |
Jaime |
R+4 |
NA |
|
|
|
FL |
18 |
MAST, |
BRIAN |
R+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
IL |
14 |
HULTGREN, |
RANDALL |
R+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
IL |
12 |
BOST, |
MICHAEL |
R+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
NY |
1 |
ZELDIN, |
LEE |
R+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
OH |
14 |
JOYCE, |
DAVID |
R+5 |
Betsy Rader |
|
|
|
OH |
1 |
CHABOT, |
STEVE |
R+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
PA |
16 |
SMUCKER, |
LLOYD |
R+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
TX |
32 |
SESSIONS, |
PETE |
R+5 |
Colin Allred |
|
|
|
WI |
1 |
RYAN, |
PAUL |
R+5 |
NA |
|
|
|
CO |
3 |
TIPTON, |
SCOTT |
R+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
FL |
15 |
ROSS, |
DENNIS |
R+6 |
Cameron Magnuson |
Raymond Pena Jr. |
James Gregory Pilkington |
|
MI |
3 |
AMASH, |
JUSTIN |
R+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
NC |
13 |
BUDD, |
TED |
R+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
NM |
2 |
PEARCE, |
STEVE |
R+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
NY |
23 |
REED, |
THOMAS |
R+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
NY |
22 |
TENNEY, |
CLAUDIA |
R+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
VA |
5 |
GARRETT, |
TOM |
R+6 |
Roger Dean Huffstetler |
|
|
|
VA |
7 |
BRAT, |
DAVE |
R+6 |
NA |
|
|
|
AR |
2 |
HILL, |
FRENCH |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
FL |
6 |
DESANTIS, |
RON |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
FL |
16 |
BUCHANAN, |
VERN |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
MI |
7 |
WALBERG, |
TIM |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
NC |
2 |
HOLDING, |
GEORGE |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
NV |
2 |
AMODEI, |
MARK |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
OH |
12 |
TIBERI, |
PAT |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
OH |
15 |
STIVERS, |
STEVE |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
TX |
7 |
CULBERSON, |
JOHN |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
WI |
8 |
GALLAGHER, |
MIKE |
R+7 |
NA |
|
|
|
CA |
22 |
NUNES, |
DEVIN |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
FL |
12 |
BILIRAKIS, |
GUS |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
GA |
6 |
PRICE, |
TOM |
R+8 |
Jon Ossof |
|
|
|
IL |
16 |
KINZINGER, |
ADAM |
R+8 |
Christopher Minelli |
|
|
|
MO |
2 |
WAGNER, |
ANN |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
NC |
8 |
HUDSON, |
RICHARD |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
NC |
9 |
PITTENGER, |
ROBERT |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
NJ |
4 |
SMITH, |
CHRISTOPHER |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
OH |
16 |
RENACCI, |
JIM |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
VA |
1 |
WITTMAN, |
ROBERT |
R+8 |
Ryan Sawyers |
|
|
|
WA |
5 |
MCMORRIS Rodgers |
Cathy |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
WI |
6 |
GROTHMAN, |
GLENN |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
WI |
7 |
DUFFY, |
SEAN |
R+8 |
NA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|