www.realclearpolitics.com/…
Gravis Marketing has just released a poll that shows Democrat Gretchen Whitmer has a 15% lead over Republican Bill Schuette for Michigan Governor (52% to 37%).
Winning the governorship would be a major pickup for the Democrats, and could possibly bode well for the many other races in the Midwest where Republicans are in trouble.
Recent Polls of Michigan Governor’s Race
Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow also has 16% lead over John James, the Republican candidate (51% to 35%).
Website 538 rates Gravis as a C+ pollster. Cook’s Political Report has Michigan Governor as a tossup and the Senate Race as likely Democrat.
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www.emerson.edu/…
New Mexico Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich has a clear lead over both of his opponents , according to an Emerson College Poll released today. The incumbent has 39% compared to Libertarian candidate and former governor Gary Johnson who has 21% and Republican Mick Rich who receives 11%.
Republicans appear split, with 27% voting for Johnson and 25% for Rich. Independents are also split but among these voters Heinrich is at 32%, Johnson 25%, and Rich at 7%. Heinrich leads with Democrats getting 60% of their vote, with Rich at 3%, Johnson pulls 13%.
The race for New Mexico governor is close with plenty of undecided voters. Democratic Congressperson Michelle Lujan Grisham has 42%. Her opponent Republican Steve Pearce, who is also a member of the US House, has 40% with 18% undecided.
Democrats lead the generic ballot in New Mexico 43% to 33%. Voters disapprove of President Trump by 54% to 35%. Trump’s proposed border wall with Mexico is disapproved by 54%, and is supported by 38%.
Cook’s Political Ratings rates NM Governor’s race as lean Democrat which would be a pick up. The Senate race is rated as safe Democrat.
The New Mexico Emerson College e-Poll was conducted August 17-18, 2018 under the Supervision of Assistant Professor Spencer Kimball. The sample consisted of registered voters, n=500, with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 4.6 percentage points.
Website 538 rates Emerson Poll as B+.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...
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www.mcclatchydc.com/...
Republican Congressman George Holding of North Carolina’s CD-2 is telling his supporters that he is behind and needs more money.
In a fundraising email, Holding announced internal poll numbers that he says show him down three points. His campaign manager, Carter Wrenn, confirmed the results in an interview with The News & Observer on Monday and explained why the campaign made them public.
“We want people to understand where we are. We don’t want people to take this election for granted,” Wrenn said. “George has always won by a pretty comfortable margin. This is a completely different election.”
It is quite unusual for campaigns to release internal polls unless they show the candidate is running well ahead of what anyone thinks, and it is possible this is a ploy to move near the front of the line in begging Republican donors for money. The poll has not been made public.
From Dave Wasserman, Cook Political Report:
#NC02 Rep. George Holding (R) has been telling GOP donors for nearly a week that his own poll showed him trailing Linda Coleman (D) by 3%. It's an R+7 district, but something may be going on in the Triangle/Wake Co.2:49 PM - 20 Aug 2018
If this is a legitimate survey number, it could indicate that Holding is in weaker position than thought. Previously he has always won with at least 56% of the vote and he has already raised more that $1.8 million.
Cook’s Reports rates NC CD-2 as likely Republican. NC CD-8 is also rated likely Republican, NC CD-13 is leaning Republican, and NC CD-9 is a tossup.
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More readings:
www.axios.com/…
A Blue Wave Is Obscuring a Red Exodus
www.buzzfeednews.com/…
Beto O’Rourke Making Republicans Sweat as Much as He Does.
www.nytimes.com/…
Democrats Want Pennsylvania Back
thehill.com/…
Second Former Scott Walker Cabinet Member Endorses Democrat Evers