State Electoral Trends: PA, OH, MI

Continuing the series of graphs showing state electoral trends since 1960, here are the next three up: Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan.

The graphs show how much more or less Democratic each state voted as compared to the national average; thus a +5% means that in a 50/50 national tie, the Democrat would have received 55% in a 2-way race.

Pics and comments below.

Nader vote in 2000:

MI: 2
OH: 3
PA: 2

Michigan has largely been leaning Dem; notable exceptions are native son Gerald Ford's run in 1976 and the later 1980's (Reagan Democrats I guess). The trend since 1984 is positive, if incremental.

Ohio seems to be slowly, slowly edging away, but there's no telling when a trend will reverse, and this year could be a good test of that.

Pennsylvania seems incapable of dipping into Republican territory; once it comes to the even line it jumps back up. Let's hope that this year proves the pattern.

Previous States:

Alaska, Washington, Oregon
Hawaii, California, Nevada
Idaho, Utah, Wyoming
Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado
Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota
Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas
Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin
Missouri, Illinois, Indiana
Arkansas, Louisiana
Mississippi, Alabama
Tennessee, Kentucky
Georgia, Florida
Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina
West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware