State Electoral Trends: VT, NH, ME

Finally, here's the last in the series: Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine.

The graphs show how much more or less Democratic each state voted as compared to the national average; thus a +5% means that in a 50/50 national tie, the Democrat would have received 55% in a 2-way race.

Pics and comments below.

Nader vote in 2000:

VT: 7
NH: 4
ME: 6

These trendlines show more volatility than most other states, but some patterns have emerged. Vermont's trend is increasingly Democratic. NH jumped from solid Republican back to swing state between 88 and 92, a status it also had during the 60's. Maine's sort of been all over the place (what was that spike for Carter in 1980?).

It's also notable that northern New England was hardly sympathetic to flatlander candidates; notice the low scores for JFK and Dukakis.

Finally, I think the downturn from 1996 to 2000 is largely, if not entirely, attributable to Nader, who did very well in New England (well above his national average in all six states).

Previous States: Alaska, Washington, Oregon Hawaii, California, Nevada Idaho, Utah, Wyoming Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin Missouri, Illinois, Indiana Arkansas, Louisiana Mississippi, Alabama Tennessee, Kentucky Georgia, Florida Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania New Jersey, New York Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island