Here is the latest compilation of primary poll results. There were fresh polls out from DE, IA, NH, NJ, OH, and WI shown in
bold.
Our Campaigns and
DC Political Report are the best sources I've found. The calendar comes from
Politics1.
Most of the polls this week showed a continuation of the status quo. Gephardt is maintaining his edge in IA, and Dean is solidifying his big lead in NH. NJ and OH showed little change, as neither state is paying close attention to the race yet. The DE poll was the first of the season for this early polling state, showing Lieberman leading (at least for the moment) and Dean close behind. The WI poll shows Dean leading among likely Democratic voters (shown below), while Lieberman has a slight edge among voters of all parties in a state without party registration. IA and NH are set to heat up, as Kerry "goes nuclear" on Dean and Dean is campaigning hard to get even again with Gephardt in IA. The next round of polls will give an indication if either is gaining traction against the leader.
January 19
IA:
11/02-11/05: Gephardt 27, Dean 20, Kerry 15, Edwards 5, Lieberman 5, Clark 4, Kucinich 3, Braun 1, Sharpton 1 (
IP)
10/??-10/??: Dean 26 (+1), Gephardt 26 (+5), Kerry 15 (-1), Edwards 8 (+2), Clark 3, Lieberman 3 (-9) (
R2K)
10/20-10/21: Gephardt 22, Dean 21, Kerry 9, Clark 7, Edwards 7, Lieberman 5, Kucinich 1, Braun 0.5, Sharpton 0.4 (
ZI)
10/14-10/16: Gephardt 27, Dean 22, Kerry 15, Clark 11, Edwards 11, Lieberman 4 (
SUSA)
10/13-10/15: Dean 24, Gephardt 21, Kerry 21, Edwards 10, Clark 5, Lieberman 5, Kucinich 3, Braun 1, Sharpton 0 (MG)
January 27
NH: 11/06-11/13: Dean 38, Kerry 16, Clark 5, Edwards 5, Lieberman 4, Gephardt 3, Braun 0, Sharpton 0 (UNH)
11/02-11/05: Dean 38 (+9), Kerry 24 (+5), Clark 4 (-1), Edwards 4 (+1), Lieberman 4 (-2), Gephardt 3 (-3), Kucinich 1 (0), Braun 1 (0), Sharpton 0 (0) (ARG)
10/24-10/26: Dean 37 (-1), Kerry 24 (-2), Edwards 9 (+3), Clark 8 ( ), Gephardt 7 (0), Lieberman 5 (-2), Kucinich 3 (+1), Braun 0 (0) Sharpton 0 (-1) (BG)
10/21-10/23: Dean 40, Kerry 17, Clark 6, Edwards 6, Gephardt 4, Lieberman 3, Braun 0, Kucinich 0, Sharpton 0 (ZI)
10/16-10/20: Dean 33, Kerry 18, Clark 14, Lieberman 6, Edwards 5, Gephardt 5 (R2K)
10/15-10/19: Dean 25, Kerry 19, Clark 11, Lieberman 8, Gephardt 7, Edwards 4 (SU)
10/13-10/15: Dean 33, Kerry 19, Clark 7, Edwards 4, Gephardt 4, Lieberman 3, Kucinich 1, Braun 0, Sharpton 0 (FPC)
February 3
AZ: 10/09-10/16: Dean 19, Clark 14, Kerry 9, Lieberman 9, Gephardt 5, Sharpton 2, Braun 1, Edwards 1, Kucinich 0 (BRC)
DE: 11/??-11/??: Lieberman 19, Dean 15, Gephardt 12, Clark 10, Kerry 8, Sharpton 4, Edwards 3, Braun 0, Kucinich 0 (MD)
MO: 09/08-09/09: Gephardt 36, Dean 22, Kerry 14, Lieberman 10, Edwards 5, Clark 2, Braun 0, Kucinich 0, Sharpton 0 (R2K)
NM: 09/08-09/10: Dean 18, Lieberman 14, Kerry 10, Gephardt 7, Kucinich 3, Edwards 1, Braun 0, Sharpton 0 (AJ)
ND:
OK:
SC: 10/26-10/30: Clark 17 (+10), Edwards 10 (-6), Lieberman 8 (+1), Dean 7 (+1), Gephardt 7 (+2), Braun 4 (+1), Sharpton 5 (0), Kerry 4 (-1), Kucinich 1 (0) (ARG)
10/02-10/13: Edwards 14, Gephardt 13, Clark 12, Lieberman 11, Dean 10, Sharpton 10, Kerry 8 (DC)
10/??-10/??: Edwards 23, Dean 12, Lieberman 12, Clark 9, Gephardt 7, Sharpton 6, Kerry 5, Braun 4, Kucinich 1 (GSG)
February 7
MI: 10/06-10/09: Dean 21, Clark 15, Gephardt 13, Kerry 13, Lieberman 12, Braun 4, Sharpton 4, Kucinich 2, Edwards 1 (E/M)
WA:
February 8
ME: 09/13-09/26: Dean 18, Kerry 18, Clark 14, Gephardt 12, Lieberman 11, Braun 3, Kucinich 1, Edwards 0, Sharpton 0 (CI)
February 10
DC:
TN:
VA:
February 14
NV:
February 17
WI: Dean 21, Lieberman 16, Clark 13 (SNC)
09/21-09/23: Clark 18, Lieberman 14, Dean 13, Gephardt 11, Kerry 7, Braun 3, Edwards 1, Kucinich 1, Sharpton 1 (WP)
February 24
HI:
ID:
UT:
March 2
CA: 09/25-10/01: Clark 17, Dean 14, Lieberman 14, Kerry 9, Gephardt 5, Sharpton 4, Braun 3, Edwards 1, Kucinich 1 (FP)
09/25-09/27: Clark 19, Dean 15, Lieberman 14, Kerry 8, Gephardt 5, Braun 4, Edwards 4, Kucinich 3, Sharpton 3, Graham 0 (U/C/G)
CT: 10/01-10/07: Lieberman 33, Dean 17, Clark 14, Kerry 14, Gephardt 5, Edwards 3, Sharpton 2, Braun 1, Kucinich 0 (QU)
GA: 10/15-10/16: Clark 13.1, Gephardt 11.5, Lieberman 9, Dean 7.4, Braun 5.4, Kerry 4.9, Edwards 3.8, Sharpton 3.3, Kucinich 0.8 (AJC)
10/??-10/??: Clark 12, Lieberman 11, Gephardt 10, Dean 9, Sharpton 7, Braun 6, Edwards 3, Kerry 2, Kucinich 0 (SRG)
MD: 10/20-10/26: Dean 23 (-2), Lieberman 20 (-3), Clark 11 (), Gephardt 9 (-1), Edwards 7 (+) Kerry 7 (-4), Sharpton 6 (+1), Braun 2 (?), Kucinich 1 (?) (GA)
MA:
MN:
NY: 10/29-11/03: Lieberman 17 (+4), Dean 15 (-2), Clark 12 (-6), Kerry 11 (-1), Sharpton 11 (+5), Gephardt 9 (+4) (QU)
10/08-10/20: Dean 18, Lieberman 16, Clark 14, Gephardt 10, Kerry 9, Sharpton 5, Braun 2, Edwards 2, Kucinich 2 (MI)
OH: 10/16-11/02: Lieberman 18 (-4), Gephardt 14 (0), Kucinich 12 (+3), Dean 9 (0), Kerry 9 (+1), Clark 6 (+3), Sharpton 6 (0), Braun 4 (-2), Edwards 1 (0) (OP)
RI: 09/13-09/15: Dean 17, Kerry 17, Lieberman 17, Gephardt 7, Braun 3, Sharpton 2, Edwards 1, Kucinich 1 (BU)
VT: 10/28-10/30: Dean 47, Kerry 18, Clark 8, Lieberman 6, Edwards 5, Gephardt 4, Kucinich 3, Sharpton 1, Braun 0 (R2K)
March 9
FL: 06/06-06/11: Graham 49, Gephardt 10, Lieberman 10, Kerry 8, Edwards 6, Dean 5, Braun 4, Kucinich 4, Sharpton 4 (R2K)
LA:
MS:
TX:
March 13
KS:
March 16
IL: 10/15-10/20: Gephardt 13, Clark 11, Dean 10, Braun 9, Kerry 8, Lieberman 8, Sharpton 2, Edwards 1, Kucinich 1 (CT)
08/02-08/04: Braun 22, Gephardt 16, Lieberman 15, Dean 11, Kerry 8, Edwards 4, Sharpton 3 (SUSA)
March 20
AK:
WY:
April 13
CO:
April 27
PA: 10/09-10/13: Kerry 18, Clark 17, Lieberman 15, Gephardt 10, Edwards 7, Dean 5, Sharpton 4, Braun 3, Kucinich 2 (QU)
May 4
IN:
NC: 09/09-09/12: Edwards 37, Dean 23, Kerry 17, Gephardt 8, Lieberman 6 (R2K)
May 11
NE:
WV:
May 18
AR:
KY:
OR:
June 1
AL: 09/29-10/02: Clark 13, Gephardt 11, Lieberman 9, Sharpton 9, Dean 5, Edwards 4 (MR)
SD:
June 8
MT:
NJ: 11/06-11/10: Dean 16 (+4), Lieberman 16 (-1), Kerry 15 (+1), Clark 11 (-5), Gephardt 9 (-4), Braun 6 (+4), Sharpton 5 (-4), Edwards 2 (-2), Kucinich 0 (0) (QU)
Pollsters:
AJ = Albuquerque Journal
AJC = Atlanta Journal-Constitution
ARG = American Research Group
BG = Boston Globe
BRC = Behavior Research Group
BU = Brown University
CI = Critical Insights
DC = Democracy Corps
E/M = EPIC / MRA
FP = Field Poll
FPC = Franklin Pierce College
GA = Gonzales / Arscott Research
GSG = Global Stragegy Group (Edwards)
IP = Iowa Poll
MD = Mason-Dixon
MG = Mellman Group (Kerry)
MR = Mobile Register
OP = Ohio Poll
QU = Quinnipiac University
R2K = Research 2000
SNC = Saint Norbert College
SRG = Shapiro Research Group (D)
SU = Suffolk University
SUSA = Survey USA
U/C/G = USA Today / CNN / Gallup
WP = WisPolitics.com
ZI = Zogby International