From thread at
Democratic Underground - Sorting the smoking guns - OH and FL
DUers who know the value of the Vote Fraud story in slowing down the Bush push, regardless of how unlikely it is we will Reverse the Curse with this alone:
We should want to activate the lawyers and journalists to get audits, investigations and recounts everywhere we can.
I am FAR AWAY from the places where it counts, unused to this form of research, and tied down - among us it's above all up to Ohioans, Floridians, New Hampshirites, statisticians and Internet media campaigners to really get the ball rolling.
Specifics on "hot spot" localities where fraud seems likeliest are the strongest material we can use. Show probable cause for fraudulent actions by individuals, and you make the story viable for journalists, explicable to the people, and actionable by investigators (if any are left).
We're waiting for Jeff Fisher on the 2002-2004 Florida evidence, and for Nader in New Hampshire, and for Bev Harris, and for others who are coming forward.
But, PENDING THESE NEW REVELATIONS OF SPECIFICS,
So far these are, in order, what I consider to be the strongest "smokers" or pressure points, and I encourage focusing more scrutiny on each:
1) WARREN COUNTY, OH, Republican administration and Republican majority, invokes homeland security to block outside observation of vote count. Unprecedented. Highly suspicious and no doubt a viper's nest of nasty connections if you look at the players there. Anyone live there? Anyone got the full numbers on Warren County? We should look at 2000x2004, comparisons to registrations, actual-vs.-exit polling if available, precinct breakdowns, demographics...
See http://www.michigancityin.com/articles/2004/11/04/news/...
(Cincinatti Enquirer Friday, November 5, 2004: "Warren's vote tally walled off. Alone in Ohio, officials cited homeland security" By Erica Solvig, Enquirer staff writer. Write to her and to thank her and encourage more investigation of this: esolvig@enquirer.com - write to other local and national media!)
This was the last county to report results on Nov. 3
http://www.enquirer.com/editions/2004/11/04/loc_warrenv...
If we can't get press to descend on Warren County as the first Ground Zero in this fight, we can forget about it.
2) "Glitch" in Gahanna (near Columbus) adds 3,800 to Bush at one polling place. Turns out it was a church! This was the big breakthrough so far, 190-plus stories on Google News, NY Times, etc. etc., mostly trying to pooh-pooh it as an isolated minor thing, with Franklin County being the only one using this obsolete system, etc. Most important about this: demonstrates that huge "glitches" are possible, and that they can skew results powerfully. THIS IS PRECINCT 1-B IN GAHANNA. WHO LIVES ANYWHERE NEAR THIS PLACE? CAN YOU TELL US ABOUT THE NEW LIFE CHURCH?
http://www.dissidentvoice.org/Nov2004/Fitrakis1105.htm
3) Other "glitches": Carteret Cty. in NC loses 4,300, Craven Cty. picks up 11,000 (for WHOM? Reports so far do not specify)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...
Indiana La Porte "power surge" resets results to "default" position of 300 per candidate.
http://www.michigancityin.com/articles/2004/11/04/news/...
4) Broward loses 58,000 absentee ballots?! (As of Oct 28).
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/columnists/sfl-mayo28o...
Broward and Palm machines count backward?
http://www.palmbeachpost.com/politics/content/news/epap...
5) Background and actions of Ken Blackwell. He makes as ideal a villain figure for this as Katherine Harris did (and deserves it).
Check out the dossier on him compiled by Jon Rapoport (and never mind what you think about Rapoport) at http://www.nomorefakenews.com
- Optiscan vs. Other Methods in Florida and NH. (Anyone doing the work for Ohio?)
- Exit vs. Actual in comparison of "paper trail" to "no-paper" states and counties as done by TruthIsAll. However, this work requires more specifics: How is "paper" defined? More importantly: what are the mechanics and possible gateways for fraud of the various methods?
Points 6 and 7 need to be broken down county-by-county and according to all methods for Ohio, as it has been done for Florida at this site:
http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm (see the linked pages for illuminating graphical treatments)
8) 2000x2004 comparisons as supporting the other statistical analyses in locating "hot spots." (I breathlessly await Al the Cat's results.)
When we find hot spots, there must be follow up on the ground. DUers who are there and venturesome are vital. DUers who write to all local and national press to point out hot spots, ditto. Again, we want press descending on the localities and scrutinizing the players as the essential first step in breaking it open.