Two perspectives on Qana (with mega-poll)

Sometimes, after whacking away at macro opinions on heated conflicts and getting nowhere, it's best to put down the cudgel and take up the scalpel to probe down to see exactly how the parties see the world differently: what facts are in the world, what inferences can made from them about the likely effects of certain actions.  Such perspective-taking exercises are critical to successful mediation, which if we can't have in the Middle East at least we might have on DKos.  I think our varying perspectives on Qana could use elucidation.

Two photo captions are below.  The first I think fairly represents the optimistic "Israeli hawkish" expectation on the effect of bombing Qana.  The bottom reflects the pessimistic "dovish" expectation.  A semi-sophisticated poll is attached.  Other than challenging the poll or how I have represented each side -- please feel free to do so, of course -- please restrict your comments on the overall Israel/Hezbollah/Lebanon policies solely to the specific point of contention reflected in these captions: the effects of the bombing.  (Thanks for cooperating in that.)