Daily Kos

Obama beating Clinton in ABC News Iowa poll

Tue Nov 20, 2007 at 08:09:33 AM PDT

The horses are on the track and..

After leading for months, Hillary Clinton has slipped in the latest ABC News poll

Overall, in current preferences, 30 percent in Iowa support Obama, 26 percent Clinton and 22 percent Edwards, with 11 percent for Bill Richardson. That's little changed since July (Edwards -4, Obama +3, both within sampling tolerances, and Clinton unchanged).

Among those who say they're "absolutely certain" to attend a caucus, Obama has 28 percent support, Clinton 26 percent -- again very close, and a contrast to Clinton's nearly 2-1 lead over Obama nationally.

Of course, polls are always suspect, but this poll shows that perhaps the CNN punditocracy was all wet when they fell all over themselves to say how wonderfully Clinton did in her last debate performance and how poorly Obama did. (See correction below)

I think it's probably still too close to call in Iowa.  I also suspect the national lead Clinton has is not safe.  Any of us who follow politics know that national leads mean nothing until after Iowa and New Hampshire (and this year, probably Nevada and South Carolina).

CORRECTION: al Fubar points out in the comments that the poll was taken before the last debate and thus, debate performance isn't factored in.  My mistake.

Tags: Poll, ABC News, Iowa, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

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