Why Iowa Rep. Loebsack endorsement is important

There are 5 congressional districts in Iowa, 3 Democratic and 2 Republican.  The 3 Dem districts have split their endorsements 3 ways Bruce Braley > Edwards, Leonard Boswell > Clinton and now Dave Loebsack > Obama.  Obama was already holding his own in the other 2 Dem districts despite endorsements but David Loebsack's 2nd district includes key cities Cedar Rapids, Iowa City, Muscatine, Burlington and Ottumwa.  This is the first time in 29 years Democrats have held the 2nd District and Loebsack upset James Leach last year with grassroots organizing.

Loebsack's organization could make the difference by itself in Iowa.  I also think Obama will do better in the 2 Republican districts because he is the most likable among Republicans who may switch sides and because Hillary is almost no ones second choice in Iowa, she will likely come in 3rd.  If we have an Obama, Edwards, Hillary finish in Iowa, that sets up Obama for a win in New Hampshire and that sets up a win in South Carolina.  Obama also has the money to compete on Super Tuesday and with the big mo, he could do it.  Edwards can only win in Iowa and there is no scenario left for him to win any other state and that's why the Clintons are helping him out.  They want to split the difference leading up to Super Tuesday, which would otherwise favor Hillary.

US Rep. David Loebsack
http://en.wikipedia.org/...

Iowa's 2nd congressional district
http://en.wikipedia.org/...

IOWA CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT Maps
http://nationalatlas.gov/...

Iowa Congressional Breakdown:

Bruce Braley (D) - First District
Dave Loebsack (D) - Second District
Leonard Boswell (D) - Third District
Tom Latham (R) - Fourth District
Steve King (R) - Fifth District