Daily Kos

Michigan, Hillary, and the Worst Case Scenario

Mon Jan 07, 2008 at 10:01:59 AM PDT

Many months ago, I postulated that the DNC's rule that Michigan delegates wouldn't be counted would almost certainly be overturned at the actual convention.  At the time, Hillary was almost certainly going to win 40+ primary contests, and since Michigan wouldn't make any difference, there'd be no harm in going back on the ruling.  

However, I also noted (uneasily) that there was a second possible scenario that would be extraordinarily damaging to our party: if, for some reason, Clinton and Obama split the delegate count, and Michigan's votes would put Clinton over the top, but Obama would stay on top if the Michigan delegate ban held.  Again, at the time, this seemed unlikely with Hillary's "inevitability".  But now... well, there's several possible scenarios that this could mathematically happen.

Why is this so important?

Well, the DNC ruled Michigan's primary would be null and void, because leaders in the state broke the "two tiny all-white non-representative states must singlehandedly decide who leads the free world" rule, and moved the date up.  As we know, Iowa and New Hampshire moved theirs up even earlier, so it's kind of moot, but the DNC has stood absolutely firm in not counting Michigan's delegates, no matter who they vote for.  The DNC told each of the candidates to officially drop out of Michigan's primary.

And, all the major candidates did... except Hillary.  She's the only current candidate on the Michigan ballot (well, save Kucinich, who TRIED to also back out, but filed the wrong paperwork.)  

The Michigan primary is therefore a non-exercise.  It's completely invalid.  And yet, there is an increasing possibility that Clinton, who will win Michigan by default, might try to challenge the DNC delegate ban of these states at the convention.  States in which voters were not even allowed to vote for Obama (or Edwards or Richardson or anyone other than Hillary.)  It's like the Iraqi ballot to reelect Saddam Hussein.

If the Worst Case Scenario happens, and the Clinton powers insist on accepting Michigan, that would constitute a clear and umambiguous stolen election.  (Florida's delegates were also stripped, but at least all the candidates are on that ballot.)  It's the equivalent of, say, if the state of Florida was told in advance their state wouldn't count in the year 2000, and kept Gore's name off of the 2000 ballot, and then Bush after the election said "nuh uh Florida's votes for me count anyway, even though I was the only one they could vote for", and used his "votes" to "win".

Senator Clinton needs to say, on record, unambiguously and as Shermanesque as possible, that she will not challenge the Michigan delegate ban under any circumstances, and not accept degate votes from Michigan under any circumstances.  If she won't commit to this statement, she is patently unqualified to run in the Democratic primary to begin with.

Tags: Hillary Clinton, 2008, Michigan (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

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