VA-02: It's official: Glenn Nye wins
by Arjun Jaikumar
Fri Nov 07, 2008 at 01:30:04 PM PDT
We've been counting on this one for days, but it is official now: Republican Rep. Thelma Drake has conceded, and Democrat Glenn Nye has won.
Rep. Thelma Drake late Thursday night conceded the election for the 2nd Congressional District to political newcomer Glenn Nye after a bitterly fought race.
With a small number of absentee ballots still being counted, Republican Drake released a statement saying some voters waited in line for hours and many troops serving overseas, including Iraq and Afghanistan, sent absentee ballots.
"Those ballots have been counted and the voters have decided," she said, congratulating Democrat Nye.
...
The Nye victory delivers the district to Democrats for the first time since 2000, and he heads to Washington as part of the growing Democratic majority on Capitol Hill. The 34-year-old former foreign service officer ran a campaign stressing the need for bipartisan cooperation in Washington and an exit strategy for the war in Iraq.
Meanwhile, the following races have not been called, but we're sitting on solid leads with provisional ballots still being counted:
VA-05: Tom Perriello (D) leads Virgil Goode (R) by 647 votes at the moment.
CA-04: Tom McClintock (R) leads Charlie Brown (D) by 709 votes, with tens of thousands of provisional / absentee ballots still to b counted.
Diarist Jeff in CA has a terrific diary on the subject and projects that the race will come down to a 100-vote margin:
According to the California Secretary of State, there are at least 48,000 (perhaps 55,000) uncounted votes remaining in CA CD4 (Charlie Brown vs. Tom McClintock). Here is a pdf that lists the current number of unprocessed votes by county. It's updated several times a day.
The counties of El Dorado, Nevada and Placer have yet to process 48,000 votes (16%) out of 307,000 votes cast in those counties! I projected the split of uncounted votes in each county based on the ballots already counted. Under this scenario, Brown can erase McClintock's current 709-vote margin. However, if he does, it will be by the slimmest of margins. In this spreadsheet scenario, Brown would win by only 44 votes.
This may take a while.
MD-01: However, Maryland Democrat Frank Kratovil now leads by 2,003 votes, up from 915 yesterday.
Kratovil has a darn good shot at taking this one.
WA-08: Darcy Burner trails 51-49 with 71% of votes counted.
Unfortunately, she currently trails in both King County and Pierce County. While we don't know what part of King County votes are still outstanding from, that's an uncomfortable sign.
Still, she's only down by a few thousand votes, and she could still win this.
CA-44: No news since last night in the remarkable Ken Calvert - Bill Hedrick race.
OH-15: Still a 146-vote margin in OH-15, and it still looks pretty good.
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