Obama Takes the Lead in Rasmussen TX Poll

Rasmussen does Texas and Ohio.

Texas. 2/27. 503 likely voters. MoE 4% (2/24)

Clinton 44% (46)
Obama 48% (45)

For the first time, Rasmussen is showing Obama in the lead in its Texas poll, continuing a trend that had him steadily narrowing large earlier Clinton leads, and following other polling that gave Obama the lead days ago. Just two weeks ago, Rasmussen had Clinton up by 16 points, which is important to remember as the campaigns play the expectations game.

Ohio.  2/28*. 862 likely voters. MoE 3%. (2/25)

Clinton 47% (48)
Obama 45% (43)

* (In its write-up of the poll, Rasmussen refers to it having been done Thursday night. That would be 2/28. But in the methodological notes, it says 2/25, which appears to be a typographical error, since the previous Rasmussen Ohio poll (the results here shown in parentheses) was done on 2/25.)

Even Ohio is starting to look like a possible Obama win, leaving Clinton with a March 4 firewall of Rhode Island, apparently. I wouldn't bet against Clinton hanging on to take Ohio, but I wouldn't be for it, either. (What can I say, I'm cautious.)

In good news for the Democratic brand in Ohio, SurveyUSA finds that Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is much more popular with his constituents than is Republican Senator George Voinovich. Brown's net approval is +12 while Voinovich's is -6.