Stupid Excel Tricks: Tomorrow's Final Delegate Count

A few people, including crazymoloch earlier today have come up with sophisticated means to predict tomorrow's outcome.  My methodology is simple: I start with the latest poll from each state (averaged if there are two or even three finishing on the same date).  I then adjust it forward to today's date based on the changes in a 5-poll national average between the state poll's date and today.  Then I impose a 15% threshold for delegates and assign them proportionately.

So, here are tomorrow's delegate totals:

State Clinton Obama Edwards
AL 26 26 0
AK 7 6 0
AZ 27 29 0
AR 22 13 0
CA 209 161 0
CO 23 32 0
CT 23 25 0
DE 7 8 0
GA 33 53 1
ID 7 11 0
IL 48 105 0
KS 13 17 2
MA 50 43 0
MN 35 37 0
MO 40 32 0
NJ 58 49 0
NM 11 15 0
NY 137 95 0
ND 7 6 0
OK 23 12 3
TN 40 28 0
UT 5 18 0
TOTAL 851 821 6

Clinton receiving 30 more delegates than Obama would be good news for Obama, but this projection may underestimate Obama's strength somewhat.  The latest California poll is from Survey USA and gave Clinton a 12 point lead, which is almost an outlier.  If California ends up being more or less a tie, as many pollsters predict, Obama would end up with more total delegates for the day than Clinton.  Now it's all up to the voters and campaign GOTV!