Finally, an Indiana Poll

After 6 weeks in which North Carolina and Pennsylvania were polled more than a half-dozen and a dozen times, respectively, there is finally a new poll of the Indiana Democratic primary.

Survey USA. 3/29-31. 530 likely voters. MoE 4.3%.

Clinton: 52%
Obama: 43%

In the two weeks after Pennsylvania's primary, with North Carolina looking strong for Obama, both candidates will presumably be campaigning hard in Indiana as Clinton tries desperately to keep her campaign going and Obama tries to end it for once and for all. Any kind of win in Indiana would help Clinton's narrative as she fights to stay in a race she's lost, though as we know, it wouldn't change the delegate math in a meaningful way. But this poll lays the marker for Indiana, the state to which the Clinton campaign has been directing attention of late. More than a 9-point victory, and Clinton has exceeded expectations; less, and Obama has.