SurveyUSA's and Rasmussen's final Penn polls

SurveyUSA. 4/18-19. Likely voters. MoE 3.8% (4/12-14 results)

Clinton 50 (54)
Obama 44 (40)

A large shift of support occurred in the Philadelphia area and other parts of Southeast Pennsylvania, which includes most of the state's African-American population. The poll found that Obama finished strongly, ahead of Clinton by 14 points within that demographic. Among liberals, Obama began 18 points behind Clinton but finished 11 points ahead of Clinton. Among those who have not graduated from college, Clinton led by 28 points last week, but by 15 points Monday.

Among voters under age 50, Clinton had led by 8 points last week and trailed by 8 Monday.
Here's what has not changed: Among women, Clinton has led by 30, 28, 28, 22, and 23 points in five polls. Among voters 50 and older, Clinton has led by 26, 22, 24, 20, and 20 points in the polls.

Rasmussen. 4/20. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/17 results)

Clinton 49 (47)
Obama 44 (44)

Note that after Super Tuesday, SUSA gave Clinton a 19-point lead, while Rasmussen gave her a 15-point lead. That was her baseline.

This afternoon I'll see what predictions I pull from you-know-where, but this last poll from SUSA takes them out of "outlier" territory. The other recent polls on this race, with their trend lines:

         Clinton    Obama

Zogby       48 (47)  42 (42)   C+6
Suffolk     52       42        C+10
PPP         46 (42)  49 (45)   O+3
Strategic   48 (49)  41 (40)   C+7
Vision      
Quinnipiac  51 (50)  44 (44)   C+7
ARG         54 (57)  41 (37)   C+13
Mason-Dixon 48       43        C+5

So if the pollsters are to be believed, we're looking at roundabouts a 6-point Clinton victory tomorrow.