Results Thread #14
by kos
Tue Apr 22, 2008 at 08:23:23 PM PDT
92% precincts reporting.
Clinton 55 40
Obama 45 37
You know what's weird? At 83%, CNN had this thing at a 10-point spread. But at 83% reporting right now, the Pennsylvania SoS office has it an 8-point race:
Clinton 54.2
Obama 45.8
Lots of rounding going on at CNN. The final result may yet end up in single digits, which has become quite important in the spin battle.
Update: The Obama campaign's memo:
To: Interested Parties
Fr: The Obama Campaign
Re: A fundamentally unchanged race
Da: 4/22/08
Tonight, Hillary Clinton lost her last, best chance to make significant inroads in the pledged delegate count.
The only surprising result from Pennsylvania is that in a state considered tailor-made for Hillary Clinton that she was expected to win, Barack Obama was able to improve his standing among key voter groups since the Ohio primary. For example, among white voters, Obama narrowed the gap with Clinton by six points. Among voters over 60, he nearly cut the gap in half, from 41 points to 24 points. And Independent voters – the group that will decide the general election and a group Obama is particularly strong with – were not able to vote in Not surprisingly, she led by as much as 25 points in the weeks leading up to the election.
As he has done in every state, Barack Obama campaigned hard to pick up as much support and as many delegates as possible and was able to stave off Clinton from achieving a significant pledged delegate gain from Pennsylvania.
The bottom line is that the Pennsylvania outcome does not change dynamic of this lengthy primary. While there were 158 delegates at stake there, there are fully 157 up for grabs in the Indiana and North Carolina primaries on May 6.
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