Daily Kos

Excuse me, but 9.4 doesn't round to 10

Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 06:47:39 AM PDT

diary title changed to better reflect content

Around 9:00 a.m. EDT the Pennsylvania Secretary of State web page added a few more precinct results.  Eighty-four remain outstanding.

The update had a bit of movement to Obama, such that things now stand here (one table better than a thousand words):

PA SoS 9909

I had been puzzled for a little while wondering how the TM was getting a 10% margin out of the overnight 99.07% numbers; I eventually realized they were rounding the margins to whole percentages of 55 - 45 before taking the difference.  That process would now put it at an 8% margin, and if the last precincts to report favor Obama it may become an honest 8%.

(update note: as mentioned in the jump, it looks more like a possible 9% than 8% due to error on the SoS site.)

In the grand scheme of things it probably matters naught, but it takes a little wind out of the Clinton sails to not be able to claim a double-digit victory.

[Update 1]

In the comments it was pointed out that Kos's last post of the election night noted there is a likely mistake in the PA SoS numbers, and that CNN's numbers are more trustworthy.

The most recent numbers on the CNN website that I have are thus (decimals courtesy of Excel):

1010

CNN PA results link

I'll also post the most recent PA SoS numbers as I'm able to catch them (updated as of 2:48 pm EDT):

PA9212 frame

Pennsylvania Dept of State results

I'll try to keep up on these through the day (although I do have some things to do beyond feed my craving).

[Update 2]

I can't locate the precinct count for CNN, but CBS includes it (updated at 2:37 pm EDT):

CBS 9241

CBS PA election results

(it looks like I had some incorrect percentages for a bit...sorry, this is moving fast for me)

It's looking like a round-off battle to 9% or 10%.  One the one hand, I can't imagine something less trivial.  But on the other hand, it rankled to hear the NPR lead-in to Morning Edition this morning, when Steve Inskeep intoned, "Hillary Clinton needed 10%, and she got...10%."

[update 3]

Well, I updates are slow and there not apt to be significant change.  That last CBS table says it: Clinton's numbers round off to 55%, Obama's to 45%, and the TM is gonna call it 10% because they're too lazy to explain how 55 - 45 = 9

Tags: President, 2008, Pennsylvania, 2008 elections, primaries, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Recommended (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

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