Obama keeps McCain under 50 in Arizona
by kos
Wed Apr 30, 2008 at 04:45:14 PM PST
Arizona State U for Eight/KAET-TV. 4/24-27. Registered voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
McCain (R) 47
Obama (D) 38
McCain (R) 53
Clinton (D) 37
Obama runs +7 in Arizona, and even keeps McCain under 50 percent in his own state. Now McCain is the prohibitive favorite in AZ, and few would claim the state will be competitive. But the state will feature key races in AZ-01 (open-R), AZ-03 (Shadegg-R), AZ-05 (Mitchell-D), and AZ-08 (Giffords-D). Mitchell and Giffords are both freshman Democrats in Republican-leaning districts. So are AZ-01 and AZ-03, but are both winnable seats. AZ-03 features Democratic challenger Bob Lord, who has been one of the emerging fundraising stars in the early going this cycle. Shadegg is a favorite of the wingnutosphere, so striking here would be extra delicious.
In yet another state we find that Obama runs stronger at the top of the ticket. Add the 50-state voter registration drive that Obama has announced (still unmatched by the Clinton camp), and we have yet another instance in which an Obama nomination can pay dividends far beyond the Oval Office.
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