Obama the New Jersey favorite
by kos
Thu May 01, 2008 at 10:55:17 AM PDT
What has Clinton told us? That only she can win the "big states"? That Wright has irreparably harmed Obama? That she's "more electable"? That independents like her more?
Let's see what New Jersey has to say about it, all of it post-Wright, of course:
Monmouth U. 4/24-28. Registered voters. MoE 3.7% (No trend lines)
McCain (R) 32
Obama (D) 56
McCain (R) 38
Clinton (D) 52
They both win handily, but Obama's extra 10 points will come in handy in a state that will feature multiple hot House races.
But more interestingly than that is the following fact, given that this is a state that Clinton won by 10 points 54-44:
Who would you personally like to see the Democratic party nominate as its presidential
candidate —Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama? (Asked only of Democrats)
Obama 45
Clinton 38
Again, after Wright, after "bitter", after all the nonsense in this campaign, the very people who gave Clinton a solid victory on February 5 now prefer Obama.
Meanwhile, in the general election matchups:
Total Dem Ind Rep
McCain (R) 32 10 33 79
Obama (D) 56 84 50 13
McCain (R) 38 13 41 86
Clinton (D) 52 81 42 11
Obama runs stronger across the board. In a state, remember, that Clinton claims only she can win because it's "big" and she won the primary, and all of this after Obama was rendered "unelectable" by Wright and "bitter".
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