IN and NC Polls
by kos
Mon May 05, 2008 at 05:55:13 PM PST
Obama will close out Tuesday night in North Carolina, Clinton in Indiana. Sort of tells you who expects to win what, huh?
Composite Pollster.com score:
Clinton 49.7
Obama 43.9
Insider Advantage. 5/4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/30-5/1 results)
Clinton 48 (47)
Obama 44 (40)
Zogby. 5/4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/30-5/1 results)
Clinton 42 (42)
Obama 44 (42)
Suffolk. 5/3-4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines)
Clinton 49
Obama 43
PPP (PDF). 5/3-4. Likely voters. MoE 3.4% (4/26-27 results)
Clinton 51 (50)
Obama 46 (42)
ARG. 5/2-4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/30-5/1 results)
Clinton 53 (53)
Obama 45 (44)
SurveyUSA. 5/2-4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/25-27 results)
Clinton 54 (52)
Obama 42 (43)
SUSA says 12 points, but I find it hard to believe. I think Zogby is full of crap. The six-point composite sounds reasonable. All of these polls except SUSA show movement in Obama's direction.
Composite Pollster.com score:
Obama 49.9
Clinton 42.2
Insider Advantage. 5/4. Likely voters. MoE 3% (5/1 results)
Obama 48 (49)
Clinton 45 (44)
Zogby. 5/3-4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/30-5/1 results)
Obama 48 (50)
Clinton 40 (34)
PPP (PDF). 5/3-4. Likely voters. MoE 3.4% (4/26-27 results)
Obama 53 (51)
Clinton 43 (39)
ARG. 5/2-4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/30-5/1 results)
Obama 50 (52)
Clinton 42 (41)
SurveyUSA. 5/2-4. Likely voters. MoE 4% (4/26-28 results)
Obama 50 (49)
Clinton 45 (44)
This won't be a three or five-point race. Not even close.
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