Daily Kos

Why the focus on losing the African American vote?

Tue May 06, 2008 at 04:58:50 PM PDT

I need to get this out of my system.

Pretty much all you hear about what would happen if Hillary somehow wrests the nomination from Obama is what would happen to the black vote.  Yes, it is almost certainly true that this would dispirit and reduce turnout of black voters for the general election.  But there are other, in some cases overlapping, groups that would be similarly affected: new voters, young voters, cross-over voters, independent voters and the 60's generation voters.  That's a lot of people.

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The pundits minimize the effect of superdelegates going for Hillary despite the pledged delegate vote.  Perhaps they do not want to appear too extreme in their judgment.  Maybe, they can't get over the fact that Obama is black - or at least half-black - and, like sex and money, race sells.  Maybe they are just dumbing down their remarks because they believe that people can't hold more than one thought in their head at a time.

I don't know why they do this, but whatever the reason, they grossly underestimate the consequences of a Hillary "steal."  Yes, many Obama backers will still vote for Hillary in order to get a democrat in the white house.  But many will not and even those that do will be dispirited, which means they will be unmotivated, or at least undermotivated, to work for Hillary.  The disappointment will be profound and there will be even less motivation going forward as the urgency of the election fades.  This will greatly damage the Democratic party for years to come.

Which is why, even if they think Clinton can beat McCain, any superdelegate with at least one brain cell will in no way back her and risk the future of the party.

Whew, that feels better.

Tags: African Americans, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, superdelegates, 2008 (all tags) :: Previous Tag Versions

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