AK-Sen: Stevens cruising in primary

Ivan Moore for the Anchorage Press and KTUU. 8/9-12. Likely voters. MoE 4.4% for overall sample, ~6.2 for primary samples. (7/30-31 results)

Republican Senate primary

Stevens 62.7 (59)
Cuddy 20.4 (19)
Vickers 6.6 (-)

Senate general election

Stevens (R) 38.5 (35)
Begich (D) 55.5 (56)

Stevens is surging back! Kidding. Begich has locked in support, while Stevens rebounds slightly (or maybe it's just float in the MoE).

In the House:

Republican primary

Young (R) 45.9
Parnell (R) 40.4
LeDoux (R) 7.4

Democratic primary

Berkowitz (D) 58.0
Benson (D) 24.1

House general election

Young (R) 40.6
Berkowitz (D) 51.3

Parnell (R) 46.0
Berkowitz (D) 41.7

The good news is that Berkowitz is competitive with Parnell, but the really good news we're all hoping for is a Young victory in the GOP primary next Tuesday. Luckily, with the fragmented multi-candidate field, Young doesn't have to reach 50 percent. But with the massive MoE for these primary sub-samples, the GOP House primary is scary tight.

But the overall picture looks fantastic for Alaska Democrats, and with scandal depressing GOP fundraising in the state, the future is only slated to get better.

On the web:
Orange to Blue ActBlue page
Mark Begich for Senate
Ethan Berkowitz for Congress