NY-Sen: Rasmussen Shows Kennedy Beating King Handily
by Arjun Jaikumar
Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 02:45:04 PM PST
Rasmussen. 1/6. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines).
Caroline Kennedy (D) 51
Peter King (R) 33
This is in stark contrast to the PPP poll from early this week, which showed King and Kennedy deadlocked (46-44 for the Democrat) while Andrew Cuomo was well ahead of the Long Island Republican with 48% to King's 29%.
From DavidNYC over at Swing State Project:
A rather different picture from PPP's poll earlier in the week, though it's a bit hard to compare directly since Rasmussen for whatever reason did not also ask about Cuomo. (They also failed to test DavidNYC vs. King.) I am a little mystified about Rasmu's choice to use a likely voter screen some two years before any election - how can they possibly judge that?
I'd add that there's a surprisingly low number of undecideds for this poll considering how far away the election is - only 7% haven't made up their minds?
The difference between the PPP and Rasmussen polls is striking (and also reflected in the favorability numbers - while PPP gave her mediocre favorables of 44/40, Rasmussen has her at a robust 63% favorable). The one dark cloud in this poll for Kennedy is that just 42% of New York voters consider her qualified to be a U.S. Senator, while 37% of voters consider her unqualified.
Both Rasmussen and PPP are good pollsters, so we'll have to see if anyone else is polling this race. Like DavidNYC, I find it curious that Cuomo wasn't polled, and I hope the next outfit to poll this race includes him.
Race tracker wiki: NY-Sen
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