NH-Sen: ARG poll (yeah, yeah) shows Gregg in danger against Hodes

OK, it's ARG (one of the less reliable pollsters in the game), and it's a poll conducted over the holiday break, so it may not really be worth very much at all.

Still, for those who love polls and love elections, here's something for you to nibble on; an ARG poll pitting New Hampshire's senior Senator, Republican Judd Gregg, against Democratic Representatives Paul Hodes (NH-02) and Carol Shea-Porter (NH-01):

ARG. 12/27-29. Likely voters.

Gregg (R) 47
Hodes (D) 40

Gregg (R) 54
Shea-Porter (D) 35

If this poll is to be believed (and it deserves a healthy helping of salt), Gregg fares quite a bit better against Shea-Porter than against Hodes, who holds him within single digits and under 50%.

Gregg has the edge, and if Republicans rebound a bit for 2010, he'll be favored going into the next election. He will not, however, get a free ride and he'll have to fight very hard to win a fourth term. Hodes is reportedly giving serious consideration to a Senate run, and he seems well positioned for one.

Then again, it's ARG, so perhaps it's best not to read too much into this poll. It's no secret that Dems are going to challenge Gregg hard, and it seems like that's a good play.