And the polls have officially closed in the most interesting states tonight (apologies to Oregon, whose contests are kind of sleepy).
I'm getting my results from:
Arkansas: here.
Kentucky: here.
Pennsylvania: here.
House special in PA-12: here.
Two thirds of precincts have reported in Kentucky, and Jack Conway (the better candidate, by far) is beating Daniel Mongiardo in the Democratic Senate primary 47.3-40.6 percent. Conway's big vote counties are almost exhausted, so the big question now is whether Mongiardo can pick up enough rural support to overcome what is currently a 23,000-vote deficit. Nate Silver thinks not:
Although there's very little Louisville/Lexington vote left, Mongiardo is going to have to pick up the pace a bit in rural counties if he wants to overtake Conway. Right now, our crude extrap-o-jection shows Conway winning 47.1 to 43.3.
In the GOP primary, Rand Paul destroyed Mitch McConnell's guy. Wasn't even close.
Update: Dan Berman at 538:
Just an interesting point, the 60% or so by which Democratic turnout is exceeding Republican turnout in Kentucky is almost exactly the margin by which Democratic registration exceeds Republican registration(1.6 million to a bit over 1 million).
This is significant. Why? It suggests that the intensity gap between the two parties is getting erased. At least in this one state.
Update II: In Arkansas, with 0.1 percent reporting (in other words, not that many), Halter has 42.6, Lincoln 39.6, and Morrison 17.8. Huh? 17.8???? If that holds, Lincoln's faint chances to avoid a runoff would be dashed. And it wold be a sign that 1) there is even more discontent with Lincoln, and 2) Morrison is getting the "I'm sick of all these negative ads!!!!" vote.
Meanwhile, 74.2 percent of the Kentucky vote is in, and Conway's lead is down to 46.7 to 40.9 percent, but still a 22,000-vote margin.
And in Pennsylvania, Specter leads 66-34 percent with 2.4 percent reporting, but virtually all of that vote is from Philly, where the incumbent needs to rack up monster margins in order to make up for Sestak's expected strength in the rest of the state.
Update III:
Kentucky: 77 percent in, Conway 46.4, Mongiardo 41.1.
Pennsylvania: 5.6 percent in, Specter 58.2, Sestak 41.8.
Arkansas: 0.3 percent in, Halter 42.0, Lincoln 39.9, Morrison 18.0.
So far, those Morrison numbers are mind-boggling. It'll be something if they hold. For context, Morrison is a weird Paulist conservadem who hasn't spent a dime in the race. Votes for him appear to be a "none of the above" protest vote.