Many of you may know CQ's Craig Crawford from MSNBC or CBS's Early Show. He used to edit the Hotline and is a real pro at this game. Well his latest column predicts a Kerry win. Excerpt:
After 18 Months of Watching, It's Time to Predict
By Craig Crawford, CQ Columnist
It's John Kerry's to lose.
No flip-flopping here. I think the Democratic nominee will win the presidential election on Nov. 2. I don't even think it will take weeks of recounting to confirm this.
For all of President Bush's valiant efforts to make this campaign a referendum on his challenger's character, it is turning into what the nature of politics demands: a referendum on the incumbent's performance.
http://cq.com/corp/show.do?page=crawford/crawford_current