Okay, I really like the headline. What can I say? From the CT-based Q poll:

June 26-29 +/- 2 (March)

McCain 35 (35)
Obama  56 (52)

Sen. Obama leads Sen. McCain 86 - 9 percent among Democrats and 52 - 36 percent among independent voters, while trailing 79 - 16 percent among Republicans, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. The Democrat is ahead;

• 53 - 40 percent among men
• 59 - 31 percent among women
• 53 - 40 percent among white voters
• 90 - 2 percent among black voters
• 68 - 26 percent among voters 18 to 34 years old
• 54 - 38 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old
• 53 - 38 percent among voters over 55

Divided Dems? Nah.
Obama problem with white voters? Not in CT.
Obama problem with women? Not here.
Lieberman useless for McCain in the place he's best known? Yep.

If McCain picks Sen. Joseph Lieberman as his running mate, only 14 percent of Connecticut voters say they are more likely to vote Republican, while 32 percent are less likely and 52 percent say it won't affect their vote.

Now, as it happens, Lieberman is a really unpopular choice with most Republicans, let alone at home. And McCain would really rather have Tom Ridge (but can't pick a pro-choice running mate because for McCain it's all about character politics.)

Here's another nugget:

Connecticut voters disapprove 78 - 19 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing. Only 14 percent are "very satisfied" or "somewhat satisfied" with the way things are going in the U.S. today, while 85 percent are "somewhat dissatisfied" or "very dissatisfied."

"Is President Bush just an impossible burden for McCain? In Connecticut, it appears to be so," Dr. Schwartz said.

And check the link for more on Iraq, Hillary as VP and other goodies from the Land of Steady Habits. Sensible Connecticut is ready for change. McCain is looking at a blowout.

Update [2008-7-2 13:52:56 by DemFromCT]: Don't forget this illuminating analysis on the part of the McCain Campaign:

Connecticut — McCain polling generally within margin of error; believe CT Sen. Joe Lieberman’s support for McCain will help him win this traditionally Democratic state.

A new Quinnipiac University poll   has Obama beating McCain 56-35 in Connecticut.

This maybe doesn't come as much of a surprise, but it should be recalled that Rasmussen polled CT at the end of May and found Obama up by only 3. After that some of the McCain team started talking excitedly about a possible "Lieberman effect", and if I recall correctly they marked CT as a possible target state on the McCain website strategy briefing.

Well, doesn't look like they'll be following up on that one. The internals don't provide any comfort for McCain either - Obama leads in every category the pollsters could think of, except Republicans.

In a preview of tomorrow's new Quinnipiac University Poll in the Pennyslvania Democratic Primary it appears as if the effects of "bittergate" have not adversely affected Senator Obama.

This just out from Quinnipiac U:

"With two weeks to go, Sen. Barack Obama is knocking on the door of a major political upset in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary. Obama is not only building on his own constituencies, but is taking away voters in Sen. Hillary Clinton's strongest areas - whites including white women, voters in the key swing Philadelphia suburbs and those who say the economy is the most important issue in the campaign," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Numbers beyond the fold-

The election is a long way away, so these head to head polls (without an official Democratic nominee) are just for fun.

Obama 52
Mccain  35

Clinton 45
McCain  42

Quinnipiac says:

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton initially was the favorite among Democrats before the Feb. 5 primary, but lost to Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, 50-47 percent. In a hypothetical matchup, Obama is now in a stronger position than Clinton against Arizona Sen. John McCain in the state's general election. Independent voters support Obama, 45-38 percent and voters younger than 45 back him, 63-30 percent.

And let's go to the meat of it:

Independent Voters Give Obama Huge Connecticut Lead, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton By A Nose Over McCain

"Obama wins a huge 73 percent of voters under 35, but will they show up on Election Day? Historically, they haven't turned out."

The economy is the single most important issue in their presidential vote, 47 percent of Connecticut voters say, followed by 25 percent who list the war in Iraq and 11 percent who list health care. Voters split on the most important quality they want in a candidate, with 29 percent looking for a strong leader and 28 percent looking for someone trustworthy.

The U.S. economy is in a recession, voters say 74 - 21 percent. If Obama is elected, the economy will get better, voters say 40 - 16 percent, while 35 percent say it won't change. If Clinton is elected, voters say 36 - 20 percent the economy will get better, with 36 percent saying it won't change. If McCain wins, voters say 25 - 20 percent the economy will get worse, while 47 percent say it won't change.

And McCain's albatross? CT is still embarrassed Bush was born here.

Connecticut voters disapprove 76 - 20 percent of the job President George W. Bush is doing, his lowest approval in any Quinnipiac University poll in any state.

Oh, and show Chris Dodd some love. he's in no danger, but Nutmeggers still can't figure out why he ran.

U.S. Sen. Christopher Dodd's 51 - 28 percent approval also is his lowest ever.

"Sen. Dodd's approval declined steadily as he ran for President. Perhaps his numbers will come back up again, now that he is home from the campaign trail. We will keep an eye on Dodd. He is up for reelection in 2010 and no incumbent wants to start a reelection campaign with numbers that low," Dr. Schwartz said.

In any case, Connecticut, the state that defeated Lieberman in the Democratic primary and regrets voting him back to the Senate (Connecticut Paper Hits Joe Lieberman -- Sorry for Endorsement?), is solidly blue.  Why? We've been paying attention to the fundamentals.

Update [2008-3-27 9:10:4 by DemFromCT]: Connecticut Bob has a great post on how to have fun while winning elections (Pub Quiz for Jim Himes in CT-04). [h/t thirdparty]

From March 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,697 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points.

A new Quinnipiac University poll out today shows Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton with sizable primary leads in the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio. They also show impressive head-to-head matchup results versus leading Republicans in the general election.

From Quinnipiac:

"These Democratic primary numbers are a good indication that despite the tight three-way race in Iowa, the fight for the nomination is not very close and that Sen. Clinton's lead remains very large and deep," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Quinnipiac University's polling institute just released a Swing State   poll that gives Hillary Clinton the largest lead of the year in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania against her Democratic rivals.  In all of these states she has more than a 25% lead over Barack Obama.  Edwards is below the 15% threshold in all three states.

Map of most recent polls:

Image - Johnnygunn - Free use with attribution

I'd like to introduce a new series called Trade on the Trail, each Friday bringing you what candidates have said on the campaign trail about trade that week.

Cross posted at www.eyesontrade.org.