I felt like I had been waiting for yesterday all my life. I thought I was going to cry. But I didn't. Instead--I sat still.

And I'm not proud of it. I wanted to be proven wrong.

I was tempted to come out with this straight away but thought to relish BO's amazing triumphant night before confronting the H resiliency issue was the order of the day.

Regardless of my elation, which does not yet feel complete and I know won't until H has conceded and endorsed BO, I will be posting updates throughout the day.

I'm not the least bit surprised by her speech or behavior although stupidly I did expect more from her, because I've known all along she wouldn't exit gracefully.

She really socks it to the Clinton campaign/supporters - it's stunning stuff.   Inter alia,

Trying to do my small part to help begin to unify the Democratic Party, I had promised myself that I would halt criticism of Clinton in print and on the Web. There is, after all, so much to be said about McCain and Co. But this evening I find myself unable to carry through on this pledge. There are two significant reasons.

First, I have grown increasingly concerned that Senator Clinton’s continual references to the so-called popular vote may end up damaging Senator Obama’s candidacy.....

Wow, you don't have to say the primary is over anymore.  Just trying to look for a superdelegate list is impossible today.  That's a good thing, because the official day of the Pivot to the general election i believe was yesterday, thanking the idiot-in-chief for that one. Also, where are any Hillary Clinton diaries? Thankfully none to be found.  What a difference a cheapshot comment from the Knesset can make.

I know this isn't much of a diary, but can anyone update this diary on a delegate count for today?  I know Obama is up one today, any more?

(cross posted at The Dead Guy)

On March 28, over at Chris Weigant's blog, Chris asked his readers to place their bets (in quatloos) when Clinton would drop out of the Presidential race. Well, I've done pretty well so far. I predicted that Obama would surpass Clinton in Superdelegates before the West Virginia primary (got it right) and several of my delegate totals from the primaries were darn close (I didn't do so well on my original delegate estimate for Indiana). Also, I was only 1 day off for the John Edwards endorsement of Obama. My final prediction is Clinton drops out on June 16, just 31 days from now.

27. This is the magic number.

I am quite new to diaries so I am giving you a link to read the entire article.  I do not want to run afoul of the Kos rules and post the article without permission.  The article is quite long but the information will make you proud to be an Obama supporter.  This is not a fluff & puff feel good article.  This is the behind the scenes info on how Barack wins delegates.  

Ok you media folk.. listen up.

This race is over and you are being lied to.
In an open letter to Barack Obama Clinton said:

"I have consistently said that the votes cast in Florida and Michigan in January should be counted."

Or this from Bill Clinton:

"We are gonna have to resolve Michigan and Florida and when we do she can win the popular vote."
They are so focused on Florida and Michigan. They really really want the votes to count! And they have been so consistent on this point....

They are L Y I N G to you.  And Forgive me if I'm wrong... but you're not supposed to let that happen...right?

You want proof they're blowing cigar smoke up your ass?

After Wisconsin Hillary had two choices: Resign with dignity or fight on. To paraphrase Robert Frost: "Hillary chose the chose the road less traveled (the low road). And it has made no difference."  

The delegate count on the top notes that Obama needs 282 more delegates to win the part nomination. That spurred me to do my own math.  

I used polling data for the remaining states from pollster.com.  There is no polling data for Montana and so I split the vote in half.

Below is the projected delegates based on the current polling data (I rounded off the delegates to the nearest whole number).   It is most likely that Obama will get more delegates than the chart below since the polling data includes undecided voters and Obama will get a slice of those voters even if it is small.

If we take the numbers Kos uses for the current delegate count, Clinton has 1,604 and Obama has 1,733.   There are expected to be 4047 delegates - meaning to have a majority you need 2024 (though the number could be 2025 depending on the outcome of special elections in Mississippi and Louisiana.  There are 710 delegates remaining.

Obama needs 291 more delegates, and Clinton needs 420; just like the number tally on the Dailykos frontpage.

Obama needs to win 41% of the outstanding delegates.   Clinton needs to win 59%.    It looks very close at first blush, but lets keep going through the primary season and see what the remaining superdelegates would have to do to end the contest.   On the flip...

My favorite diary entries is the delegate math ones. So using delegate/superdelegate counts from Democratic Convention Watch, leaning superdelegate counts from CCPS, and additional add-ons from DCW. With 60% leaning Clinton/Obama, we have:

                  Obama     Clinton     Rest     Source
Pledged         1490    1336                      DCW
SuperD            239     259                       DCW
Leaning Super 129     38                77      CCPS
Additionl Addons 5       3                 56      DCW
Subtotal (est.) 1863    1636             133

An interesting dispatch from "Mr. Super" (via Democratic Convention Watch), a pseudonymous undeclared superdelegate.

According to Hillary Clinton’s New Math, after Pennsylvania she is now ahead in the aggregate popular vote.  Being ahead in this aspect of the contest is one of Barack Obama’s strongest pitches to the Super Delegates—she may have won most of the so-called big states but I’ve won more total states, have by far the most elected delegates, and am still ahead by about 400,000 popular votes.  Hillary, with a straight face, is claiming, on this crucial latter point, that that is not true—she’s leading.  

To get to that popular vote total you have to give her the votes she received in the phantom Florida primary and all those she garnered in the Soviet-style Michigan primary where Barack Obama wasn’t even on the ballot.  That is unless you contend that those who voted “Undecided” were really voting for him.

The real point here is the straight-face thing.  How Hilary seems to tell these kinds of whoppers with that kind of face and, most significantly, why she appears to be getting away with it.

Obama will win in Indiana and then nomination.

Watching Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama on Tuesday night reminded me of Charlie Brown and Lucy all over again.

All our loveable Charlie Brown, aka Barack Obama, has to do is kick the football. It shouldn’t be that hard to do. Of course, Lucy, aka Hillary Clinton, is holding the football.

Charlie Brown, trusting that Lucy will play by the rules, charges to the football and tries to kick, only for Lucy to move the football and have him land flat on his back.

Good grief, Barack. When will you learn?! She’s never going to let you kick the football!

This text on Obama's website today caught my attention:

(David) Wu is Senator Obama’s 240th  Superdelegate endorsement. Senator Obama is now 291 delegates away from winning the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination.

Barack Obama site - David Wu

This is what salespeople call a presumptive close. That is very smart and honorable salesmanship on Obama's part. We now officially know it will take only 291 more delegates to achieve the goal/sale. We are more than 85% of the way through to the goal. I suggest DailyKos also maintain a counter as we countdown from this number to Zero, and thus Victory!

The Obama campaign has sent its current spreadsheet of distributed delegates to Steve Clemons, the excellent blogger at www.thewashingtonnote.com, and also founder of a new Washington think tank, The New America Foundation (www.newamerica.net).

THE SPREADSHEET IS AVAILABLE AT right now at http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/...

I CANNOT CUT/PASTE it into the diary format (dont know why), so I apologize for a short diary.  You'll have to go to the link.

I thought kossacks would want to see it, even though I cannot write a really conventional diary on this.

Please accept apologies for an unconventional diary.
www.thewashingtonnote.com