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|Obstacles and Opportunities in Texas
State Senator Wendy Davis won the Texas Democratic Party gubernatorial nomination this week. There was never any doubt she would win, her only opposition was Corpus Christi Municipal Judge, and ...
|Narrow Margin in Virginia Signals Asian and Latino Influence
Cross-posted from Latino Decisions : Latino Decisions election eve polling�
|Poll of Virginia Latinos and Asians Shows GOP: Politics of Exclusion Will Cost You Elections
Cross-posted at Latino Decisions blog. With Election Day in Virginia today and the gubernatorial candidates’ positioning on ...
|The Prop 187 Effect: How the California GOP Lost Their Way and Implications for 2014 and Beyond
The following is cross-posted from Latino Decisions : According to polling data from the California Field Poll, after winning the presidential election in 1980, former California Governor Ronald ...
|The Implications of CIR on Latino Political Behavior
The following is a cross-post from Latino Decisions : This summarizes a longer report delivered at the The Rosemary P. and John W. Galbraith Conference on Immigration sponsored by The Miller ...
|Anti-Immigrant Politics and Lessons for the GOP from California
According to polling data from the Field Poll, after winning the presidential election in 1980, California native Ronald Reagan raised his share of the Latino vote from 35 percent to 45 percent in ...
|Message Not Received: House Republicans and Immigration Reform
As the House of Representatives moves towards its August recess having made little to no progress on immigration reform, the House Republican Conference is equipping its members with a document ...
|New Poll: Latino Voters Strongly Reject Anti-Immigrant Posturing from House Republicans
New polling results released today show clear evidence that Latino voters now believe that the anti-immigrant voices in the House are not isolated individuals but that many Republicans in Congress ...
|Latino Non-Citizens are Neither Democrats nor Republicans
Cross-posted from Latino Decisions Adrian Pantoja, Ph.D., Senior Analyst, Latino Decisions on
|How Latino Voters May Decide Control of the U.S. House of Representatives
Despite growing popular support among non-Latinos both nationally and in key swing states in favor of immigration reform that includes a pathway to citizenship, the conventional wisdom suggests that ...
|2016 Forecast: Rubio, Bush, Ryan Have Chance to Win Over 40% of Latino Vote
Cross-posted at Latino Decisions , Latino Vote Matters , and Daily Kos: While the 2016 presidential election is a full three years away many of the high profile Republican contenders are enmeshed ...
|Republicans Have Historic Opportunity to Improve Standing Among Latinos--Or Else
On Thursday June 27, the U.S. Senate voted 68 - 32 to pass comprehensive immigration reform that included significant border security components, as well as a path to legal status and eventually ...
|The Impact of Congressional CIR Rhetoric and Action on Latino Voters
Cross-posted at Latino Decisions : A new poll from America’s Voice and Latino Decisions shows immigration policy action and rhetoric weighs heavily in on Latino voters as they evaluate elected ...
|New Poll Shows Latino Voters Want Path to Citizenship, Not ‘Border First’ Excuses
Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) and other Republican Senators are making it clear that they need to see even more enforcement and a tougher path to ...
|Latinos Are Leaving Their Republican Identity Behind
It’s no secret that the Republican Party has a serious problem with immigration. But in this instance I’m talking about their problem with Latinos migrating out of their own party. Republicans ...
|Gender and Undocumented Immigrant Experiences
Discussions about immigration reform largely focus on immigrants as workers. In fact, immigrants come to the U.S. for both work and family reasons. Understanding the factors that drive a decision to ...
|Census 2012 Vote Data Highlight Dramatic Shift in Dramatic Shift in Racial Diversity of Electorate
New data from the November 2012 U.S. Census Current Population Survey (CPS) reveals a major shift in the U.S. voting population, with the number of White, non-Hispanic voters declining by more ...
|Immigration Reform: GOP's big chance to deliver on Latino outreach
Recent elections demonstrate that immigration is a mobilizing issue for Latino voters . We can be sure that Congressional action, or inaction, on the current comprehensive immigration reform (
|Poll of undocumented immigrants reveals strong family and social connections in America
Cross-posted at Latino Decisions : Groundbreaking poll of Latino undocumented immigrants shows 85% have U.S. citizen family members; and 87% would plan to apply for citizenship if immigration ...
|What the GOP Has to Gain – and Lose – Among Latinos When It Comes to Immigration Reform
Recently there have been a series of high profile endorsements for comprehensive immigration reform from the Republican Party. Immediately after the November 2012 election Bobby Jindal made a plea �
|New Poll: Immigration policy stance directly tied to winning the Latino vote
A new Latino Decisions poll finds that Latino voters are paying very close attention to the immigration debate in Congress and that a candidate’s stance on immigration policy will directly effect ...
|Latino voters strongly support protecting the environment and politicians should take note
In the wake of the 2012 presidential election, the Latino vote in states like Colorado has been held up as a critical and influential factor. Latino voters turned out in record high numbers and ...
|The Sea-Change in Colorado
A month seems like an appropriate time to reflect on the outcome of Colorado’s 2012 general election and the role of Latino voters in both the Presidential and state-level contests. In many ...
|Latino Decisions: What Latinos Want from 2012 Elections
The results of the 2012 election have awakened the Republican Party to their impending demographic disaster. Substantial growth in the size and power of the Latino vote—and an overwhelming tilt in ...
|Pre-Election Polls Got it Wrong in Florida
Gary Segura recently provided a discussion of how exit polls oftenÂ misrepresent Latino voters (Badly!) , pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely ...
|Obama’s Re-election Sets Record Support for Latino Voters
In his 1996 re-election President Bill Clinton attained 72 percent of the Latino vote, the highest level of Latino support of any presidential candidate—before this year. In 2012, President Obama ...
|Latino Decisions election eve poll now posted for 5 states
impreMedia and Latino Decisions have now released polling data of Latino voters in 5 eastern states with influential Latino voting populations: Florida, Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina and ...
|Economy and immigration are top issues to Latino voters in 2012
The ImpreMedia-Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll of 5,600 Latino voters has indicated that the Economy/Jobs and Immigration were the most important issues to Latino voters in 2012. As indicated ...
|LD Vote Predict final model: Obama 72.9 vs. Romney 27.1
Final LD Vote and Turnout Predict Projections: Record-breaking Turnout and Lopsided Support for Obama among Latinos Over the final several weeks of polling (Figure 1), the LD Vote Predict ...
|Final impreMedia-LD tracking poll: if Latino vote is high, Obama will carry 4 key swing states
impreMedia & Latino Decisions today released the last in a series of 11 weekly tracking polls with results suggesting President Obama is poised to win a record high share of the Latino vote, and in ...
|Predict election outcome through Latino Decisions/America’s Voice Interactive map
We have conducted extensive analysis throughout the campaign season focused on the Latino electorate and our blogs have repeatedly argued that Latino Voters will be a major force in deciding who ...
|How the Exit Polls Misrepresent Latino Voters, and Badly
Did you know that, despite running exceedingly racialized anti-Latino advertisements in Nevada’s Senate race, Sharon Angle got 30% of the Latino vote? Jan Brewer also did well, attracting an above-...
|The Context of Immigration Policy in New Mexico Reflects National Trends
The Latino electorate continues to be one of the most intriguing story lines of the 2012 election cycle, with the role of immigration policy in Latino voting behavior dominating discussions of the ...
|Latinos’ Support for Obama Solid in Florida
With the election less than two weeks away there has been a great deal of speculation about the Latino community’s support for President Obama, particularly in Florida. Most recently, an ...
|8 percent of Latinos have already voted early, enthusiasm up again in final week
The latest impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll shows that Latinos are more enthusiastic and more likely to vote than ten weeks ago when the initial poll was fielded. Forty-five percent ...
|Targeting Latino Voters in Campaign Communications: New Evidence and Insights
Hispanics are now the largest minority group in the United States at 16.5 percent of the population and are one of the most sought after groups of voters in swing areas across the country. However, ...
|LD Vote Predict Indicates Latinos Voters Will Support Obama Over Romney by 3 to 1 Margin
Cross-posted at Latino Vote Matters and Latino Decisions While President Obama’s support among Latino voters has fallen slightly from its peak prior to the first debate (
|Why Pollsters Missed the Latino Vote -- 2012 Edition
Cross-Posted at Latino Decisions and Latino Vote Matters:Â In 1998 Harry Pachon and Rudy de la Garza wrote a report for the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute titled â Why Pollsters Missed the ...
|Latino voters highly engaged in presidential election, support for Obama rises
Cross-Posted at Latino Decision s and Latino Vote Matters: The impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll latest results reveal a high level of interest and engagement by Latino voters in the ...
|Why the Latino vote may tilt Virginia blue in 201
by Latino Decisions on 10/16/2012 According to the Real Clear Politics average of polls in Virginia , Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 48.4 to 47.6, a gap of less than 1%. In the race ...
|Why Arizona may be the surprise of 2012 – the big Latino vote that you didn’t see coming
by Latino Decisions on 10/10/2012 In 2010, the average of 16 polls of likely voters in Nevada suggested Sharon Angle had a firm 3 point lead, and 538′s Nate Silver gave her an 83.4% chance ...
|Who Out-Latino'd Who? Assessing the RNC and DNC Conventions Latino Outreach
by Matt Barreto, Latino Decisions on 09/12/2012 Latino political leaders were on display at the 2012 political conventions like never before. The Republican convention featured two Latino ...
|Tracking Poll Wave 3: No increase in Latino enthusiasm following conventions
by Latino Decisions on 09/10/2012 Despite two weeks of widespread political coverage in which both parties made an effort to reach out to Latino voters, enthusiasm about November is still ...
|Mitt Romney’s Magic Number
by Gabriel Sanchez on 09/01/2012 Mitt Romney’s campaign has identified 38% as the “magic number”
|The Latino Vote and Down Ticket Races in Nevada
Cross-Posted at Latino Decisions , Latino Vote Matters , and America's Voice : While presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s anemic support among Latinos is likely to weaken his ...
|Latino Decisions: The Florida Latino Electorate and a Potential Rubio Nomination
Cross-posted at Latino Decisions and Latino Vote Matters : Florida is rich in electoral votes, party competition, and ethnic diversity, making it one of the most interesting states to watch during ...
|Nominating Marco Rubio Likely Not a Game Changer for Romney in Florida
by LD Guest Blogger Casey Klofstad on 07/30/2012 Cross-Posted at Latino Decisions ,
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