Posting History for Superribbie
|Automobiles and crack cocaine: thoughts on how to well-regulate the right of the people to bear arms
As some of you may know, I am an attorney by trade. I am also the father of twins who will be 6 in February. Oh, and incidentally, one of my best college friends is a high school teacher in Newtown,
|The GOP will not gain Southern House seats in 2014
Republicans have largely based their successes in House elections since 1992 on grabbing the low hanging fruit of white, conservative southern seats held by Dems--either by beating them or by taking ...
|Romney joins the 47 percenters
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/results/. Current tally: Obama 50.5%, Romney 47 .9%. That is all.
|PPP Florida: R 49 O 48
So sez the Twitter feed: https://twitter.com/ppppolls. +5 for Romney there as compared to 2 weeks ago He's clawed into +2 favorability from -7. More details to follow.
|YouGov/Economist (10/6-8): Obama 49, Romney 46
Haven't seen this posted yet: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/yougov-economist-15646. I believe this is the first national non-Rasmussen tracker to contain all post-Friday ...
|House Race Vulnerability Rankings
As people who have been around awhile are aware, I follow House races closely. This is the first installment of a feature I’ve done in the past. It is a ranking of the composite ratings of House ...
|Final House Rankings and Projection (-47)
This is the latest installment in my look at the individual House races through the composite of the raters' services. This is an update to ...
|House Rankings and Projection (-38 at present)
This is an update to my October 4 Diary documenting the collective House race ratings ...
|House Rankings and Projection (-35 at present)
This is an update to my September 22 Diary documenting the collective House race ...
|House Rankings and Projection (-32 at present)
This is an update to my September 10 diary documenting the collective House race ...
|House Vulnerability Rankings and Overall Projection
Periodically, I go through the professional forecasters' House race rankings and assign numerical values to each ranking. I then rank the races based on their score and give each of them a ...
|House Race Vulnerability Rankings
This is the first installment of a feature I’ve done in the past. It is a ranking of the composite ratings of House races by the four major rating organizations—the Cook Report, the ...
|Why a strong public option may be easier to pass than a weak one, or co-ops
So, I was driving to work this morning and, like most mornings, was listening to the Chicago's Progressive Talk lineup--the end of the Bill Press Show and the beginning of the Stephanie Miller Show.
|Health Care--the new thermonuclear war
After catching up on all of the developments this weekend, it strikes me that we are seeing a variation of the detente based on the concept of mutually-assured-destruction that defined the Cold War ...
|2010 Senate Picture: Pieces are in Place for Another +5 or More
In looking at the 2010 Senate picture, it strikes me that in a neutral-to-Dem-favorable environment and with decent recruiting, the party could net 5 or more seats for the third straight cycle. ...
|Superribbie House Rankings
This is my first crack at rating the races this election cycle because life has been busy and because I have been less dedicated than I'd like. Where we are is pretty breathtaking. The Dems are on ...
|Professional Pundits' Composite House Ratings (Final 4 Style)
In 2006, I began compiling composite rankings from the various individuals and publications that rank the likelihood of turnover in House seats, in addition to my own ratings. I plan to do the same ...
|Analysis of State of Delegate Race
This is an attempt to objectively assess the state of the primary race. Full disclosure: I was an ardent Edwards supporter, voted for Obama in Illinois after he dropped out, and would be satisfied ...
|2008 House Rankings
This is my first go at rating the House races this cycle. Like 2006, there appear to be far more targets for the Democrats than the Republicans--despite the fact that the Dems now hold more seats ...
|2008 Senate Preview and Vulnerability Rankings
I will get back to the House race profiles shortly, but with all of the recent developments on the Senate side, it seemed like a good time to do a Senate diary. In sum, the question in the Senate ...
|2008 House Races to Watch, Part IV of XX (Pennsylvania Part 2)
This is to be the fourth of 20 diaries looking at the House districts which look most likely to be in play in 2008. This is supposed to be a weekly feature but I’ve been AWOL for about two ...
|2008 House Races to Watch, Part III of XX (New Jersey & Pennsylvania Part 1)
This is to be the second of 20 diaries looking at the House districts which look most likely to be in play in 2008. This is supposed to be a weekly feature but I missed last week. I added my ...
|2008 House Races to Watch, Part II of XX (New York)
This is to be the second of 20 diaries looking at the House districts which look most likely to be in play in 2008. This is supposed to be a weekly feature but I missed last week. The next two ...
|2008 House Races to Watch, Part I of XX (New England)
This is to be the first of 20 diaries looking at the House districts which look most likely to be in play in 2008. The goal is to put up one a week, which will finish the series before the holidays.
|No need for progressives to war on the Democrats--a response to eugene
Eugene has a very well thought out and well argued diary on the rec list right now which explores what building a Progressive movement means and posits that it requires "moving on" from the goal of ...
|2008 House Overview
This diary is intended to be an overview of the 2008 House elections picture. In the coming weeks, I will profile each district and race listed below (plus those which later look competitive due to ...
|2008 House Retirement Watch
The first quarter of fundraising for the 2007-08 election cycle is over and the campaigns were supposed to file reports with the FEC on Sunday. I say supposed to because 47 incumbents' summaries ...
|Top 50 Vulnerable GOP House Seats for 2008
I looked through Bowers’ Top 50 list and agree with much of it, but I thought he put too much emphasis as a whole on the “candidate quality” of the Republican incumbent, and too ...
|2006 Election Recap, Analysis, and Random Thoughts
Well, now that Ciro Rodriguez’s win in TX-23 is in the books, all 2006 races are now decided (with the exception that Christine Jennings may yet succeed in invalidating the FL-13 result and ...
|MT-Sen: AP calls it for Tester!!!||Superribbie||11/08/2006||12||10||-||7|
|Analysts House Composite House Rankings One Week Out (Plus Race Polls)||Superribbie||10/31/2006||15||20||-||15|
|House Elections Final 4 Style Pool||Superribbie||10/23/2006||4||4||-||-|
|Senate Polling Scoreboard||Superribbie||10/19/2006||27||10||-||9|
|Major Shifts to the Dems in Analysts' House Race Ratings||Superribbie||10/17/2006||27||43||-||31|
|Pros' Composite House Forecast||Superribbie||09/27/2006||19||29||1||6|
|Updated House Rankings by Pro Analysts||Superribbie||09/25/2006||36||37||2||15|
|Updated Composite House Ratings by Pro Analysts||Superribbie||09/14/2006||39||38||1||14|
|House 2006: August Composite House Ratings by Pros||Superribbie||08/29/2006||15||22||-||49|
|August House Rankings (with poll)||Superribbie||08/23/2006||69||44||-||27|
|Connecticut Results, Some Thoughts on November||Superribbie||08/09/2006||35||16||-||11|
|US Senate Polling Scoreboard||Superribbie||06/28/2006||31||21||1||13|
|June Composite House Rankings by Pro Prognosticators||Superribbie||06/22/2006||39||42||3||217|
|June House Rankings||Superribbie||06/21/2006||54||33||4||113|
|Composite House Race Ratings by Pro Prognosticators||Superribbie||05/19/2006||17||19||2||7|
|House Race Rankings: Comparison of my May List to National Journal's Chuck Todd's||Superribbie||05/17/2006||19||21||-||5|
|May House Race Rankings||Superribbie||05/04/2006||169||135||5||87|
|"Bumpy Road Ahead for GOP"--Charlie Cook; plus FEC numbers for Dem incumbents to watch||Superribbie||05/02/2006||21||22||1||3|
|First Quarter FEC filings for House races to watch (Part IIb--GOP Incumbents, States N-Z)||Superribbie||05/01/2006||15||16||1||3|
|Presidential Approval Ratings and House Midterm Results||Superribbie||04/27/2006||46||34||1||165|
|First Quarter FEC filings for House races to watch (Part IIa--GOP Incumbents, States A-M)||Superribbie||04/26/2006||23||22||3||146|
|First Quarter FEC filings for House races to watch (Part I--Open Seats)||Superribbie||04/20/2006||17||13||1||151|
|March House Race Rankings (GOP Seats)||Superribbie||03/23/2006||59||41||2||34|
|Rep. Elton Gallegly (R-CA 24) to retire||Superribbie||03/13/2006||18||3||-||-|
|State of House Races (all seats) including candidate listing & FEC data||Superribbie||02/15/2006||38||17||4||9|
|February House Race Rankings||Superribbie||02/10/2006||19||26||1||1|
|U.S. Senate Polling Roundup and Analysis||Superribbie||02/03/2006||26||20||1||11|
|Some House Race Updates||Superribbie||01/18/2006||25||28||-||20|
|House Recruiting, an Overview: DCCC Outpaces NRCC||Superribbie||12/16/2005||42||24||-||15|
|I am regretfully backing out as a frontpager||Superribbie||12/13/2005||151||39||-||42|
|2006 House Race Updates--GOP Seats (plus updated ranking)||Superribbie||12/07/2005||100||51||2||40|
|House 2006: Remember Marjorie Margolies-Mezvinsky||Superribbie||11/18/2005||14||7||-||12|
|State of House Races (Our Seats)||Superribbie||11/14/2005||169||28||5||96|
|State of the 2006 House Races (GOP Seats)||Superribbie||11/09/2005||78||30||2||62|
|House Challenger Profiles, Races #11-20||Superribbie||10/25/2005||3||1||-||-|
|House Races to Target--Challenger Profiles||Superribbie||10/20/2005||9||10||1||9|
|House Races to Defend, Part IV of IV (the Plains and the West)||Superribbie||10/19/2005||8||10||-||28|
|House Seats to Defend (Part III of IV) (TN, KY, and the Midwest)||Superribbie||10/17/2005||7||9||-||18|
|House Races to Defend (Part II of IV) (the rest of the South except KY and TN)||Superribbie||10/11/2005||9||4||-||25|
|House Races to Defend (district profiles) (Part I of IV--the Northeast plus VA & NC)||Superribbie||09/30/2005||4||9||1||27|
|House Races to Defend (with Ranking)||Superribbie||09/26/2005||155||29||14||44|
|74 House Races to Target (Summary with Ranking)||Superribbie||09/23/2005||190||59||24||153|
|House Races to Target (Part VII: the southwest and the west coast) (long)||Superribbie||09/22/2005||41||4||2||22|
|House Races to Target (Part VI: the plains and the mountains) (long analysis)||Superribbie||09/20/2005||29||4||1||9|
|House Races to Target (Part V: the South) (long analysis)||Superribbie||09/19/2005||52||10||4||16|
|House Races to Target, Part IV (IN, IL, WI, MN) (long analysis)||Superribbie||09/16/2005||36||11||5||22|
|House Races to Target (Part III) (WV, OH, MI)||Superribbie||09/14/2005||28||9||2||76|
|House Seats to Target in 2006 (Part II) (NY and PA)||Superribbie||09/13/2005||34||5||4||85|
|House Districts to target in 2006 (Part I of XI (NH, CT, NJ)) (long analysis)||Superribbie||09/12/2005||28||11||1||12|
|GOP Senator X Sucks and We Can Defeat Him in 2006||Superribbie||08/16/2005||33||14||-||-|
|Seeing the forest among the trees or why this anti-Hillary (and others) crap is off base||Superribbie||08/15/2005||65||11||-||-|
|22 House Seats to Defend (and a B list) (long analysis)||Superribbie||08/11/2005||23||12||-||-|
|75 House races as possible pickups (long analysis)||Superribbie||08/03/2005||225||116||1||45|
|25 House seats to target||Superribbie||07/26/2005||49||12||-||129|
|Unsupported theory of the rogue Zogby poll||Superribbie||10/15/2004||24||-||-||-|
|Vilsack VP Stock Declines||Superribbie||06/17/2004||6||-||-||-|
|Another Bush joke||Superribbie||06/15/2004||4||-||-||-|
|Anyone know how the trusted user thing works?||Superribbie||06/15/2004||12||-||-||-|
|What exactly does "Establishment" mean? (w/ poll)||Superribbie||06/11/2004||10||-||-||-|
|Kerry up 4 in MI||Superribbie||05/03/2004||11||-||-||-|
|"Democratic Insiders" weigh in with VP predictions||Superribbie||04/30/2004||65||-||-||-|
|Supreme Court to GOP: Gerrymander to your heart's content||Superribbie||04/28/2004||8||-||-||-|
|Are you a dKos heretic? (poll)||Superribbie||04/27/2004||59||-||-||-|
|Obama leads by 19 in Illinois||Superribbie||04/12/2004||5||-||-||2|
|What do we think about Nader and his supporters (poll)||Superribbie||03/28/2004||44||-||-||-|
|Fantasy Baseball...need a few more teams||Superribbie||03/26/2004||3||-||-||-|
|Kerry up 3 in Wisconsin||Superribbie||03/26/2004||3||-||-||-|
|New state polls (I apologize for any reposts)||Superribbie||03/24/2004||17||-||-||-|
|SurveyUSA sez Arizona: Bush 51 Kerry 42||Superribbie||03/22/2004||1||-||-||-|
|New Georgia Senate candidate?||Superribbie||03/17/2004||10||-||-||-|
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