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Posting History for Trosk

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New Jersey 2015 Elections Preview
While 2015 will be all about the Presidential primaries in most of the country, it will be an election year in New Jersey, with the entirety of the 80-member Assembly up for grabs. There will also ...
Trosk 11/10/2014 10 9 - -
4 Interesting Political Trends
Hey, everyone. For a relaxed diary on this Memorial Day, I figured I'd highlight four national political trends that don't get the level of recognition they probably should. More below the fold.
Trosk 05/26/2014 9 18 - -
Newark Mayor: Political Implications of Baraka's Win
This is a quick look at last night's results for Mayor of Newark, NJ, the state's largest city. I'm going to briefly go over what the fallout may be on each level of government. Note that this ...
Trosk 05/14/2014 21 11 - -
Shavar Jeffries for Mayor of Newark
Newark's municipal elections are on Tuesday, May 13th, and as someone who has gone back and forth on my opinion of the race, I have come to the conclusion that Shavar Jeffries is the mayoral ...
Trosk 05/09/2014 9 - - -
Why does Hillary Clinton = War with Iran?
A few days ago, there was a diary poll asking if readers would support Hillary Clinton if they knew it she would go to war with Iran during her Presidency. It immediately struck me as a bad ...
Trosk 05/08/2014 47 1 - -
NC-SEN: So, RedState blew up over Tillis' win
http://www.redstate.com/2014/05/06/nc-gop-primary-results-open-thread/ I didn't realize how much opposition there was in the right-wing blogosphere to the "not conservative" Thom Tillis (at least ...
Trosk 05/07/2014 15 24 1 -
An anecdote about phasing in minimum wage increases
I'm seeing a lot of backlash today to Hawaii's minimum wage increase. The bill raises the minimum wage to $10.10, but does so incrementally, and won't reach $10.10 fully until 2018. While that's a ...
Trosk 05/01/2014 2 6 - -
When do you think the Republican Party will change? (POLL)
While I've seen a lot of complaints on this site about the media's constant harping on the "Democrats are Doomed" meme, they are also pushing the (very true) narrative that sooner or later, the ...
Trosk 04/30/2014 25 6 - -
A bit of Optimism
A lot of Democrats and progressives seem to be down in the dumps with the current electoral cycle, and rightfully so. It looks like we're going to lose quite a few seats in the Senate, and we may ...
Trosk 04/23/2014 5 3 - -
Newark Election Preview - Central Ward Councilman
With the municipal elections in Newark, New Jersey's largest city, coming up three weeks from today, I thought it would be great to give a primer to the DK community. Newark has a strong Mayor-...
Trosk 04/22/2014 1 3 - -
Let's Try to Solve the Turnout Problem (Open Forum)
It seems to me that frequent DK readers and contributors are aware by now of the need to drastically increase the turnout of Democratic-leaning voters in midterm elections (and hell, every election).
Trosk 04/17/2014 43 13 2 -
Why Bernie Sanders should not run in 2016
A few days ago, I saw on this website that Senator Bernie Sanders is thinking of making an independent bid for President in 2016 . He's concerned that the Democratic Party is too far to the right, ...
Trosk 04/15/2014 25 8 - -
If I were the DCCC...
Call me pessimistic, but I think it's incredibly unlikely for us to retake the House this year. I think there's even a decent chance that we lose seats. The path to a net 17 victories doesn't seem ...
Trosk 04/11/2014 10 1 - -
Does Field Have Limits?
There's been a big emphasis on this site lately about the importance of putting money into field operations rather than TV ads. I tend to agree, but does field have limits? Would a seriously ...
Trosk 04/10/2014 2 2 - -
Breaking Down the NJ Legislature, Part 2
Please click here for Part 1 . If you've already read Part 1, you can skip below the fold. New Jersey is one of the greatest states to be a political observer, which is why I'm glad that I live ...
Trosk 04/10/2014 4 6 1 -
Breaking Down the NJ Legislature, Part 1
New Jersey is one of the greatest states to be a political observer, which is why I'm glad that I live here. I figured it would be a great idea to let people know about our state politics through ...
Trosk 04/09/2014 12 24 2 -
Is Indiana the next swing state?
Indiana, in my opinion, is one of the most exciting states in politics right now. After going for George W. Bush by 16% and 20% in uncontested races, Obama contested the state heavily despite its "...
Trosk 04/02/2014 15 8 - -
Big Legislatures or Small Legislatures?
Here's a bit of a wonky question: what do you think makes for a better legislature, one that is small with large districts, or one that has hundreds of members with small districts (for the sake of ...
Trosk 03/31/2014 5 - - -
Hope for change in NJ-01
I was delighted today to see that Logan Township Mayor Frank Minor has filed to run in the Democratic Primary against machine-backed Donald Norcross in NJ-01. He doesn't have a campaign website up ...
Trosk 03/27/2014 5 2 - -
On Leland Yee and other lower-level elected officials
The jaw-dropping indictment of Leland Yee (D), a California State Senator who apparently moonlighted as an organized crime figure , along with a few other corruption arrests in the past week have ...
Trosk 03/27/2014 11 5 - -
ME-Sen: Is it winnable?
For an optimistic Democrat, this year's Senate race in Maine between Sen. Susan Collins and ACLU Director Shenna Bellows is probably the toughest to call accurately. Collins is a popular, moderate ...
Trosk 03/25/2014 34 17 - -
Can we hold the White House indefinitely?
With all the glum feelings I've been seeing about the midterms lately, I want to point to some trends in the national electorate that look like they'll favor the Democratic Party in the long term. ...
Trosk 03/22/2014 29 6 - -
Should we even try to retake the House this year?
Let's be realistic about this; with a few guaranteed losses coming our way, we will probably have to win over 20 seats from Republicans in order to retake this House this cycle. Even if we retain ...
Trosk 03/14/2014 27 1 - -
Reflection on Last Night's Loss
I have to admit that I was pretty stunned by what happened last night. I fully expected Alex Sink to prevail, but clearly something went wrong. It is what always goes wrong for our side: the base ...
Trosk 03/12/2014 4 1 - -
The Path to a Supermajority, Part 1
I started this diary series a few months back, but found myself dissatisfied with the quality of my postings, so I have decided to reboot it. Building a party requires a great deal of forward ...
Trosk 03/09/2014 2 4 - -
Why don't safe House Dems help challengers more?
This is something I've always been curious about. Take a state like Michigan for example. The state has 5 safe Democratic seats, and probably around 5 marginal Republican seats. Why don't the ...
Trosk 03/08/2014 7 5 - -
Is a Hillary Clinton win in 2016 academic?
Three factors: 1. The minority vote increases a bit every 4 years. I have trouble believing that the minorities who turned out for Obama will stay home for Hillary, and even if a few do, won't the ...
Trosk 03/03/2014 54 5 - -
DCCC's Red-to-Blue Analysis (Part 1 of 2)
Today, the DCCC released it's initial list of top targeting races. I want to look at each one briefly below, and get the community's thoughts. There are 19 total, and I cover 9 in this diary. AR-...
Trosk 03/03/2014 10 30 - -
Make Election Day a Holiday
Democrats have a turnout problem. Base voters are too lazy, ignorant or busy to vote on Election Day. Volunteers have to go to work. People have to wait in discouragingly long lines during rush ...
Trosk 03/02/2014 5 2 - -
NJ-12: Who will replace Rush Holt
For those of you who don't follow Garden State politics, things move fast when vacancies come up. The amount of political maneuvering we've seen in the past 48 hours makes my head spin, and we are ...
Trosk 02/20/2014 9 3 - -
NJ's Democratic House Candidates
New Jersey, one of the bluest states in the nation, currently has a 6-6 split in its Congressional delegation. I think the prospects for picking up seats here are great if we are able to amass the ...
Trosk 02/17/2014 7 3 - -
Why I fear Generation X
Swept into office in 1994, a younger generation of Americans (mainly Republicans) began to take center stage in the nation's politics. This generation was the Baby Boomers, those Americans born in ...
Trosk 02/15/2014 27 3 - -
Cory, Please Help Us (NJ House 2014 Preview)
Despite being a solidly Democratic state, New Jersey has an even 6-6 split in its Congressional delegation. This is due to the bipartisan redistricting commission choosing the Republican-favored ...
Trosk 02/07/2014 3 3 - -
How to Organize a Precinct?
The most fundamental piece of the 50 State Strategy, and any successful grassroots movement, is the organization of the individual precinct. As daunting as it may seem to take on a town, county or ...
Trosk 02/07/2014 9 5 2 -
The Path to a Supermajority, Part 2
Welcome to Part 2 of The Path to a Supermajority. Again, my goal here is to examine how the Democratic Party can build a lasting supermajority in the United States Senate over the next three ...
Trosk 01/04/2014 20 6 - -
The Path to a Supermajority, Part 1
Hey, everyone, and welcome to my first diary. Building a party requires a great deal of forward planning, both to pinpoint winnable races and expand the playing field for the future. Here, I want ...
Trosk 01/03/2014 17 19 1 -
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